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Thursday, 20 November 14
MOST MAJOR ASIAN ECONOMIES TO BENEFIT FROM LOWER OIL - FITCH
COALspot.com: The 25% drop in the price of oil since July is likely to lift economic growth prospects, improve terms of trade, and have a potentially positive credit impact for a number of Asia-Pacific sovereigns if the lower prices are sustained below USD90/bbl through 2015, in line with our latest forecast, says Fitch Ratings.
Most major Asian economies - including China, Japan, Korea and Thailand - would see an effective overall income boost from sustained lower oil prices. In addition, countries with large oil import needs facing external adjustment pressures such as Indonesia and India are among the best positioned to see a positive impact on sovereign credit profiles, although the broader policy response will matter too.
All but one of the Fitch-rated APAC sovereigns are net oil importers. Net oil import bills range significantly, from greater than 10% of GDP for Thailand to less than 2% for Bangladesh and Vietnam. Korea, Japan and China have net import bills of 6%, 3% and just over 2% of GDP, respectively.
For consumers, there would be a positive consumption effect from falling retail energy prices. Disinflation as a result of lower oil prices could also contribute to GDP growth less directly in some countries, by facilitating a more accommodative monetary policy than would otherwise be followed. Notably, several key Asian economies, including Japan, have been increasingly relying on liquefied natural gas (LNG) as part of their energy mix, and Asian LNG prices are linked to Brent crude.
A combined positive impact on fiscal accounts, economic growth and terms of trade, would be particularly beneficial for the sovereign credits of countries which are both net oil importers and facing external adjustment pressures, including Indonesia and India. Lower oil prices will help to ease the trade-offs faced by these economies as they aim to bolster growth while reducing external account deficits.
Beyond the macroeconomic growth effects, the fiscal impact could also be significant for several south and south-east Asian sovereigns. Both the Indian and Indonesian governments have already taken advantage of the price decline. In India, diesel prices were deregulated on 18 October. The direct impact on our headline fiscal forecasts is expected to be limited, while this will make the fiscal accounts more robust against future oil shocks, since both diesel and petrol prices are now determined by the market.
In Indonesia, the new administration under President Joko Widodo raised the administered price of fuel by over 30% on 18 November. Roughly 15% of total government spending (2.4% of GDP) is allocated to fuel subsidies, according to the state budget. In addition to direct effects on the state budget, the price hike provides a clear, positive signal of the new government's intentions to swiftly implement its reform agenda.
However, the extent to which sovereigns are able to realise the potential fiscal benefits will be determined at least partly by how policy makers respond - whether they use budget windfalls to increase spending or reduce deficits.
Fitch has lowered its forecast for the price of Brent Crude to average USD87/bbl through 2015 and USD90/bbl for 2016 as part of our latest forecasting round, down from our September forecasts of USD100/bbl and USD95/bbl, respectively.
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Friday, 22 March 24
INDONESIA APPROVES 922.14 MLN T COAL PRODUCTION QUOTA FOR 2024, ABOVE TARGET - REUTERS
Indonesia has approved coal production quotas totalling 922.14 million metric tons for 2024, Bambang Suswantono, a senior official at the mining mi ...
Friday, 22 March 24
CHINA COAL INDUSTRY GROUP EXPECTS OUTPUT GROWTH TO SLOW IN 2024 - REUTERS
China’s coal output is expected to increase 36 million metric tons, or 0.8%, to about 4.7 billion tonnes in 2024, a Chinese coal industry gro ...
Monday, 18 March 24
THREE KEY TAKEAWAYS FROM OUR EUROPE GAS MARKETS SHORT-TERM OUTLOOK Q1 2024 - WOOD MACKENZIE
European gas prices are currently back to pre-crisis levels, but with a complex series of factors affecting future supply and demand, are they set ...
Wednesday, 06 March 24
INDONESIA AIMS TO FINISH MINING OUTPUT QUOTAS APPROVAL BY END-MARCH, OFFICIAL SAYS - REUTERS
Indonesia’s has approved the mining production quotarequests from more than 120mineral companies and aims to complete the approval process th ...
Monday, 04 March 24
IS YOUR GUARANTEE A GUARANTEE? NOTE TO SHIPOWNERS - GARD
KNOWLEDGE TO ELEVATE
The law of guarantees is not always obvious or easy to understand without proper guidance. This article clarifies the dif ...
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Showing 26 to 30 news of total 6871 |
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- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Australian Coal Association
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- The University of Queensland
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
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