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Monday, 14 July 14
THE END OF THE ERA OF HEAVY FUEL OIL IN MARITIME SHIPPING - ICCT
KNOWLEDGE TO ELEVATE
Since the 1960s, heavy fuel oil (HFO) has been the king of marine fuels. Viscous, dirty, yet inexpensive and widely available, HFO propelled a long period of robust growth in international shipping, which carries over 90% of intercontinental trade by volume each year. For many, it is the lifeblood of the maritime shipping industry.
But HFO’s low price does not reflect its impacts on the environment and human health. The sulfur content of HFO can be up to 35,000 parts per million. It is the reason that maritime shipping accounts for 8% of global emissions of sulfur dioxide (SO2), making the industry an important source for acid rain as well as respiratory diseases. In some populous port cities, such as Hong Kong, shipping is the largest single source of SO2 emissions as well as emissions of particulate matter (PM), which are directly tied to the sulfur content of fuel. By one estimate, PM emissions from maritime shipping led to 87,000 premature deaths worldwide in 2012.
The International Maritime Organization (IMO), the governing body of international shipping, has made a decisive effort to diversify the industry away from HFO into cleaner fuels with less harmful effects on the environment and human health. Effective in 2015, ships operated within the Emission Control Areas (ECAs) covering the Economic Exclusive Zone of North America, the Baltic Sea, the North Sea, and the English Channel will begin to use Marine Gas Oil (MGO) with allowable sulfur content up to 1,000 ppm. Starting from 2020, ships sailing outside ECAs will switch to Marine Diesel Oil (MDO) with permitted sulfur content up to 5,000 ppm.*
That tectonic shift also creates openings for a variety of new fuels. Liquefied nature gas (LNG), newly abundant and relatively affordable, is attracting the attention of many shipping companies. Although the lack of infrastructure and the uncertainty of future prices have slowed the “dash to gas,” many expect LNG to establish itself as one of major alternatives to HFO in the future. Lloyds Registry, a shipping classification society, expects LNG to take 11% of the market share in 2030.
Meanwhile, Stena Teknik, a Swedish company, is testing methanol, another natural gas product, but one that requires less storage space in a ship and is relatively easier to handle. While natural gas-based fuels may sometimes offer questionable climate benefits, due to methane leakage concerns, the IMO’s low-sulfur regulation may create needed openings for other zero-sulfur, low-carbon marine fuels. Tests using fuel cells on the Viking Lady, an offshore supply ship, demonstrated promising results.
Wind kites and solar panels have already been installed on numerous ships to supplement marine diesel engines. Even HFO will not completely disappear from the menu of marine fuels. Combined with scrubbers that capture more than 99% of the sulfur from the exhaust gas, HFO will continue to play an important role. Lloyds Registry reckons that HFO will represent about 40% of fuel use by 2030.
The shift to cleaner but pricier low-sulfur fuels is likely to heighten interest in the “fifth fuel”: energy efficiency. Historically, the maritime shipping industry, where energy often accounts for over half of operating costs, has responded to escalating fuel prices with innovative energy-saving strategies. To cite a recent example: in 2008, as fuel prices went through the roof, shipping lines cut their operating speeds by as much as 50%, helping many companies stay afloat amid one of the worst downturns in history. In an analysis of satellite data on ship operations, we’ve estimated that the industry can further slash 100 million ton of fuel use by 2030 through wider implementation of energy-saving measures that were adopted by industry leaders in 2011.
This is in addition to savings of 90 million tons of fuel because of the Energy Efficiency Design Index (EEDI), a mandatory program that will require new ships to achieve certain efficiency targets beginning in 2015.
The continued diversification of marine fuels and improvements in energy efficiency have important implications. First and foremost, they may alleviate concerns about the availability of low-sulfur fuels. Figure 1 illustrates one possible scenario, using our forecast on future marine fuel consumption and energy efficiency improvements as well as Lloyds Registry’s estimate of market shares for HFO and LNG. The efficiency improvement of the legacy fleet is the greatest force driving down the need for low-sulfur fuels, equivalent to adding about 110 “negatons” of fuel, or almost 24% of projected demand. HFO combined with scrubbers, EEDI, and distillates (MGO plus MDO) are almost neck and neck, each representing about 20% of fuel use in the chart. LNG is coming of age, with its share doubling between 2020 and 2030. Other fuels, such as renewables, fuel cells, and biofuels, are expected to hold only small market shares in 2030.
Second, the new fuels are on a collision course with IMO safety regulations concerning flashpoint, the temperature at which a fuel can vaporize to form an ignitable mixture in air.
The IMO currently requires marine fuels to have a minimum flashpoint of 60°C. But low-sulfur fuels have a lower flashpoint (50° to 55°C), meaning that they are “off-spec” and cannot be used under the IMO rule. The flashpoint requirement, which went into effect in 1976, was meant to provide a large margin of error to ensure the temperature of the engine room (normally below 45°C) does not exceed the flashpoint in any circumstance. But according to industry heavyweights such as Maersk and BIMCO, modern technologies such as advanced ventilation systems provide an adequate safety margin, and they argue that keeping the flashpoint requirement will cause the industry to miss the opportunity represented by the increased availability of low-sulfur, low-flashpoint fuels. Industry and member states such as the U.S. are urging the IMO to accelerate its consideration of an amendment to the flashpoint requirement.
By: Haifeng Wang / The International Council of Clean Transportation
*Implementation of the requirement is subject to a review of fuel availability to be completed by 2016.
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Thursday, 20 March 14
CAPESIZE: WEST AUSTRALIA TO CHINA RATES HAVE CLIMBED BACK TOWARD USD 11 PMT - FEARNRESEARCH
Handy
From a slight improvement in the Atlantic to a more mixed picture this mid week. North Atlantic rounds showing softening signs whereas S ...
Wednesday, 19 March 14
INSTEAD OF DECIDING WHETHER THE GLASS IS HALF FULL OR HALF EMPTY, I AM CURRENTLY GLAD THERE IS WATER IN THE GLASS - EVA TZIMA
By Eva Tzima
Research Analyst
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Right when you think that you have all your facts straight, right wh ...
Wednesday, 19 March 14
EUROCOKE SUMMIT 2014
Press Release: ThyssenKrupp, Steel Institute VDEh, SSI and more headline Smithers Apex’s Eurocoke Summit
The leading coke, coal and s ...
Wednesday, 19 March 14
DRY BULK MARKET REBOUND LEADS TO MORE NEWBUILDING ORDERS - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS
The steady rise of the dry bulk market, as evidenced by the return, yesterday, of the Baltic Dry Index above the 1,500-point mark (1,518), is fu ...
Tuesday, 18 March 14
SECOND QUARTER SUB-BIT FOB INDONESIA COAL SWAP LOST 3.27% IN A MONTH
COALspot.com – Indonesia, the world’s largest exporter of the thermal coal's swaps for delivery April - June 2014 gained this pa ...
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- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
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- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
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- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
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- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
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- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
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- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
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- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
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- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Australian Coal Association
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Planning Commission, India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
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- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
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- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
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- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- VISA Power Limited - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- The University of Queensland
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
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- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
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- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
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- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
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