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Wednesday, 23 July 14
HARD COAL 2013: THE WORLD'S SECOND-MOST IMPORTANT ENERGY SOURCE AND GUARANTOR FOR THE SECURITY OF ENERGY SUPPLIES DURING TIMES OF CRISIS
Hard coal is again in 2013 the fastest-growing fossil primary energy source in the world. As shown in the BP Statistical Review 2014, it covered about 30% of the world’s demand for primary energy of 12.7 billion TOE (tonnes of oil equivalent).
According to the German Federal Institute for Geosciences and Natural Resources (BGR), coal, which has a share of 56% of the reserves and about 89% of the resources of all fossil primary energy sources, has the greatest potential among all of the non-renewable energy sources and has been declared to be the most important energy source.
Hard coal is also broadly distributed over many regions, and calculations by the VDKi based on today’s quantities, prices, and costs indicate that there are sufficient quantities to last for at least another 110 years. Even if a significant coal-exporting country were to prohibit the export of coal tomorrow (speaking theoretically), producing countries on other continents would be able to compensate the loss without any problems.
The VDKi would like to call attention to the fact that the debate on the security of supply has become one-sided and closely focused on securing supply using primary energy sources tied to pipelines. The primary topic is the security of our electric power supply. Coal has a number of advantages in this respect. In contrast to renewable energies, it is available at all times. Moreover, it is not tied to pipeline facilities, can be stockpiled as an energy source right at power plant sites, is found all around the world, and there are many and varied means of transport across both the Atlantic and the Pacific Oceans.
Global hard coal consumption rises by 3%
According to initial estimates by BP in its Statistical Review 2014, global energy consumption of 12.7bn TOE (= tonne oil equivalent = 1 tonne OE = oil equivalent = 1.43 TCE) in 2013 rose by a little less than 2.3% in comparison with 2012 (12.5bn TOE). The background to this development is the low or non-existent growth in many OECD countries such as in Europe and Japan (with the exception of the USA). Coal consumption continued to increase in China (+4.4%) and India (+3.8%), on the other hand, although growth was more moderate than in previous years.
Coal consumption once again posted the strongest rise. In comparison with 2012, there was growth of 3%. The decline in coal consumption in the USA by 11.9% in 2012 was followed by growth of 4.3% in 2013. In terms of the average growth rates of 3.5% over the past five years, coal is and remains the Number 1 source of primary energy in the 21st century and has been the second-most important source of primary energy in the world since 2012, surpassed only by oil.
Estimates by the EU Commission indicate that total primary energy consumption in Europe declined by 0.6% (98m TOE) to 1.49bn TOE. The initial estimates indicate that there has been virtually no change in the mix of primary energy sources used for electric power generation in the EU 28. Hard coal and lignite together maintained their share of 27%, while hard coal alone posted a share of 19% in spite of the massive expansion of renewable energies. However, hard coal output in Europe declined by 15m tonnes to 114m tonnes. On the other hand, hard coal imports to the EU 28 rose by 3m tonnes (+1.4%) to 216m tonnes.
Seaborne world trade in steam coal grows by 6% World trade in hard coal totalling 1,237m tonnes in 2013 represented an increase of 73m tonnes (about 6%) in comparison with the previous year. Seaborne and internal trade posted the following development: in 2013, seaborne trade rose by 60m tonnes to 1,142m tonnes (= +5.5%), while internal trade increased by 18m tonnes (= +16%) to 95m tonnes. The steam coal market grew by 4% (37m tonnes) to a total of 863m tonnes.
Projections from the IEA show that the demand for coal will grow worldwide by an average of 2.3% p.a. over the coming years.
Preliminary calculations by the VDKi for the first four months of 2014 indicate that the seaborne hard coal market worldwide grew by just under 3% (10m tonnes) in comparison with the same period of the previous year.
Coking coal market grows by 9%
Worldwide crude steel production in 2013 reached the level of 1,607m tonnes, a new record. The increase by 3.5% (59m tonnes) occurred mainly in Asia (+6%) and in the Middle East (+2.5%). Crude steel production in Europe, North and South America, Russia and Korea declined by between 1.8% and 4.4%. Pig iron production, the decisive factor for the consumption of coking coal, PCI coal and coke, rose by 52m tonnes (about 5%) to 1,164m tonnes. The coking coal market increased correspondingly by 23m tonnes (+9%) to 279m tonnes.
With the exception of Australia, there were no fundamental changes in the supplier structure. Australia’s market share increased by another 8 percentage points and has now reached the mark of 61%. The USA again lost market share to Australia and now holds a share of 20%.
Hard coal and coke imports to Germany rise by 10%, hard coal consumption increases by 4%
The demand for domestic German and imported hard coal rose by 2.4m TCE (4.1%) to almost 61m TCE in 2013. About 86% of the demand for hard coal was covered by imports; domestic coal today covers only about 14%. Total imports of hard coal and coke reached a new record level of 52.8m tonnes in 2013, an increase by 4.9m tonnes (10%) over 2012.
