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Wednesday, 05 August 15
SHIPPING MARKET INSIGHT - KATERINA RESTIS
 On July 14th, 2015 a historical consensus was reached in Vienna between Iran and the five permanent members of the U.N. Security Council, plus Germany (P5+1), to eliminate Tehran’s nuclear program in return for lifting international oil and financial sanctions. The US-Iran deal is the most important breakthrough in their bilateral relationship since 1979, when the Iranian revolution disturbed their relations. In particular, Iran has agreed not to produce any plutonium enriched weapons and additional heavy water reactors for 15 years. The assurance that Iran is satisfying the deal’s commitments will be granted through an extensive UN inspection and observation under the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA). It is discussed that assessments and transparency measures may remain in place for as long as 25 years. Expressly, President Obama stated that “this relief will be phased in. Iran must complete key nuclear steps before it begins to receive sanctions relief.”
The markets are already looking towards the challenges, options and prospects that will emerge with the deal being signed. Notably, oil prices fell due to investors’ expectations of an increase in oil exports from Iran to an already oversupplied market. It is estimated that Iran could supply an extra 200k-400k bpd of crude in 2016 on top of a release of 20-40 million barrels from floating storage. The NIOC Managing Director states that if there is enough demand, it is estimated that production could increase by 500k-600k bpd reaching its pre-sanctions level of 4 million bpd within 6 to 12 months. Furthermore, China’s economy is witnessing a growth slow down, while global oil production is close to record highs and thus traders weigh the risk of oil prices possibly falling further.
Furthermore, the agreement will gradually benefit companies that transport Iranian Oil. Once the EU ban on insuring tankers carrying Iranian crude is lifted, imports to countries such as India and Turkey will be comforted and will promote the purchase of contracted volumes. Iran has traditionally been India’s second-largest supplier of crude oil and the prospect of lifting sanctions will also facilitate Pakistan to complete the Iran-Pakistan pipeline. Moreover, it would again be legal for P&I insurance clubs and companies that cover shipowners for several risks to insure Iranian oil cargoes.
Likewise, it is estimated that lifting petrochemical sanctions will permit $1 billion in exports for Iran. The increase in Iranian supplies of oil and gas would trickle down to Europe’s chemical industry, creating a potential game changer for energy-intensive businesses. A traditional player is coming back into the market and preeminently needs to sell, therefore chemical plants of Europe will definitely benefit. Energy companies from Royal Dutch Shell to BP commented after the deal was signed that they were examining their options in a post-sanctions Iran, where production and export potential could expand with the appropriate investment strategies.
Decades of sanctions have inevitably affected the local population and Iranian political setup. With the prospect of sanctions being lifted, Iran’s economic potential will allow for numerous opportunities not only for Iran but also for the wider region, which will directly translate into an increased influence in the Middle East. More importantly, the deal will have some prompt and long-term influence both on global and regional level. The deal will bring out Iran from international isolation. Nevertheless, Iran will have to wait for almost a year to yield the financial returns of the deal, while the six major world powers will most probably reap the benefits of the lower cost of oil immediately.
By Katerina Restis
Tanker Chartering
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms. Eva Tzima
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no re-producing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Friday, 26 June 15
COAL PRODUCTION IN THE U.S ROSE 6.0% WEEK OVER WEEK, SAYS EIA
COALspot.com – United States the second largest coal producer in the world has produced approximately totaled an estimated 16.3 million short ...
Thursday, 25 June 15
THE PORT OF NEWCASTLE SHIPPED 13.31% MORE COAL IN MAY 2015 COMPARED TO APRIL 2015
COALspot.com: The Port of Newcastle, Australia’s major trading ports and the world’s largest coal export port, has shipped $1.18 billio ...
Thursday, 25 June 15
CAPESIZE: PERIOD INTEREST REMAINED STRONG FOR A SECOND WEEK - INTERMODAL
COALspot.com: Following those depressive last six months, the BDI closed off on last Friday noting a substantial weekly increase, which pushed the ...
Wednesday, 24 June 15
PANAMAXES: THE OUTLOOK REMAINS NEGATIVE AS DEMAND FOR COAL IS DIMINISHING - YANNIS OLZIERSKY
As we get closer to the end of June, we can safely say that the 1st half of the year is leaving the dry bulk market with a bitter taste that we all ...
Tuesday, 23 June 15
Q3 FOB INDONESIA COAL SWAP FALL $1.12 IN ONE MONTH
COALspot.com: Indonesian coal swap for delivery Q3 2015 declined month on month and week over week, this past week.
The Q3 swap was declined $ ...
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- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Australian Coal Association
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- The University of Queensland
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Parliament of New Zealand
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- PTC India Limited - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Planning Commission, India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
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