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Friday, 23 May 14
DRY BULK NEWBUILDING CANCELLATIONS COULD HELP SUPPORT MARKET IN THE COMING WEEKS - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS
The dry bulk market's demise over the past few months maybe has come as a surprise to many, but analysts and shipbrokers are looking forward to the coming months with more optimism, mainly as a result of improving conditions in terms of tonnage supply. According to the latest weekly report from shipbroker Intermodal, "things have started to look brighter for several of the OECD countries, with both Europe and the U.S. seeing an increase in their respective growth forecasts. For the latter, many are expecting an improvement over the second half of the year, as the ample cash flow and improved demand should eventually boost their imports significantly. These are more likely to effect the tanker and more importantly container markets and should give both these a boost. It doesn’t just stop there though".
According to Mr. George Lazaridis, Research Analyst with Intermodal, "there is still ample seaborne trade to be seen this year and as the fleet growth has now been limited, shipping markets should be able to perform better then what they had 2-3 years back. In the dry bulk market we have seen 240 newbuildings delivered up until now, while from the remaining 584 vessels scheduled for 2014, a significant number are likely to either be delayed or even cancelled.
It is important to note here that even during 2013 and while the market was on a more optimistic tone, the combined slippage and cancellation rate was 36.5%, while during 2014, 58 newbuildings have already either been re-scheduled for post 2014 or cancelled. Similarly, in the Tanker sector deliveries for this year are mild in contrast to past years. What’s more is that the Tanker sector also holds much better trade prospects for the remainder of the year and this could lead to a better year in terms of earnings", he noted.
In an attempt to explain the lacklustre performance of the shipping markets during the first few months of 2014, Mr. Lazaridis noted that "the recent revision by the OECD of its global growth forecast has sparked a debate as to the potential outcome these new figures will have on seaborne trade. The main concern has been the slower expansion of China and other emerging markets. These markets have been the prime movers of trade over the past decade and as we witnessed over the past months, things are starting to become a tighter in terms of activity of bulk commodities.
The most important factor has been the crackdown on lending by the Chinese, which in turn prompted many organizations to revise their forecasts on Chinese GDP this year from a previous prediction of 8.2 percent, down to 7.4 percent. At the same time, many are confident that should there be a sharp slowdown in economic activity, the People’s Bank of China will step in and ease some of its monetary policies. Nevertheless, we have already seen these lending restrictions take effect on certain trades, with even difficulties in issuing letters of credit by some traders cutting down their import volumes", he said.
Mr. Lazaridis added that "the dry bulk market has felt the main brunt of these new trends, with the spring season being more limited in cargoes than usual and rates having taken a sharp turn for the worst through most of the past months. This has caused many to revise their ideas as to the overall freight market performance for 2014 and has even brought a halt in the previously peaking SnP activity, pushing for a correction in asset prices. Early May has seen an average of 3% drop in dry bulk asset prices compared to where they stood at the end of April and as many potential buyers are waiting for further corrections, this downturn could easily continue at least up until the first half of the summer".
Concluding, he noted that "all this could possibly see for a higher investment interest especially come September were we typically start to see a firmer freight market in the Dry Bulk, Tanker and Container markets. It looks as now it’s a bit of a “wait and see” game and as the clouds of uncertainty clear out we should end up with a clearer picture as to where the market is going".
Source: Nikos Roussanoglou, Hellenic Shipping News
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Monday, 12 May 14
DRY BULK MARKET IS STILL STRUGGLING TO FIND FIRM FOOTING
COALspot.com: The freight market continued to be weak and the BDI closed slightly lower at 997 points or fell 1.96 pct week on week. The cape in ...
Friday, 09 May 14
RBCT SHIPPED 5.4 MMT OF COAL IN APRIL
COALspot.com: South Africa's Richards Bay Coal Terminal (RBCT) the single largest coal export terminal in the world, shipped 5.45 million to ...
Friday, 09 May 14
DRY BULK MARKET: BANKRUPTCY TONNAGE UNLEASHED
Drewry’s latest Dry Bulk Forecaster saw freight rates on most routes declined in 2014’s first quarter as the previous quarter’ ...
Friday, 09 May 14
UNITED STATES COAL PRODUCTION SLIGHTLY SLIDES TO 82.4 MMST IN APRIL
COALspot.com – United States the world's second largest coal producer, produced approximately 18.8 million short tons (mmst) of coal i ...
Thursday, 08 May 14
'TRIAL BY MEDIA, TRIAL BY LAW' - A REPORT FROM TRACK 1 OF BIMCO'S ANNUAL CONFERENCE DUBAI 2014
KNOWLEDGE TO ELEVATE
Aiming to bring a very different type of event into their annual conference, BIMCO presented ‘Double Jeopardy &n ...
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- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- White Energy Company Limited
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- The University of Queensland
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Planning Commission, India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
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