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Wednesday, 21 January 15
MARKET INSIGHT - VASSILIS LOGOTHETIS, INTERMODAL
 The World Bank has lowered its forecast for global growth in 2015 to 3% down from its previous level of 3.4% amid rising concerns over the economic prospects of several economies. The traditional engines of global economic growth with the exception of the United States and the United Kingdom seem to be running out of steam while at the same time a number of emerging economies are also entering troubled waters.
The Eurozone economies are suffering from anaemic growth rates, low inflation and a prolonged inability to coordinate their policies in order to over-come their current predicament. Similarly the Japanese economy is also suffering despite the extended monetary stimulus implemented by the Bank of Japan.
Among the emerging economies, Russia and Brazil have seen their economies stall as they are affected, among other factors, by falling commodity prices. The latter are expected to remain soft in the years to come, significantly hitting those economies that depend heavily on natural resources. Besides the much talked fall in oil prices, iron ore and coal prices have also seen significant decreases during the last months.
Among the key factors for this drop is China’s slowing economy. Although the latter is still growing, it has entered a path of gradual deceleration that already affects the world trade. The latter is expected to remain week during 2015 far away from its pre-crisis levels. At the shipping industry we have already seen the implication of this deceleration especially in the dry sector. The current adverse situation is reflected in the BCI index where we are reaching historical lows almost on a daily basis. During the last weeks the index has lost significant ground and the prospects remain dim as further drops in China’s GDP growth rate are expected to have additional negative implication for the world economy both for developed and developing economies.
Although the world outlook for 2015 does not look so good, pessimism should not dominate the market sentiment. We have entered a point in time where the much anticipated policy actions by governments and central banks to support economic activity are ante portas and the results can be nothing but positive. The ECB is anticipated to expand its balance sheet with purchases of sovereign bonds to support Eurozone economies and the economies of the United States and United Kingdom are expected to remain on the positive path.
China has already adopted measures to avoid financial distress and a number of other policy instruments are available to support its economy. In addition, low oil prices are expected to boost economic activity helping several emerging economies to improve their output outlook. Among them, India, which according to the World Bank is expected to overtake China as the world’s fastest growing big economy within the next two years, has seen its coal imports rise significantly since last year as the country tries to meet its growing power demand.
To sum up, despite the current difficulties that the world economy faces, a closer look suggests that there is room for significant improvement during 2015.
By Vassilis Logothetis
Research Analyst, Intermodal
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms. Eva Tzima
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no re-producing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Friday, 31 October 14
BUKIT ASAM'S NET PROFIT ROSE 27.42% FOR THE PERIOD JANUARY - SEPTEMBER 2014
COALspot.com: Publicly listed coal miner Bukit Asam reported solid profits in the first nine months of 2014 year.
Coal miner Bukit Asam manage ...
Friday, 31 October 14
U.S PRODUCED AROUND 19.3 MMST OF COAL IN A WEEK
COALspot.com – United States the world's one of largest coal producers, produced approximately 19.3 million short tons (mmst) of coal in ...
Thursday, 30 October 14
COAL & GRAINS SUPPORT PANAMAX AND IRON ORE SUPPORTS CAPES
Handy
The Atlantic market has been flat this week. Rates are up about US$ 200 from last week on the TA´s, but the volumes are about the sam ...
Thursday, 30 October 14
DOES A LOU ARBITRATION AGREEMENT FOR THE UNDERLYING CARGO CLAIM COMPLETELY REPLACE THE BILL OF LADING ARBITRATION CLAUSE? - INCE &CO
KNOWLEDGE TO ELEVATE
In the context of cargo claims brought under four bills of lading, the Commercial Court has recently considered whether a ...
Wednesday, 29 October 14
GOOD REASON WHY Q4 CAPESIZE OUTLOOK WAS SO BULLISH AT START OF THE YEAR - COMMODORE RESEARCH
COALspot.com: There was good reason why so many analysts' capesize outlook for Q4 was so very strong at the start of this year. Brazilian ...
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- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Planning Commission, India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- PTC India Limited - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- The University of Queensland
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
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