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Friday, 23 May 14
DRY BULK NEWBUILDING CANCELLATIONS COULD HELP SUPPORT MARKET IN THE COMING WEEKS - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS
The dry bulk market's demise over the past few months maybe has come as a surprise to many, but analysts and shipbrokers are looking forward to the coming months with more optimism, mainly as a result of improving conditions in terms of tonnage supply. According to the latest weekly report from shipbroker Intermodal, "things have started to look brighter for several of the OECD countries, with both Europe and the U.S. seeing an increase in their respective growth forecasts. For the latter, many are expecting an improvement over the second half of the year, as the ample cash flow and improved demand should eventually boost their imports significantly. These are more likely to effect the tanker and more importantly container markets and should give both these a boost. It doesn’t just stop there though".
According to Mr. George Lazaridis, Research Analyst with Intermodal, "there is still ample seaborne trade to be seen this year and as the fleet growth has now been limited, shipping markets should be able to perform better then what they had 2-3 years back. In the dry bulk market we have seen 240 newbuildings delivered up until now, while from the remaining 584 vessels scheduled for 2014, a significant number are likely to either be delayed or even cancelled.
It is important to note here that even during 2013 and while the market was on a more optimistic tone, the combined slippage and cancellation rate was 36.5%, while during 2014, 58 newbuildings have already either been re-scheduled for post 2014 or cancelled. Similarly, in the Tanker sector deliveries for this year are mild in contrast to past years. What’s more is that the Tanker sector also holds much better trade prospects for the remainder of the year and this could lead to a better year in terms of earnings", he noted.
In an attempt to explain the lacklustre performance of the shipping markets during the first few months of 2014, Mr. Lazaridis noted that "the recent revision by the OECD of its global growth forecast has sparked a debate as to the potential outcome these new figures will have on seaborne trade. The main concern has been the slower expansion of China and other emerging markets. These markets have been the prime movers of trade over the past decade and as we witnessed over the past months, things are starting to become a tighter in terms of activity of bulk commodities.
The most important factor has been the crackdown on lending by the Chinese, which in turn prompted many organizations to revise their forecasts on Chinese GDP this year from a previous prediction of 8.2 percent, down to 7.4 percent. At the same time, many are confident that should there be a sharp slowdown in economic activity, the People’s Bank of China will step in and ease some of its monetary policies. Nevertheless, we have already seen these lending restrictions take effect on certain trades, with even difficulties in issuing letters of credit by some traders cutting down their import volumes", he said.
Mr. Lazaridis added that "the dry bulk market has felt the main brunt of these new trends, with the spring season being more limited in cargoes than usual and rates having taken a sharp turn for the worst through most of the past months. This has caused many to revise their ideas as to the overall freight market performance for 2014 and has even brought a halt in the previously peaking SnP activity, pushing for a correction in asset prices. Early May has seen an average of 3% drop in dry bulk asset prices compared to where they stood at the end of April and as many potential buyers are waiting for further corrections, this downturn could easily continue at least up until the first half of the summer".
Concluding, he noted that "all this could possibly see for a higher investment interest especially come September were we typically start to see a firmer freight market in the Dry Bulk, Tanker and Container markets. It looks as now it’s a bit of a “wait and see” game and as the clouds of uncertainty clear out we should end up with a clearer picture as to where the market is going".
Source: Nikos Roussanoglou, Hellenic Shipping News
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Monday, 05 May 14
SUB BIT-FOB INDONESIA COAL SWAPS LOST GROUND LAST WEEK
COALspot.com: Indonesian coal swaps for average Q3’ 2014 lost on day, week and on month according to AsiaClear OTC coal swap's reports ...
Monday, 05 May 14
API 8 CFR SOUTH CHINA COAL SWAP FOR AVERAGE Q3 14 DELIVERIES: LOST 0.82% M-O-M
COALspot.com: API 8 CFR South China Coal swaps for average Q3 14 deliveries lost 0.82 percent month on month and closed at US$ 75.20 per mt as o ...
Sunday, 04 May 14
INDONESIA TO INDIA FREIGHT RATES ARE SHOWING POSITIVE TREND
COALspot.com: The freight market is seems to be some recovery as cape index has increased by 7.84 pct week on week. Cape index closed at 1829 po ...
Friday, 02 May 14
ADARO ENERGY STARTS YEAR 2014 WELL DESPITE CURRENT MARKET CONDITIONS
COALspot.com: Adaro Energy, the second largest Indonesian coal miner's revenue increased 14% to US$ 845 million due to higher sales volume, ...
Friday, 02 May 14
US WEEKLY COAL PRODUCTION RELATIVELY FLAT AT -0.1%, SAYS EIA
COALspot.com – United States the world's second largest coal producer, produced approximately 19.0 million short tons (mmst) of coal i ...
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- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- The University of Queensland
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- MS Steel International - UAE
- White Energy Company Limited
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Australian Coal Association
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
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