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Wednesday, 05 August 15
SHIPPING MARKET INSIGHT - KATERINA RESTIS
 On July 14th, 2015 a historical consensus was reached in Vienna between Iran and the five permanent members of the U.N. Security Council, plus Germany (P5+1), to eliminate Tehran’s nuclear program in return for lifting international oil and financial sanctions. The US-Iran deal is the most important breakthrough in their bilateral relationship since 1979, when the Iranian revolution disturbed their relations. In particular, Iran has agreed not to produce any plutonium enriched weapons and additional heavy water reactors for 15 years. The assurance that Iran is satisfying the deal’s commitments will be granted through an extensive UN inspection and observation under the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA). It is discussed that assessments and transparency measures may remain in place for as long as 25 years. Expressly, President Obama stated that “this relief will be phased in. Iran must complete key nuclear steps before it begins to receive sanctions relief.”
The markets are already looking towards the challenges, options and prospects that will emerge with the deal being signed. Notably, oil prices fell due to investors’ expectations of an increase in oil exports from Iran to an already oversupplied market. It is estimated that Iran could supply an extra 200k-400k bpd of crude in 2016 on top of a release of 20-40 million barrels from floating storage. The NIOC Managing Director states that if there is enough demand, it is estimated that production could increase by 500k-600k bpd reaching its pre-sanctions level of 4 million bpd within 6 to 12 months. Furthermore, China’s economy is witnessing a growth slow down, while global oil production is close to record highs and thus traders weigh the risk of oil prices possibly falling further.
Furthermore, the agreement will gradually benefit companies that transport Iranian Oil. Once the EU ban on insuring tankers carrying Iranian crude is lifted, imports to countries such as India and Turkey will be comforted and will promote the purchase of contracted volumes. Iran has traditionally been India’s second-largest supplier of crude oil and the prospect of lifting sanctions will also facilitate Pakistan to complete the Iran-Pakistan pipeline. Moreover, it would again be legal for P&I insurance clubs and companies that cover shipowners for several risks to insure Iranian oil cargoes.
Likewise, it is estimated that lifting petrochemical sanctions will permit $1 billion in exports for Iran. The increase in Iranian supplies of oil and gas would trickle down to Europe’s chemical industry, creating a potential game changer for energy-intensive businesses. A traditional player is coming back into the market and preeminently needs to sell, therefore chemical plants of Europe will definitely benefit. Energy companies from Royal Dutch Shell to BP commented after the deal was signed that they were examining their options in a post-sanctions Iran, where production and export potential could expand with the appropriate investment strategies.
Decades of sanctions have inevitably affected the local population and Iranian political setup. With the prospect of sanctions being lifted, Iran’s economic potential will allow for numerous opportunities not only for Iran but also for the wider region, which will directly translate into an increased influence in the Middle East. More importantly, the deal will have some prompt and long-term influence both on global and regional level. The deal will bring out Iran from international isolation. Nevertheless, Iran will have to wait for almost a year to yield the financial returns of the deal, while the six major world powers will most probably reap the benefits of the lower cost of oil immediately.
By Katerina Restis
Tanker Chartering
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms. Eva Tzima
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no re-producing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Tuesday, 28 July 15
INDONESIA DELAYS PLAN TO RAISE COAL ROYALTIES AMID PLUNGING PRICE - JP
The government will postpone a plan to increase royalty payments from coal miners as they are already burdened with the commodity’s plunging ...
Tuesday, 28 July 15
API 5 FOB NEWCASTLE COAL SWAP LOST M-M AND GAINED W-W
COALspot.com: API 5 FOB Newcastle Coal swap for Q3’ 2015 delivery down $ 1.15 per MT (-2.51%) month over month to US$ 44.62 per mt. The swap ...
Monday, 27 July 15
KOMIPO INVITES BIDS FOR TOTAL 545,000 MT OF COAL FOR BORYEONG POWER PLANT
COALspot.com: South Korean state-owned utility Korea Midland Power (KOMIPO) issued an new tender to purchase total 545,000 Metric Tons (MT) of coal ...
Monday, 27 July 15
CFR SOUTH CHINA COAL SWAP WEAK M/M; FIRM W/W
COALspot.com: API 8 CFR South China Coal swap for Q3’ 2015 delivery declined US$ 0.92 (1.77%) per MT month over month.
A commodity swap ...
Sunday, 26 July 15
INDO-INDIA OCEAN COAL FREIGHT RATES REMAIN STEADY
COALspot.com: The freight market continued lost steam towards end of the week and all indices were showing downward trend.
The BDI was up by 3 ...
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- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- The University of Queensland
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Economic Council, Georgia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
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