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Friday, 24 July 15
THE IMPACT OF COLLAPSING CHINESE COAL IMPORTS - CLARKSONS
 Global seaborne coal trade is currently projected to drop 1% y-o-y in 2015, which would be the first annual decline in almost three decades. The driving force behind the slump has been a collapse in Chinese seaborne coal imports, which fell 40% y-o-y in the first five months of the year. This month’s Commodity Countdown explores the cause and implications of the drop in Chinese coal import demand.
Global seaborne coal trade is currently projected to drop 1% y-o-y in 2015, which would be the first annual decline in almost three decades. The driving force behind the slump has been a collapse in Chinese seaborne coal imports, which fell 40% y-o-y in the first five months of the year. This month’s Commodity Countdown explores the cause and implications of the drop in Chinese coal import demand.
The Hoover Losing Suction
China’s role in recent global coal trade has been to hoover up coal output and provide a seemingly bottomless source of demand to exporters around the world. Chinese imports accounted for a quarter of growth in seaborne coal trade in 2012 and 65% in 2013. However, as the graph shows, the country’s coal import demand has been in steady decline since the beginning of 2014 and with the acceleration of the downturn in the first half of 2015, China is likely to lose its leading position, while global seaborne coal trade is expected to record its first decline in decades.
The Prognosis
The majority of coal consumed in China is sourced domestically, meaning that even a small change in the country’s coal use can impact heavily on seaborne imports. With that in mind, Chinese coal fired power generation dropped 3% y-o-y in the first five months of 2015 on the back of the government’s measures to tackle air pollution. There have been a number of power plant closures in recent months, while Chinese importers became increasingly particular about their coal purchases, due to the introduction of a series of coal quality regulations. Correspondingly, Chinese thermal coal imports dropped 39% y-o-y in January to May to the lowest level for the period since 2011. Similarly, coking coal imports dropped 41% y-o-y in January to May, coinciding with the 1.3% y-o-y drop in steel production in 1H 2015. The drop has been largely attributed to easing infrastructure development and sluggish construction activity.
The Impact On Exporters
As China’s coal imports from seaborne suppliers have dropped across the board in the year to date, coal miners have been put under severe financial pressure. Indonesian miners have taken a particularly severe blow, with a large number forced to cut output. Total Indonesian coal production dropped 19% y-o-y in January to May, while shipments to China halved y-o-y. Elsewhere, while Australian miners are likely to benefit modestly from a free trade agreement signed in June, forecasts still indicate a difficult remainder of the year, following the 15% y-o-y drop in exports to China in January to May. Finally, while India is on course to become the leading seaborne coal importer in 2015, it is likely to fall considerably short of filling the demand gap left by China. As such, the impact of collapsing Chinese coal import demand on global coal trade is likely to be significant.
Source: Clarksons | Hellenic Shipping News
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Wednesday, 05 August 15
SHIPPING MARKET INSIGHT - KATERINA RESTIS
On July 14th, 2015 a historical consensus was reached in Vienna between Iran and the five permanent members of the U.N. Security Council, plus Germ ...
Wednesday, 05 August 15
COAL CONSUMPTION POSTED THE STRONGEST GROWTH AMONG THE FOSSIL ENERGY SOURCES IN 2014 - VDKI
Coal 2014: again the world's fastest-growing primary energy source and an indispensable asset for the success of the energy turnaround.
Ac ...
Wednesday, 05 August 15
FOB INDONESIA THERMAL COAL SWAPS FALL
COALspot.com: Indonesian coal swap for delivery 4Q 2015 declined month on month and week over week, this past week.
The 4Q swap was declined $ ...
Wednesday, 05 August 15
DRY BULKER PRICES START TO FIRM UP AS MARKET SENTIMENT IMPROVES - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING
Market pessimism in the dry bulk industry, a trend which had established itself over the course of the year, has started to fade away over the past ...
Tuesday, 04 August 15
FOB RICHARDS BAY COAL SWAPS CONTINUE TO FALL DUE TO SLIDING DEMAND
COALspot.com: API4 FOB Richards Bay Coal swap for delivery 4Q' 2015 declined month over month and week over week.
The 4Q swap was down US$ ...
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- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Planning Commission, India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
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- Indian Energy Exchange, India
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- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
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- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Australian Coal Association
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- White Energy Company Limited
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- The University of Queensland
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
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