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Wednesday, 14 January 15
COMMODITIES AREN'T PRIMED FOR A REBOUND DURING 2015: SHIPPING COULD BENEFIT FROM LOWER PRICES - ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS
In the recent past, higher commodity prices were driven by an increase in demand from developing countries, which spelled good news for ship owners, are the vast majority of this demand was serviced via seaborne cargoes. However, as the commodity market was plagued by speculators and many relative trades, more often than not, higher prices didn’t necessarily translate to higher demand for cargoes. As such, the latest downward trend among major commodities, isn’t all that bad for members of the shipping community, as they could ignite an increased demand from a series of nations.
In any case, as Allied Shipbroking’s latest report indicated, “we are set for another difficult year for commodities. Faced with strong pressure from a continually increasing US Dollar, a marginal increase in demand and an excessive oversupply glut, it will be hard to note a complete reversal within the next 12 months. Much of the drive in the commodity prices has been the great economic performance of several emerging economies with most notable of these being China. Things have changed however, as China has already seen its growth levels slowdown considerably over the past months and many economic analysts expect an even further slowdown within this year”.
According to Mr. George Lazaridis, Head of Market Research & Asset Valuations with Allied Shipbroking, “at the same time a number of other high performing BRICS have sud-denly found themselves facing considerable economic problems. Russia is one of the obvious ones which has been greatly publicized in the international press. Nevertheless, it is some of the economies hidden in the back pages of economic news journals that hide further troubles ahead. Brazil has seen a reversal of its previous stellar per-formance showing considerable unrest and further cuts in its growth outlook, while many are worried over raised forecasts of inflation. This leaves us with only India and South Africa as potential champions amongst emerging economies which could take up the driver’s seat and push for further global trade growth. India has already started to show signs of ramping up its consumption of several key commodities and while it’s a major producer for several of these commodities as well, we might see a reversal as it starts to become a major importer picking up importance from its growing industrial production. Worth pointing out is the add bonuses it could bring to seaborne trade through higher tonne-mile demand as it will push most of Asia to source its commodities from further away locations. Nevertheless we are still far away from seeing anywhere near the level of importance taken up by China, nor is it yet in the position to cover fully any waning demand growth by China”, Lazaridis pointed.
He added though that “yet, as things stand now, attention has started to shift back to the more developed economies. Europe has a lot of issues still to deal with and after the most recent economic figures coming from The Old Continent, it looks as though we could be set for even further trouble during the first quarter. There is however one economy both big enough to drive a rebound in the global economy. Much will be bet this year on the U.S. recovery and as things continue to improve, so will its appetite for trade. As it drives for further consumption of finished goods sourced from mostly from the emerging economies such as China and India, its demand could be catalytic in pushing these economies back into drive. At the same time, even Europe could start to benefit from the U.S. recovery cause as it gains traction and the Euro continues to weaken against the Dollar so will the cost of Europe’s exports to the U.S. making them more competitive. Looking more long-term therefore, we might finally be in sight of the turning point towards better market conditions. An improved U.S. economy might be perfectly timed with lower commodity prices slowly amplifying demand while creating a steady base for consumption of goods worldwide. This should be in practice more balanced and rigid growth, nevertheless it will be a slow process and we are unlikely to see a complete reversal especially as political turmoil continues to shake things about”, Lazaridis concluded.
Source: Nikos Roussanoglou, Hellenic Shipping News
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Monday, 19 January 15
FOB RICHARDS BAY COAL SWAP FOR Q4 DELIVERY CLOSED 4% LOWER THAN Q1 DELIVERY PRICE
COALspot.com: API 4 FOB Richards Bay Coal swap for delivery Q1' 2015 declined month over month and week over week.
The Q1 swap has f ...
Sunday, 18 January 15
INDONESIA TO INDIA SUPRAMAX FREIGHT RATES ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN WEAK NEXT WEEK
COALspot.com: The BDI was up 4.51 pct week on week on Friday 16, January 2015. The BDI closed at 741 points on this Friday after gaining arou ...
Friday, 16 January 15
U.S. WEEKLY COAL PRODUCTION UP 7.3% W-O-W
COALspot.com – United States the world's one of the largest coal producers, produced approximately 18.9 million short tons (mmst) of coal ...
Thursday, 15 January 15
PANAMAX : MARKET CONTINUE ON LOW PACE - FEARNLEYS
Handy
On a general basis we can say that rates are softening in both hemispheres. Although for some specific trades we can see premiums being ach ...
Thursday, 15 January 15
LOW CASH COSTS, GOOD LIQUIDITY HELP ASIAN OIL COMPANIES IN PRICE ROUT - FITCH
Fitch Ratings says that rated oil and gas production companies in Asia can comfortably operate under low oil prices for some time given their gener ...
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- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Planning Commission, India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- The University of Queensland
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- White Energy Company Limited
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Australian Coal Association
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
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