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Wednesday, 21 January 15
MARKET INSIGHT - VASSILIS LOGOTHETIS, INTERMODAL
 The World Bank has lowered its forecast for global growth in 2015 to 3% down from its previous level of 3.4% amid rising concerns over the economic prospects of several economies. The traditional engines of global economic growth with the exception of the United States and the United Kingdom seem to be running out of steam while at the same time a number of emerging economies are also entering troubled waters.
The Eurozone economies are suffering from anaemic growth rates, low inflation and a prolonged inability to coordinate their policies in order to over-come their current predicament. Similarly the Japanese economy is also suffering despite the extended monetary stimulus implemented by the Bank of Japan.
Among the emerging economies, Russia and Brazil have seen their economies stall as they are affected, among other factors, by falling commodity prices. The latter are expected to remain soft in the years to come, significantly hitting those economies that depend heavily on natural resources. Besides the much talked fall in oil prices, iron ore and coal prices have also seen significant decreases during the last months.
Among the key factors for this drop is China’s slowing economy. Although the latter is still growing, it has entered a path of gradual deceleration that already affects the world trade. The latter is expected to remain week during 2015 far away from its pre-crisis levels. At the shipping industry we have already seen the implication of this deceleration especially in the dry sector. The current adverse situation is reflected in the BCI index where we are reaching historical lows almost on a daily basis. During the last weeks the index has lost significant ground and the prospects remain dim as further drops in China’s GDP growth rate are expected to have additional negative implication for the world economy both for developed and developing economies.
Although the world outlook for 2015 does not look so good, pessimism should not dominate the market sentiment. We have entered a point in time where the much anticipated policy actions by governments and central banks to support economic activity are ante portas and the results can be nothing but positive. The ECB is anticipated to expand its balance sheet with purchases of sovereign bonds to support Eurozone economies and the economies of the United States and United Kingdom are expected to remain on the positive path.
China has already adopted measures to avoid financial distress and a number of other policy instruments are available to support its economy. In addition, low oil prices are expected to boost economic activity helping several emerging economies to improve their output outlook. Among them, India, which according to the World Bank is expected to overtake China as the world’s fastest growing big economy within the next two years, has seen its coal imports rise significantly since last year as the country tries to meet its growing power demand.
To sum up, despite the current difficulties that the world economy faces, a closer look suggests that there is room for significant improvement during 2015.
By Vassilis Logothetis
Research Analyst, Intermodal
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms. Eva Tzima
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no re-producing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Sunday, 26 October 14
CAPE'S STRONG PERFORMANCE PUSHES BDI INDEX UPWARDS
COALspot.com: The BDI was up by 26.27 pct and closed at 1192 points week and week. The Cape size performance has pushed up BDI and Cape size index ...
Friday, 24 October 14
WEEKLY U.S COAL PRODUCTION DOWN 2.7% FOR THE WEEK ENDING OCTOBER 18
COALspot.com – United States the world's one of largest coal producers, produced approximately 18.7 million short tons (mmst) of coal in ...
Thursday, 23 October 14
THE BEARS, HOWEVER, STILL CRY; FOR HOW LONG WILL IT LAST? - FEARNLEYS
Handy
"We experience a typical oversupply of ships in the Atlantic which causing rates to slide. In the USG it is just enough cargoes to kee ...
Wednesday, 22 October 14
MARKET INSIGHT - THEODORE NTALAKOS, INTERMODAL
ECO designs - revisited
The ECO vessels are already here but the oil and bunker prices are plummeting to their cheapest level since 2010. Is this ...
Wednesday, 22 October 14
CAPESIZE MARKET REMAINED UNDER PRESSURE
COALspot.com: The Dry Bulk market closed on the red for yet another week although following Friday sentiment has started to improve on the back of ...
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- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- White Energy Company Limited
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- The University of Queensland
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Australian Coal Association
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Planning Commission, India
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