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Wednesday, 14 January 15
COMMODITIES AREN'T PRIMED FOR A REBOUND DURING 2015: SHIPPING COULD BENEFIT FROM LOWER PRICES - ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS
In the recent past, higher commodity prices were driven by an increase in demand from developing countries, which spelled good news for ship owners, are the vast majority of this demand was serviced via seaborne cargoes. However, as the commodity market was plagued by speculators and many relative trades, more often than not, higher prices didn’t necessarily translate to higher demand for cargoes. As such, the latest downward trend among major commodities, isn’t all that bad for members of the shipping community, as they could ignite an increased demand from a series of nations.
In any case, as Allied Shipbroking’s latest report indicated, “we are set for another difficult year for commodities. Faced with strong pressure from a continually increasing US Dollar, a marginal increase in demand and an excessive oversupply glut, it will be hard to note a complete reversal within the next 12 months. Much of the drive in the commodity prices has been the great economic performance of several emerging economies with most notable of these being China. Things have changed however, as China has already seen its growth levels slowdown considerably over the past months and many economic analysts expect an even further slowdown within this year”.
According to Mr. George Lazaridis, Head of Market Research & Asset Valuations with Allied Shipbroking, “at the same time a number of other high performing BRICS have sud-denly found themselves facing considerable economic problems. Russia is one of the obvious ones which has been greatly publicized in the international press. Nevertheless, it is some of the economies hidden in the back pages of economic news journals that hide further troubles ahead. Brazil has seen a reversal of its previous stellar per-formance showing considerable unrest and further cuts in its growth outlook, while many are worried over raised forecasts of inflation. This leaves us with only India and South Africa as potential champions amongst emerging economies which could take up the driver’s seat and push for further global trade growth. India has already started to show signs of ramping up its consumption of several key commodities and while it’s a major producer for several of these commodities as well, we might see a reversal as it starts to become a major importer picking up importance from its growing industrial production. Worth pointing out is the add bonuses it could bring to seaborne trade through higher tonne-mile demand as it will push most of Asia to source its commodities from further away locations. Nevertheless we are still far away from seeing anywhere near the level of importance taken up by China, nor is it yet in the position to cover fully any waning demand growth by China”, Lazaridis pointed.
He added though that “yet, as things stand now, attention has started to shift back to the more developed economies. Europe has a lot of issues still to deal with and after the most recent economic figures coming from The Old Continent, it looks as though we could be set for even further trouble during the first quarter. There is however one economy both big enough to drive a rebound in the global economy. Much will be bet this year on the U.S. recovery and as things continue to improve, so will its appetite for trade. As it drives for further consumption of finished goods sourced from mostly from the emerging economies such as China and India, its demand could be catalytic in pushing these economies back into drive. At the same time, even Europe could start to benefit from the U.S. recovery cause as it gains traction and the Euro continues to weaken against the Dollar so will the cost of Europe’s exports to the U.S. making them more competitive. Looking more long-term therefore, we might finally be in sight of the turning point towards better market conditions. An improved U.S. economy might be perfectly timed with lower commodity prices slowly amplifying demand while creating a steady base for consumption of goods worldwide. This should be in practice more balanced and rigid growth, nevertheless it will be a slow process and we are unlikely to see a complete reversal especially as political turmoil continues to shake things about”, Lazaridis concluded.
Source: Nikos Roussanoglou, Hellenic Shipping News
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Tuesday, 20 January 15
INDIA TO SURPASS THE UNITED STATES AND BECOME THE SECOND-LARGEST COAL CONSUMER IN THE WORLD BY 2019 - IMF
COALspot.com: In 2013, coal added more primary energy than any other fuel and was the fastest-growing fossil fuel, enhancing its position as the se ...
Tuesday, 20 January 15
INDONESIAN COAL OUTPUT SEEN RISING, DESPITE FALL IN ITS PRICE
COALspot.com: Indonesian coal swaps for delivery Q1' 2015 declined month on month and week over week, but Indonesian Coal Output Seen Rising. T ...
Tuesday, 20 January 15
NEWCASTLE COAL SWAP FOR Q1' 2015 DELIVERY DECLINED 2.83% M-O-M
COALspot.com: API 5 FOB Newcastle Coal swap for Q1’ 2015 delivery declined US$ 1.45 per MT (-2.83%) month over month and US$ 0.50 (-0.99%) we ...
Monday, 19 January 15
HBA FALL TO FRESH LOWS; COAL OVERSUPPLY WILL CONTINUE TO PUSH PRICE DOWN
COALspot.com - The Ministry of Energy & Mineral Resources of Indonesia revised down Indonesian coal bench mark price this month to US$ 63.84. T ...
Monday, 19 January 15
CFR SOUTH CHINA COAL SWAPS REMAIN WEAK
COALspot.com: API 8 CFR South China Coal swap for Q1’ 2015 delivery declined US$ 3.37 (-5.63%) per MT month over month and US$ 0.74 (-1.29%) ...
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- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- The University of Queensland
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Planning Commission, India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- White Energy Company Limited
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
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