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Wednesday, 14 January 15
COMMODITIES AREN'T PRIMED FOR A REBOUND DURING 2015: SHIPPING COULD BENEFIT FROM LOWER PRICES - ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS
 In the recent past, higher commodity prices were driven by an increase in demand from developing countries, which spelled good news for ship owners, are the vast majority of this demand was serviced via seaborne cargoes. However, as the commodity market was plagued by speculators and many relative trades, more often than not, higher prices didn’t necessarily translate to higher demand for cargoes. As such, the latest downward trend among major commodities, isn’t all that bad for members of the shipping community, as they could ignite an increased demand from a series of nations.
In any case, as Allied Shipbroking’s latest report indicated, “we are set for another difficult year for commodities. Faced with strong pressure from a continually increasing US Dollar, a marginal increase in demand and an excessive oversupply glut, it will be hard to note a complete reversal within the next 12 months. Much of the drive in the commodity prices has been the great economic performance of several emerging economies with most notable of these being China. Things have changed however, as China has already seen its growth levels slowdown considerably over the past months and many economic analysts expect an even further slowdown within this year”.
According to Mr. George Lazaridis, Head of Market Research & Asset Valuations with Allied Shipbroking, “at the same time a number of other high performing BRICS have sud-denly found themselves facing considerable economic problems. Russia is one of the obvious ones which has been greatly publicized in the international press. Nevertheless, it is some of the economies hidden in the back pages of economic news journals that hide further troubles ahead. Brazil has seen a reversal of its previous stellar per-formance showing considerable unrest and further cuts in its growth outlook, while many are worried over raised forecasts of inflation. This leaves us with only India and South Africa as potential champions amongst emerging economies which could take up the driver’s seat and push for further global trade growth. India has already started to show signs of ramping up its consumption of several key commodities and while it’s a major producer for several of these commodities as well, we might see a reversal as it starts to become a major importer picking up importance from its growing industrial production. Worth pointing out is the add bonuses it could bring to seaborne trade through higher tonne-mile demand as it will push most of Asia to source its commodities from further away locations. Nevertheless we are still far away from seeing anywhere near the level of importance taken up by China, nor is it yet in the position to cover fully any waning demand growth by China”, Lazaridis pointed.
He added though that “yet, as things stand now, attention has started to shift back to the more developed economies. Europe has a lot of issues still to deal with and after the most recent economic figures coming from The Old Continent, it looks as though we could be set for even further trouble during the first quarter. There is however one economy both big enough to drive a rebound in the global economy. Much will be bet this year on the U.S. recovery and as things continue to improve, so will its appetite for trade. As it drives for further consumption of finished goods sourced from mostly from the emerging economies such as China and India, its demand could be catalytic in pushing these economies back into drive. At the same time, even Europe could start to benefit from the U.S. recovery cause as it gains traction and the Euro continues to weaken against the Dollar so will the cost of Europe’s exports to the U.S. making them more competitive. Looking more long-term therefore, we might finally be in sight of the turning point towards better market conditions. An improved U.S. economy might be perfectly timed with lower commodity prices slowly amplifying demand while creating a steady base for consumption of goods worldwide. This should be in practice more balanced and rigid growth, nevertheless it will be a slow process and we are unlikely to see a complete reversal especially as political turmoil continues to shake things about”, Lazaridis concluded.
Source: Nikos Roussanoglou, Hellenic Shipping News
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Tuesday, 30 December 14
U.S WEEKLY COAL PRODUCTION ALMOST FLAT AT -0.2%
COALspot.com – United States the world's one of the largest coal producers, produced approximately 19.8 million short tons (mmst) of coal ...
Monday, 29 December 14
CHINESE COAL IMPORTS: REGULATORY RISKS? - CLARKSONS
In recent years, Chinese seaborne coal imports have surged, registering average growth of 67% p.a. between 2009 and 2013 to total 265mt. However, t ...
Monday, 29 December 14
BULK MARKET ENDS YEAR ON SOUR NOTE, SHIPBROKER SEES 'BUMPY ROAD AHEAD' - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS
2014 was supposed to be the year that the dry bulk market would stage a comeback and a sustainable one for that matter. However, while for the most ...
Monday, 29 December 14
Q1'15 CFR SOUTH CHINA COAL SWAP CLOSED AT $59.42
COALspot.com: API 8 CFR South China Coal swap for Q1’ 2015 delivery has decreased by US$ 3.51 (-5.58%) month over month and US$ 0.08 (-0.13%) ...
Monday, 29 December 14
SGX'S FOB NEWCASTLE COAL SWAPS IMPROVED W-O-W, LOST M-O-M
COALspot.com: API 5 FOB Newcastle Coal swap for Q1’ 2015 delivery lost US$ 1.44 per MT (-2.73%) month over month and gained US$ 0.36 (+0.71%) ...
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- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- The University of Queensland
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- White Energy Company Limited
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Australian Coal Association
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
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