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Tuesday, 15 September 15
WORLD SEABORNE TRADE: ENTERING INTO A ROLE REVERSAL? - CLARKSONS
 Over the past decade, world seaborne trade growth has been dominated by dry bulk and container trade. However, developments in the global economy this year have led to slower trade growth in these sectors, while oil trade growth, which has accounted for a smaller share of world trade growth over the last decade, has emerged as the largest driver of global trade growth in 2015 so far.
Dry Bulk Slowdown
Dry bulk trade has been one of the fastest growing elements of seaborne trade in the last decade, recording a compound annual growth rate of 5.6% in the 2005-14 period. Expansion in dry bulk trade volumes accounted for an astounding 61% of growth in global seaborne trade during this period. However, this share is projected to fall to 11% in 2015.
Growth in dry bulk trade in the last decade was driven by rapid economic development in China which boosted imports, particularly of iron ore, coal and other minerals. However, this year, Chinese imports have slowed notably, with coal down 31% y-o-y in the first eight months of 2015, due to falling coal demand and coal quality regulations. This is expected to contribute to the first decline in global coal trade in almost 30 years. Meanwhile, iron ore trade is expected to grow at its slowest pace since 2001, partly as global steel output has declined this year.
Mixed Box Signals
Seaborne container trade has also grown at a fairly firm pace in recent years, largely on the back of growing Chinese exports. In 2005-14, box trade growth accounted for 22% of world seaborne trade growth. This share is projected to rise to 30% in 2015 in part due to limited growth in dry bulk trade. However, box trade growth is expected to slow this year. Recent indicators suggest trade volumes on some routes have been fairly weak in the year to date, especially into Europe. Meanwhile, expansion of intra-Asian trade, which has been one of the fastest growing elements of box trade in recent years, has not been as firm as originally expected, due to economic developments in the region this year.
Oil Trade On The Up
Seaborne oil trade has been considered to be fairly mature in recent years, registering average growth of 1% pa in 2005-14. This year, relatively firm growth of 4% is expected, as Chinese crude imports have surged partly in response to low oil prices. Meanwhile, European crude imports have grown this year as refinery margins in the region have improved. Crude imports into Europe are expected to rise 8% y-o-y in full year 2015, following two consecutive years of decline. Consequently, with a downward trend in the trade of other major cargoes, the share of growth in world seaborne trade accounted for by oil trade is expected to rise from 1% in 2010-14 to 40% this year.
Watching the Economy
So, developments in the world economy are having a visible impact, with seaborne trade growth more balanced but slowing. It is clear that these changes are affecting shipping markets, and further revisions to trade projections for this year could yet cement this change in the balance even further.
Source: Clarksons | Hellenic Shipping News
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Thursday, 01 October 15
SOUTH KOREA'S KOMIPO SEEKS SPOT BITUMINOUS COAL SUPPLIES
COALspot.com: South Korean state-owned utility Korea Midland Power (KOMIPO) issued an new tender for 265,000 Metric Tons (MT) of minimum 4,600 kcal ...
Wednesday, 30 September 15
Q1'16 FOB INDONESIA COAL SWAP FALLS $1.25 A TON AS SLIDE CONTINUES
COALspot.com: Indonesian coal swap for delivery Q4 2015 declined month on month and week over week.
The Q4 swap declined $ 0.72 (-1.78%) per t ...
Wednesday, 30 September 15
NEW BUILDING MARKET INSIGHT
COALspot.com: This year has been, beyond any doubt, a rather strenuous one for the newbuilding market. Ordering activity with regards to Dry Bulker ...
Tuesday, 29 September 15
FOB RICHARDS BAY COAL SWAPS ARE SLIDING
COALspot.com: API4 FOB Richards Bay Coal swap for delivery Q4' 2015 declined week over week and month over month.
The Q4 swap was down US$ ...
Monday, 28 September 15
API 5 FOB NEWCASTLE COAL SWAPS UP $2.15 IN ONE MONTH
COALspot.com: API 5 FOB Newcastle Coal swap for Q4’ 2015 delivery increased $2.10 per ton (5.15%) month over month to US$ 42.93 per ton. The ...
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- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- The University of Queensland
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Australian Coal Association
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Planning Commission, India
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