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Thursday, 26 February 15
DRY BULK MARKET LOOKING FOR POSITIVE MOMENTUM, BUT PROSPECTS REMAIN DIM - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS
As the Baltic Dry Index (BDI) inched a bit higher over the past couple of sessions and the Chinese are returning to the market after a week long hiatus, most market delegates are looking to see if the market will bounce back. According to the latest weekly report from shipbroker Allied Shipbroking, “the truth is that commodity prices have still remained at relatively low levels despite a slight uptick these past couple of weeks. Both Iron ore and coal have noted an improve-ment compared to where they stood in early February, while iron ore inventories at China’s main ports are reported to be sloping down to 96 million dry tonnes with in-creased momentum”.
According to Mr. George Lazaridis, head of Market Research & Asset Valuations with Allied Shipbroking, “this last point of low iron ore inventories is key, as we hadn’t seen this low inventory levels since early 2014, and while they might not be anywhere close to the low levels that were being reported in late 2012 and the majority of 2013, it still leaves some optimism for extra trading to take place as steel production is still rumoured to be at levels much higher than it was back then. Nevertheless, it doesn’t point to an overwhelming surge in demand the coming month, while reports of a slower harvest for grains this year, leaves further disappointment with regards to the potential of the seasonal spikes that typi-cally emerge during the year”.
However, as he noted, “signs of an improvement are still in sight, with a number of inquiries from West Austral-ia having already emerged and a number more rumoured to be under way. Yet many always place most of their hope on a surge in demand from South America, which is usually the one that ramps up the required tonne-miles and boosts utilisation rates by a bigger degree. In terms of grain cargoes, this was one of the main areas of disappoint-ment last year, with many having expected a stronger level of grain cargoes to come to market from ECSA, while at the same time Brazil had also lost some of its market share in the iron ore trade, meaning that a lower percent of new volume coming in was sourced from there. The latter is looking unlikely to change for the time being while the recent allowance of the large Valemaxes to enter Chinese ports might deteriorate the situation here further. This points more to a continuation of the current “status quo” rather than any major positive or negative shift and likely means that once again indica-tors point to an overall lacklustre performance for 2015″, Lazaridis said.
He went on to note that “therefore it is ever more imperative that the fleet growth is kept under check. Steps towards this end have already been taken to some degree, with a number of new order swapping having already taken place and a good number of overage units having al-ready been sent to be scrapped. This needs to further intensify during the year, allow-ing for a better balance between demand and supply. For the moment the fundamen-tals don’t seem to be there yet to support a claim for seeing similar trade growth levels as has been seen the past 5-6 years. China, the world second largest economy has yet to find its foothold, so as to be able to spur on growth, while many believe that econom-ic growth within the country has slowed down more than the official line reports. Politi-cal and economic turmoil in Europe is not helping either, with the almost stagnant Med/ Black Sea dry bulk trade being a strong indicator of this. It turns out that supply will play a more crucial role this year then what it has in the past, as it seems that it now holds the potential to really chock the market during one of its most difficult periods”, Lazaridis concluded.
In terms of demolition activity this past week, shipbroker Intermodal noted that “the trend of falling demolition prices finally came to a halt last week, which ended with prices across the board sustaining their levels from the week prior. As a result, slightly positive sentiment started building up, with market players still cautious but hopeful at the same times that maybe the market has found some sort of support around these levels. Amidst slowing down Chinese scrap steel imports last week, the Indian subcontinent market appears to indeed have caught a break, while this past week also marked the return of India back into action. Breakers in the country were quick to snap a number of available demo candidates ahead of the government’s budget announcement at the end of the month. Hopes that the budget announcement could bring along some sort of tax imports on Chinese steel, which would certainly boost demo prices in the country, has in fact rushed local breakers to position themselves in a market that could sooner rather than later be enjoying some upside. Prices this week for wet tonnage were at around 240-400 $/ldt and dry units received about 215-375 $/ldt”, the shipbroker said.
Source: Nikos Roussanoglou, Hellenic Shipping News
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Monday, 02 March 15
FOB NEWCASTLE COAL SWAP ROSE 6.89% MONTH OVER MONTH
COALspot.com: API 5 FOB Newcastle Coal swap for Q2’ 2015 delivery rose US$ 3.35 per MT (+6.89%) month over month and US$ 0.40 (0.78%) week on ...
Sunday, 01 March 15
BDI INDEX SLIGHTLY UP CAUSED AN INCREASE IN THE PANAMAX, SUPARAMAX AND HANDY SIZE INDICES
COALspot.com: The freight market saw some gains this week and BDI was up 5.26 pct closed at 540 points. However the Cape index failed to follow BDI ...
Friday, 27 February 15
WEEKLY US COAL PRODUCTION DOWN AN ESTIMATED 14.0% FROM LAST WEEK - EIA
COALspot.com – United States the world's one of the largest coal producers, produced approximately 16.5 million short tons (mmst) of coal ...
Thursday, 26 February 15
DRY BULK MARKET COULD REBOUND FROM HISTORICAL LOWS IN THE COMING WEEKS - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS
The dry bulk market could exit from its historical lows in the coming weeks, as Chinese buyers reenter the market after the holiday celebrations. T ...
Thursday, 26 February 15
COAL POLICY RISK: HIGHER ROYALTIES FOR IUP HOLDERS - BAHANA SECURITIES | JAKARTA POST
The Energy and Mineral Resources Ministry plans to raise coal royalties charged to mining operation permit (IUP) holders by the end of the first qu ...
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- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- PTC India Limited - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Australian Coal Association
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- The University of Queensland
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
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