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Friday, 23 May 14
DRY BULK NEWBUILDING CANCELLATIONS COULD HELP SUPPORT MARKET IN THE COMING WEEKS - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS
The dry bulk market's demise over the past few months maybe has come as a surprise to many, but analysts and shipbrokers are looking forward to the coming months with more optimism, mainly as a result of improving conditions in terms of tonnage supply. According to the latest weekly report from shipbroker Intermodal, "things have started to look brighter for several of the OECD countries, with both Europe and the U.S. seeing an increase in their respective growth forecasts. For the latter, many are expecting an improvement over the second half of the year, as the ample cash flow and improved demand should eventually boost their imports significantly. These are more likely to effect the tanker and more importantly container markets and should give both these a boost. It doesn’t just stop there though".
According to Mr. George Lazaridis, Research Analyst with Intermodal, "there is still ample seaborne trade to be seen this year and as the fleet growth has now been limited, shipping markets should be able to perform better then what they had 2-3 years back. In the dry bulk market we have seen 240 newbuildings delivered up until now, while from the remaining 584 vessels scheduled for 2014, a significant number are likely to either be delayed or even cancelled.
It is important to note here that even during 2013 and while the market was on a more optimistic tone, the combined slippage and cancellation rate was 36.5%, while during 2014, 58 newbuildings have already either been re-scheduled for post 2014 or cancelled. Similarly, in the Tanker sector deliveries for this year are mild in contrast to past years. What’s more is that the Tanker sector also holds much better trade prospects for the remainder of the year and this could lead to a better year in terms of earnings", he noted.
In an attempt to explain the lacklustre performance of the shipping markets during the first few months of 2014, Mr. Lazaridis noted that "the recent revision by the OECD of its global growth forecast has sparked a debate as to the potential outcome these new figures will have on seaborne trade. The main concern has been the slower expansion of China and other emerging markets. These markets have been the prime movers of trade over the past decade and as we witnessed over the past months, things are starting to become a tighter in terms of activity of bulk commodities.
The most important factor has been the crackdown on lending by the Chinese, which in turn prompted many organizations to revise their forecasts on Chinese GDP this year from a previous prediction of 8.2 percent, down to 7.4 percent. At the same time, many are confident that should there be a sharp slowdown in economic activity, the People’s Bank of China will step in and ease some of its monetary policies. Nevertheless, we have already seen these lending restrictions take effect on certain trades, with even difficulties in issuing letters of credit by some traders cutting down their import volumes", he said.
Mr. Lazaridis added that "the dry bulk market has felt the main brunt of these new trends, with the spring season being more limited in cargoes than usual and rates having taken a sharp turn for the worst through most of the past months. This has caused many to revise their ideas as to the overall freight market performance for 2014 and has even brought a halt in the previously peaking SnP activity, pushing for a correction in asset prices. Early May has seen an average of 3% drop in dry bulk asset prices compared to where they stood at the end of April and as many potential buyers are waiting for further corrections, this downturn could easily continue at least up until the first half of the summer".
Concluding, he noted that "all this could possibly see for a higher investment interest especially come September were we typically start to see a firmer freight market in the Dry Bulk, Tanker and Container markets. It looks as now it’s a bit of a “wait and see” game and as the clouds of uncertainty clear out we should end up with a clearer picture as to where the market is going".
Source: Nikos Roussanoglou, Hellenic Shipping News
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Thursday, 26 June 14
COAL DIVESTMENT CAMPAIGNS COME WITH RISKY UNINTENDED CONSEQUENCES - WCA
Last week I presented to the Expert Group on investments in coal and petroleum companies, the body set up to advise the Norwegian Government on whe ...
Wednesday, 25 June 14
INDONESIAN COAL EXPORTS ON RISE; EARNINGS FALL ON LOWER SELLING PRICES
COALspot.com: Indonesia, one of the world's largest coal producer and the global largest multi grade coal exporter shipped around $1.84* ...
Wednesday, 25 June 14
THE PANAMAX MARKET REACHED FRESH LOWS FOR THE YEAR, SAYS INTERMODAL
COALspot.com: The Dry Bulk market closed off the week noting a slight decrease, but this image of stability is merely representative of freight rat ...
Wednesday, 25 June 14
SHIPPING: MARKET INSIGHT - YANNIS OLZIERSKY
During his recent visit in London, China's Premier, Li Keqiang, announced that China's economy, the world's second largest after the US ...
Tuesday, 24 June 14
INDONESIAN COAL MINER TARGETS RP 313 BILLION IPO
COALspot.com: Indonesian coal miner PT Mitrabara Adiperdana is aiming to raise up to Rp 313 billion to Rp 368 billion (approximately $26.133 millio ...
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- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Australian Coal Association
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- The University of Queensland
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Planning Commission, India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- PTC India Limited - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
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