Most of the hard coal sales go to power plants as the dominant buyers (71%; previous year 66%) and the iron and steel industry (26%; previous year 30%); the heating market (4%) plays only a subordinate role. The import demand for steam coal was covered primarily by Russia, the USA and Colombia, while the primary supplier countries for coking coal were Australia (45%) and the USA (30%).
Power generation from hard coal-fired power plants rose substantially in 2013 thanks to the favourable price situation in comparison with gas and the low CO2 certificate prices in European emission trading. Hard coal-fired power plants supplied 124 TWh of electric power, about 8 TWh (6.5%) more than in the past year, giving hard coal a share of more than 19% in the energy mix in 2013.
The balance in power exchange (total exports less imports) in 2013 amounted to about 34 TWh, an increase of 46% over 2012.
The price advantage of coal over gas (difference between the so-called clean dark spread less clean spark spread) in recent years has fluctuated between €-15 and €-25 per MWh. However, this difference favouring hard coal must not be allowed to obscure the fact that the revenues from power generation are inadequate because of the artificially low prices on the EEX and their unfair competitive advantage created by the priority given to feed-in of renewable energies.
A German hard coal-fired power plant has generation costs of between €50/MWH and €60/MWh, depending on its age. At the moment, however, it receives only about €35/MWh for the generated base load, i.e. it can usually achieve only very low contribution margins, if any at all, with the consequence that power revenues fall far short of covering the total operating costs.
This has prompted Dr Wolfgang Cieslik, VDKi CEO, to call on politicians for action:
“We urgently need a form of regulation which will guarantee hard coal-fired power plants a return to profitability in the long term as well because this is the only course which can guarantee the security and profitability of power supply and the successful realisation of the energy turnaround.”
Despite the increase in steam coal imports of 3.3% in Q1 2014, the VDKi estimates that only 37m tonnes of steam coal and 51m tonnes of hard coal and coke in total will be imported during all of 2014.
Price developments: A surplus in supply meets moderate demand
Developments in which a worldwide surplus in the supply of coal runs into demand which is not growing fast enough began in 2011, and the trend continued in 2013. Prices remained under pressure in 2013 as a result. From October 2013 to today (beginning of July 2014) alone, prices for steam coal fell from US$89/tonne to US$72/tonne, about 20%. The same is true of coking coal prices. Both coking coal and coke prices declined in 2013 because of the general slump in demand accompanied by a simultaneous expansion in supply.
While prices between US$160 and US$165/tonne were still being paid for coking coal at the beginning of 2013, this level had decreased to US$138/tonne by the end of 2013. This development continues to hold sway in 2014; as of the middle of 2014, spot prices for HCC quality had fallen to US$116/tonne.
- German Coal Importer Association -
About the German Coal Importer Association
The Verein der Kohlenimporteure e.V. (VDKi) is the lobby organisation for the hard coal import market in Germany. Its German and European members come from the sectors power, industry, trade and logistics. The Association currently has 78 members who consume about 70% of the German demand for hard coal of approximately 61 million tonnes in their facilities. The VDKi clearly represents the major part of the hard coal market (German domestic and imported hard coal) in Germany.
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Sunday, 30 March 14
FREIGHTS FROM INDONESIA TO INDIA IS EXPECTED TO BE SOFT NEXT WEEK - REDDY
COALspot.com: The freight market dropped drastically and all sectors were affected severely.
The BDI was down by 14.13 pct and closed at 1, ...
Friday, 28 March 14
US PRODUCED APPROXIMATELY 18.9 MMST IN A WEEK - EIA
COALspot.com – United States the world's second largest coal producer, produced approximately 18.9 million short tons (mmst) of coal i ...
Friday, 28 March 14
CHINA'S ENVIRONMENTAL MEASURES WILL NOT CURB GROWTH IN DOMESTIC STEEL PRODUCTION AND SEABORNE IRON ORE - WOOD MACKENZIE SAYS
Steel plants in China have been targeted as a major source of the toxic smog enveloping Beijing and Shanghai. Emergency measures have been impos ...
Thursday, 27 March 14
PANAMAX : SEEMS TO HEAD FURTHER DOWN; CAPESIZE : ANOTHER CHOPPY AND UNPREDICTABLE WEEK - FEARNLEYS AS
Handy
A weaker sentiment for the smaller size as well, with reduced activity in the Atlantic where Owners have to face significantly lower ret ...
Wednesday, 26 March 14
NEWBUILDING ORDERING ACTIVITY PICKS UP PACE ON IMPROVING DRY BULK MARKET CONDITIONS - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS
The gradual improvement of the dry bulk market, as expected for some time now, is urging shipowners to increase their newbuilding ordering activ ...
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- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Australian Coal Association
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Economic Council, Georgia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- PTC India Limited - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- The University of Queensland
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- White Energy Company Limited
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
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