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Friday, 23 May 14
DRY BULK NEWBUILDING CANCELLATIONS COULD HELP SUPPORT MARKET IN THE COMING WEEKS - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS
The dry bulk market's demise over the past few months maybe has come as a surprise to many, but analysts and shipbrokers are looking forward to the coming months with more optimism, mainly as a result of improving conditions in terms of tonnage supply. According to the latest weekly report from shipbroker Intermodal, "things have started to look brighter for several of the OECD countries, with both Europe and the U.S. seeing an increase in their respective growth forecasts. For the latter, many are expecting an improvement over the second half of the year, as the ample cash flow and improved demand should eventually boost their imports significantly. These are more likely to effect the tanker and more importantly container markets and should give both these a boost. It doesn’t just stop there though".
According to Mr. George Lazaridis, Research Analyst with Intermodal, "there is still ample seaborne trade to be seen this year and as the fleet growth has now been limited, shipping markets should be able to perform better then what they had 2-3 years back. In the dry bulk market we have seen 240 newbuildings delivered up until now, while from the remaining 584 vessels scheduled for 2014, a significant number are likely to either be delayed or even cancelled.
It is important to note here that even during 2013 and while the market was on a more optimistic tone, the combined slippage and cancellation rate was 36.5%, while during 2014, 58 newbuildings have already either been re-scheduled for post 2014 or cancelled. Similarly, in the Tanker sector deliveries for this year are mild in contrast to past years. What’s more is that the Tanker sector also holds much better trade prospects for the remainder of the year and this could lead to a better year in terms of earnings", he noted.
In an attempt to explain the lacklustre performance of the shipping markets during the first few months of 2014, Mr. Lazaridis noted that "the recent revision by the OECD of its global growth forecast has sparked a debate as to the potential outcome these new figures will have on seaborne trade. The main concern has been the slower expansion of China and other emerging markets. These markets have been the prime movers of trade over the past decade and as we witnessed over the past months, things are starting to become a tighter in terms of activity of bulk commodities.
The most important factor has been the crackdown on lending by the Chinese, which in turn prompted many organizations to revise their forecasts on Chinese GDP this year from a previous prediction of 8.2 percent, down to 7.4 percent. At the same time, many are confident that should there be a sharp slowdown in economic activity, the People’s Bank of China will step in and ease some of its monetary policies. Nevertheless, we have already seen these lending restrictions take effect on certain trades, with even difficulties in issuing letters of credit by some traders cutting down their import volumes", he said.
Mr. Lazaridis added that "the dry bulk market has felt the main brunt of these new trends, with the spring season being more limited in cargoes than usual and rates having taken a sharp turn for the worst through most of the past months. This has caused many to revise their ideas as to the overall freight market performance for 2014 and has even brought a halt in the previously peaking SnP activity, pushing for a correction in asset prices. Early May has seen an average of 3% drop in dry bulk asset prices compared to where they stood at the end of April and as many potential buyers are waiting for further corrections, this downturn could easily continue at least up until the first half of the summer".
Concluding, he noted that "all this could possibly see for a higher investment interest especially come September were we typically start to see a firmer freight market in the Dry Bulk, Tanker and Container markets. It looks as now it’s a bit of a “wait and see” game and as the clouds of uncertainty clear out we should end up with a clearer picture as to where the market is going".
Source: Nikos Roussanoglou, Hellenic Shipping News
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Wednesday, 02 July 14
THE PANAMAX MARKET CONTINUED TO BLEED FOR ANOTHER WEEK - INTERMODAL
COALspot.com: The Dry Bulk market succumbed to mounting pressure this past week, while the Capesize market proved unable to “save the day&rdq ...
Wednesday, 02 July 14
HANDY BULKERS PROVE TO BE THE MOST SOUGHT AFTER VESSELS OVER THE PAST WEEK - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS
The Handy dry bulker proved to be the most sought after ship by ship owners active in the second hand market, which saw a slight decline in terms o ...
Wednesday, 02 July 14
SHIPPING: MARKET INSIGHT - GEORGE DERMATIS
After 6 months, 57 ministerial meetings and 67 political agreements, the journey of the Greek Presidency in the EU reached its end yesterday; only ...
Tuesday, 01 July 14
INDIAN POWER PLANT COAL STOCKPILES VERY LOW
COALspot.com: According to today's Weekly Dry Bulk Report published by Commodore Research, Indian power plant coal stockpiles have now fallen t ...
Monday, 30 June 14
SUB-BIT FOB INDONESIA COAL PRICES ARE STILL STRUGGLING TO RECOVER
COALspot.com: Indonesian coal swaps for average Q3’ 2014 lost on week and on month according to AsiaClear OTC coal swap's reports release ...
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- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Planning Commission, India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- VISA Power Limited - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- The University of Queensland
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- PTC India Limited - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
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