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Thursday, 26 February 15
DRY BULK MARKET LOOKING FOR POSITIVE MOMENTUM, BUT PROSPECTS REMAIN DIM - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS
As the Baltic Dry Index (BDI) inched a bit higher over the past couple of sessions and the Chinese are returning to the market after a week long hiatus, most market delegates are looking to see if the market will bounce back. According to the latest weekly report from shipbroker Allied Shipbroking, “the truth is that commodity prices have still remained at relatively low levels despite a slight uptick these past couple of weeks. Both Iron ore and coal have noted an improve-ment compared to where they stood in early February, while iron ore inventories at China’s main ports are reported to be sloping down to 96 million dry tonnes with in-creased momentum”.
According to Mr. George Lazaridis, head of Market Research & Asset Valuations with Allied Shipbroking, “this last point of low iron ore inventories is key, as we hadn’t seen this low inventory levels since early 2014, and while they might not be anywhere close to the low levels that were being reported in late 2012 and the majority of 2013, it still leaves some optimism for extra trading to take place as steel production is still rumoured to be at levels much higher than it was back then. Nevertheless, it doesn’t point to an overwhelming surge in demand the coming month, while reports of a slower harvest for grains this year, leaves further disappointment with regards to the potential of the seasonal spikes that typi-cally emerge during the year”.
However, as he noted, “signs of an improvement are still in sight, with a number of inquiries from West Austral-ia having already emerged and a number more rumoured to be under way. Yet many always place most of their hope on a surge in demand from South America, which is usually the one that ramps up the required tonne-miles and boosts utilisation rates by a bigger degree. In terms of grain cargoes, this was one of the main areas of disappoint-ment last year, with many having expected a stronger level of grain cargoes to come to market from ECSA, while at the same time Brazil had also lost some of its market share in the iron ore trade, meaning that a lower percent of new volume coming in was sourced from there. The latter is looking unlikely to change for the time being while the recent allowance of the large Valemaxes to enter Chinese ports might deteriorate the situation here further. This points more to a continuation of the current “status quo” rather than any major positive or negative shift and likely means that once again indica-tors point to an overall lacklustre performance for 2015″, Lazaridis said.
He went on to note that “therefore it is ever more imperative that the fleet growth is kept under check. Steps towards this end have already been taken to some degree, with a number of new order swapping having already taken place and a good number of overage units having al-ready been sent to be scrapped. This needs to further intensify during the year, allow-ing for a better balance between demand and supply. For the moment the fundamen-tals don’t seem to be there yet to support a claim for seeing similar trade growth levels as has been seen the past 5-6 years. China, the world second largest economy has yet to find its foothold, so as to be able to spur on growth, while many believe that econom-ic growth within the country has slowed down more than the official line reports. Politi-cal and economic turmoil in Europe is not helping either, with the almost stagnant Med/ Black Sea dry bulk trade being a strong indicator of this. It turns out that supply will play a more crucial role this year then what it has in the past, as it seems that it now holds the potential to really chock the market during one of its most difficult periods”, Lazaridis concluded.
In terms of demolition activity this past week, shipbroker Intermodal noted that “the trend of falling demolition prices finally came to a halt last week, which ended with prices across the board sustaining their levels from the week prior. As a result, slightly positive sentiment started building up, with market players still cautious but hopeful at the same times that maybe the market has found some sort of support around these levels. Amidst slowing down Chinese scrap steel imports last week, the Indian subcontinent market appears to indeed have caught a break, while this past week also marked the return of India back into action. Breakers in the country were quick to snap a number of available demo candidates ahead of the government’s budget announcement at the end of the month. Hopes that the budget announcement could bring along some sort of tax imports on Chinese steel, which would certainly boost demo prices in the country, has in fact rushed local breakers to position themselves in a market that could sooner rather than later be enjoying some upside. Prices this week for wet tonnage were at around 240-400 $/ldt and dry units received about 215-375 $/ldt”, the shipbroker said.
Source: Nikos Roussanoglou, Hellenic Shipping News
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Wednesday, 25 February 15
PORT OF NEWCASTLE SHIPPED 13.16MT OF COAL IN JANUARY; DECLINED 16.70% FROM A MONTH AGO
COALspot.com: The Port of Newcastle, Australia’s major trading ports and the world’s largest coal export port, has shipped $1.15 billio ...
Wednesday, 25 February 15
BDI SLIPPING ONCE MORE TO FRESH HISTORICAL LOWS
COALspot.com: With the BDI slipping once more to fresh historical lows and the Chinese holidays underway, signs for a positive reversal in the Dry ...
Tuesday, 24 February 15
FOB INDONESIA COAL SWAP SET TO RALLY
COALspot.com: Indonesian coal swaps for delivery Q2' 2015 rose week over week and month on month.
The Q2 swap increased US$ 3.30 (+7.30%) ...
Tuesday, 24 February 15
Q3' FOB RICHARDS BAY COAL SWAP CLOSED $59.80 W/E 20 FEB
COALspot.com: API 4 FOB Richards Bay Coal swap for delivery Q2' 2015 surge month over month and decline week on week.
The Q2 swap has soar ...
Tuesday, 24 February 15
IHS ENERGY COAL CONFERENCE OF THE AMERICAS
Attend the IHS Energy Coal Conference of the Americas 17-19 March in Cartagena, Colombia and learn about timely concerns in today's coal indust ...
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- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Australian Coal Association
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Parliament of New Zealand
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- PTC India Limited - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- The University of Queensland
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- White Energy Company Limited
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
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