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Wednesday, 23 April 14
EUROPE WOULD BE HARD PRESSED TO REPLACE RUSSIAN GAS, FITCH RATINGS SAYS
A ban on Russian gas imports to the EU would cause substantial disruption to Europe's economy and industry, Fitch Ratings says. In the immediate aftermath, the region would suffer from gas shortages and high prices due to its limited ability to reduce demand, source alternative supplies and transport gas to the most affected countries. A surge in gas prices after a ban would probably also have knock-on effects on electricity, coal and oil prices. Industry would bear the brunt of supply shortages as household demand would be given priority.
A lengthy ban on Russian gas is a low-probability, but high-impact scenario. Russia supplies around 27% of Europe's gas and, given the high cost a ban would impose on all sides, we believe it would take a severe deterioration in the Ukraine crisis for it to happen. A temporary disruption just affecting gas supplies via Ukraine is a more likely scenario, for which Europe is better prepared due to high reserves and the recent opening of a new pipeline from Russia to Germany.
In the event of a lengthy ban imposed by either Europe or Russia, gas-intensive sectors such as steel and chemicals would be most affected. This would accelerate the closure or mothballing of capacity that is suffering from low profitability due to competition from low-cost energy jurisdictions such as the US or Middle East. In particular, issuers without geographic and product diversification would be most at risk of adverse rating action.
In 2013 Russia supplied 145bcm of gas to Europe, which would have great difficulty in sourcing alternative supplies. Increased European gas production and North African piped gas could offset a small proportion of this. Tapping into the global LNG market would yield limited volumes as Europe's Russian gas demand equates to nearly half of the world's LNG production, which is already mostly tied to long-term supply contracts. Hence, gas and other energy prices could surge.
In theory, Europe has plenty of unused LNG regasification capacity, which could help replace some Russian supplies. But the majority of plants are located in Southern Europe and the UK, far away from the Central and Eastern European countries that are most reliant on Russian gas. The European gas networks suffer from bottlenecks, which limit the ability to transport gas across borders.
Demand reduction initiatives would only be of limited benefit. Japan was able to reduce power demand by 4.7% following the Fukushima disaster, but this was partly weather-related and achieving that level of reduction across 28 countries with their own agendas and exposures would be far harder.
For more details on the impact that a ban on Russian gas would have on Europe, please see the report "Living Without Russian Gas - Replacing Russian Gas in the Short-term" published today and available from www.fitchratings.com. The report is the first in a series that will examine the potential impact on European utilities and how Europe could reduce its energy reliance on Russia in the longer term.
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Thursday, 09 January 14
THE SHIPPING MARKET IN 2013 AND LOOKING FORWARD GLOBAL ECONOMY: STEADY AS SHE GOES UPWARDS - BIMCO
Over the past year, developed economies have gained traction while developing and emerging economies have suffered from slower growth. Despite key e ...
Wednesday, 08 January 14
DRY BULK MARKET PROSPECTS LOOKING BRIGHTER DESPITE SLOW START TO THE NEW YEAR - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS
Despite the fact that the dry bulk market's benchmark, the BDI has been on a fall since the start of 2014, ending yesterday's session down to 1,87 ...
Wednesday, 08 January 14
AUSTRALIAN NEWCASTLE PORT'S WEEKLY COAL EXPORTS FALL
COALspot.com: In the week ended January 6, power plant and semi-soft coking coal shipments from the port of Newcastle in Queensland, totalled 3.27 m ...
Wednesday, 08 January 14
THE DRY BULK MARKET HAS LOST SOME OF ITS STEAM THESE PAST COUPLE OF DAYS: INTERMODAL
Chartering (Wet: Softer- / Dry: Softer- )
The Dry Bulk market has lost some of its steam these past couple of days although hires, espe ...
Wednesday, 08 January 14
SHIPPING: THE ABSOLUTE BOTTOM OF THE CYCLE WAS REACHED AND PASSED - GEORGE LAZARIDIS
COALspot.com: To many in the industry 2013 has been the turning point in the market where the absolute bottom of the cycle was reached and passed.
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- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Planning Commission, India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- White Energy Company Limited
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- The University of Queensland
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- PTC India Limited - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
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