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Wednesday, 08 October 14
IS THERE ANY BRIGHT SIDE ON THE DRY BULK SEGMENT? - YANNIS OLZIERSKY
In the movie “Life Of Brian”, a character on a nearby cross was singing the famous “Always look on the bright side of life” in order to cheer up Brian, who had been sentenced to death by crucifixion. In shipping the “dry side of life” doesn't seem very bright and unfortunately the fundamentals are not there to support the industry and sing to us to “look on the bright side of an upcoming rise...”
The much anticipated Q4 is here and market hopes for a dry bulk market rally have not yet materialized and it doesn't seem like they will soon. A snapshot comparison of today's BDI with that of the same time last year reveals that by no means, and especially for the bigger sizes (Capes & Panamaxes), are we on the same track; the chart below can prove same and can show the completely different picture between present levels and those of last year.
From this comparison the only size/segments which is relatively close to last year’s figures, are the Supras and the Handysizes. These two sizes have managed to find support mainly by the US Gulf – Continent route which remains strong due to the record high predicted US grain export season. On the Pacific, although the Indonesian ban of unprocessed ore exports is weighing on Supras and Handies, strong Chinese steel exports managed to support these sizes in the backhaul trade to Continent, US and within Intra Asia.
On the other hand, the situation on the bigger sizes (Capes, Panamaxes) is not the same and their rates have plummeted compared with that of last year. Capesizes have been impacted by the drop in Brazilian iron ore exports and news that Chinese authorities are cutting coal imports by 50Mt this year in order to support the domestic coal market. Along with this, the Chinese government is formulating a new series of anti-pollution measures that may affect imports from Australia.
So is there any bright side on the Dry bulk segment? Apparently not in terms of healthy charter rates and good returns. On the other hand the crisis has given birth to opportunities in the dry bulk market; opportunities to invest! Asset prices are falling and we have seen deals concluded at attractive new lows. As a benchmark the sale of panamax BC m/v Mishima (2002 blt JPN) which has been reported sold for region USD 12,5mill is setting up a new era on asset values, since this price is in line with values we witnessed back in the end of 2012/beginning 2013 were dry bulk assets had hit bottom.
More deals on the same pace will likely follow, since the market has lately been flooded with sales candidates and market prospects remain the same. At the same time the YEN to USD exchange rate is also assisting towards this direction since Japanese owners are traditional Sellers of second hand Bulk Carriers.
What dry bulk owners with appetite to invest should be doing is to be well alerted and ready in order to manage to acquire the right tonnage at the right price!
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Mr. George Lazaridis
Ms. Eva Tzima
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no re-producing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Thursday, 18 September 14
INDONESIA'S JULY COAL EXPORT VOLUME DROPPED 5.13% M-O-M
COALspot.com: Indonesia, one of the world's largest coal producer and the global leading multi grade coal exporter shipped around $1.65* ...
Thursday, 18 September 14
PANAMAX : US GULF/CHINA FRONTHAUL ARE NOW PAYING TYPICALLY 14.5K + 450K BB - FEARNRESEARCH
Handy
We still see a firming tendency in the Atlantic and it is still ECSA and USG leading on. USG/Cont now up in about USD 17/18k for a Smax whi ...
Thursday, 18 September 14
ELECTRONIC BILLS OF LADING: A GUIDE TO PAPERLESS TRADING WHICH HAS TAKEN THE SHIPPING INDUSTRY BY STORM
Bimco has recently developed and published a charter party clause that specifically addresses the use of electronic bills of lading. Increasing use ...
Wednesday, 17 September 14
PANAMAX: LIMITED INTEREST IN BOTH BASINS; RISING TONNAGE - INTERMODAL
With the week starting off at a fast pace and with the positive momentum from the previous Friday seemingly sticking around for a bit longer, most ...
Wednesday, 17 September 14
SHIPPING MARKET INSIGHT - GEORGE LAZARIDIS
Since the onslaught of 2013 the rising tide of asset prices had been primarily driven by the increasing freight market conditions and the improving ...
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- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Minerals Council of Australia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Planning Commission, India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- The University of Queensland
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Australian Coal Association
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- White Energy Company Limited
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
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