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Wednesday, 14 January 15
COMMODITIES AREN'T PRIMED FOR A REBOUND DURING 2015: SHIPPING COULD BENEFIT FROM LOWER PRICES - ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS
 In the recent past, higher commodity prices were driven by an increase in demand from developing countries, which spelled good news for ship owners, are the vast majority of this demand was serviced via seaborne cargoes. However, as the commodity market was plagued by speculators and many relative trades, more often than not, higher prices didn’t necessarily translate to higher demand for cargoes. As such, the latest downward trend among major commodities, isn’t all that bad for members of the shipping community, as they could ignite an increased demand from a series of nations.
In any case, as Allied Shipbroking’s latest report indicated, “we are set for another difficult year for commodities. Faced with strong pressure from a continually increasing US Dollar, a marginal increase in demand and an excessive oversupply glut, it will be hard to note a complete reversal within the next 12 months. Much of the drive in the commodity prices has been the great economic performance of several emerging economies with most notable of these being China. Things have changed however, as China has already seen its growth levels slowdown considerably over the past months and many economic analysts expect an even further slowdown within this year”.
According to Mr. George Lazaridis, Head of Market Research & Asset Valuations with Allied Shipbroking, “at the same time a number of other high performing BRICS have sud-denly found themselves facing considerable economic problems. Russia is one of the obvious ones which has been greatly publicized in the international press. Nevertheless, it is some of the economies hidden in the back pages of economic news journals that hide further troubles ahead. Brazil has seen a reversal of its previous stellar per-formance showing considerable unrest and further cuts in its growth outlook, while many are worried over raised forecasts of inflation. This leaves us with only India and South Africa as potential champions amongst emerging economies which could take up the driver’s seat and push for further global trade growth. India has already started to show signs of ramping up its consumption of several key commodities and while it’s a major producer for several of these commodities as well, we might see a reversal as it starts to become a major importer picking up importance from its growing industrial production. Worth pointing out is the add bonuses it could bring to seaborne trade through higher tonne-mile demand as it will push most of Asia to source its commodities from further away locations. Nevertheless we are still far away from seeing anywhere near the level of importance taken up by China, nor is it yet in the position to cover fully any waning demand growth by China”, Lazaridis pointed.
He added though that “yet, as things stand now, attention has started to shift back to the more developed economies. Europe has a lot of issues still to deal with and after the most recent economic figures coming from The Old Continent, it looks as though we could be set for even further trouble during the first quarter. There is however one economy both big enough to drive a rebound in the global economy. Much will be bet this year on the U.S. recovery and as things continue to improve, so will its appetite for trade. As it drives for further consumption of finished goods sourced from mostly from the emerging economies such as China and India, its demand could be catalytic in pushing these economies back into drive. At the same time, even Europe could start to benefit from the U.S. recovery cause as it gains traction and the Euro continues to weaken against the Dollar so will the cost of Europe’s exports to the U.S. making them more competitive. Looking more long-term therefore, we might finally be in sight of the turning point towards better market conditions. An improved U.S. economy might be perfectly timed with lower commodity prices slowly amplifying demand while creating a steady base for consumption of goods worldwide. This should be in practice more balanced and rigid growth, nevertheless it will be a slow process and we are unlikely to see a complete reversal especially as political turmoil continues to shake things about”, Lazaridis concluded.
Source: Nikos Roussanoglou, Hellenic Shipping News
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Monday, 05 January 15
FIVE ENERGY SURPRISES FOR 2015: THE POSSIBLE AND THE IMPROBABLE - KURT COBB
The coming year is likely to be as full of surprises in the field of energy as 2014 was. We just don't know which surprises! I am not predictin ...
Monday, 05 January 15
THE SHIPPING MARKET IN 2014 AND LOOKING FORWARD - BIMCO
2014 started with plenty of optimism for a considerably better global economy and an improved shipping market. Things turned out somewhat different ...
Monday, 05 January 15
API 5 FOB NEWCASTLE COAL SWAP FOR Q1'15 DELIVERY CLOSED US$ 0.45 HIGHER COMPARED TO Q2'15 CLOSING
COALspot.com: API 5 FOB Newcastle Coal swap for Q1’ 2015 delivery lost US$ 0.60 per MT (-1.15%) month over month and gained US$ 0.02 (+0.04%) ...
Sunday, 04 January 15
BALTIC DRY INDEX CONTINUES ITS DECLINE IN 2015
Wish you all a very Happy New Year 2015. The last report was dated 19th Dec 2014 and due to Christmas and new year holidays no reports were publish ...
Saturday, 03 January 15
U.S WEEKLY COAL PRODUCTION FELL 11.2% TO 17.6 MMST WEEK OVER WEEK - EIA
COALspot.com – United States the world's one of the largest coal producers, produced approximately 17.6 million short tons (mmst) of coal ...
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- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- White Energy Company Limited
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- The University of Queensland
- Australian Coal Association
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- VISA Power Limited - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
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