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Wednesday, 08 October 14
IS THERE ANY BRIGHT SIDE ON THE DRY BULK SEGMENT? - YANNIS OLZIERSKY
In the movie “Life Of Brian”, a character on a nearby cross was singing the famous “Always look on the bright side of life” in order to cheer up Brian, who had been sentenced to death by crucifixion. In shipping the “dry side of life” doesn't seem very bright and unfortunately the fundamentals are not there to support the industry and sing to us to “look on the bright side of an upcoming rise...”
The much anticipated Q4 is here and market hopes for a dry bulk market rally have not yet materialized and it doesn't seem like they will soon. A snapshot comparison of today's BDI with that of the same time last year reveals that by no means, and especially for the bigger sizes (Capes & Panamaxes), are we on the same track; the chart below can prove same and can show the completely different picture between present levels and those of last year.
From this comparison the only size/segments which is relatively close to last year’s figures, are the Supras and the Handysizes. These two sizes have managed to find support mainly by the US Gulf – Continent route which remains strong due to the record high predicted US grain export season. On the Pacific, although the Indonesian ban of unprocessed ore exports is weighing on Supras and Handies, strong Chinese steel exports managed to support these sizes in the backhaul trade to Continent, US and within Intra Asia.
On the other hand, the situation on the bigger sizes (Capes, Panamaxes) is not the same and their rates have plummeted compared with that of last year. Capesizes have been impacted by the drop in Brazilian iron ore exports and news that Chinese authorities are cutting coal imports by 50Mt this year in order to support the domestic coal market. Along with this, the Chinese government is formulating a new series of anti-pollution measures that may affect imports from Australia.
So is there any bright side on the Dry bulk segment? Apparently not in terms of healthy charter rates and good returns. On the other hand the crisis has given birth to opportunities in the dry bulk market; opportunities to invest! Asset prices are falling and we have seen deals concluded at attractive new lows. As a benchmark the sale of panamax BC m/v Mishima (2002 blt JPN) which has been reported sold for region USD 12,5mill is setting up a new era on asset values, since this price is in line with values we witnessed back in the end of 2012/beginning 2013 were dry bulk assets had hit bottom.
More deals on the same pace will likely follow, since the market has lately been flooded with sales candidates and market prospects remain the same. At the same time the YEN to USD exchange rate is also assisting towards this direction since Japanese owners are traditional Sellers of second hand Bulk Carriers.
What dry bulk owners with appetite to invest should be doing is to be well alerted and ready in order to manage to acquire the right tonnage at the right price!
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Mr. George Lazaridis
Ms. Eva Tzima
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no re-producing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Tuesday, 16 September 14
INDONESIAN GOVERNMENT DECLARED HBA SUFFERED ANOTHER SETBACK IN SEPTEMBER
COALspot.com - The Ministry of Energy & Mineral Resources of Indonesia revised down the coal bench mark price once again in September. HBA for ...
Tuesday, 16 September 14
INDONESIAN COAL OUTPUT WON'T EXCEED 421M TONS: GOVT - JP
The government is optimistic that it will meet its coal production target for this year, which caps nationwide production at a flat number compared ...
Monday, 15 September 14
CHINA'S COAL PROPOSALS LEAVE SOME HOPE FOR EXPORTERS - DAILY NEWS
When the best thing you can say about new policies is that they aren’t as bad as they could have been, then you know your industry is in deep ...
Monday, 15 September 14
SUB-BIT FOB INDONESIA COAL SWAP, JANUARY 2015 DELIVERY GAINED DAY ON DAY AND WEEK ON WEEK
COALspot.com: Indonesian coal swaps for average October 2014 increased US$ 0.40 (+0.78%) day on day and US$ 0.55 (+1.08%) per mt week on week. The ...
Monday, 15 September 14
CFR SOUTH CHINA COAL SWAP GAINED DAY ON DAY AND WEEK ON WEEK
COALspot.com: API 8 CFR South China Coal swap for delivery in October 2014 decreased US$ 2.30 (-3.36%) month over month, but increased day on day a ...
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- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- The University of Queensland
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
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