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Wednesday, 23 April 14
EUROPE WOULD BE HARD PRESSED TO REPLACE RUSSIAN GAS, FITCH RATINGS SAYS
A ban on Russian gas imports to the EU would cause substantial disruption to Europe's economy and industry, Fitch Ratings says. In the immediate aftermath, the region would suffer from gas shortages and high prices due to its limited ability to reduce demand, source alternative supplies and transport gas to the most affected countries. A surge in gas prices after a ban would probably also have knock-on effects on electricity, coal and oil prices. Industry would bear the brunt of supply shortages as household demand would be given priority.
A lengthy ban on Russian gas is a low-probability, but high-impact scenario. Russia supplies around 27% of Europe's gas and, given the high cost a ban would impose on all sides, we believe it would take a severe deterioration in the Ukraine crisis for it to happen. A temporary disruption just affecting gas supplies via Ukraine is a more likely scenario, for which Europe is better prepared due to high reserves and the recent opening of a new pipeline from Russia to Germany.
In the event of a lengthy ban imposed by either Europe or Russia, gas-intensive sectors such as steel and chemicals would be most affected. This would accelerate the closure or mothballing of capacity that is suffering from low profitability due to competition from low-cost energy jurisdictions such as the US or Middle East. In particular, issuers without geographic and product diversification would be most at risk of adverse rating action.
In 2013 Russia supplied 145bcm of gas to Europe, which would have great difficulty in sourcing alternative supplies. Increased European gas production and North African piped gas could offset a small proportion of this. Tapping into the global LNG market would yield limited volumes as Europe's Russian gas demand equates to nearly half of the world's LNG production, which is already mostly tied to long-term supply contracts. Hence, gas and other energy prices could surge.
In theory, Europe has plenty of unused LNG regasification capacity, which could help replace some Russian supplies. But the majority of plants are located in Southern Europe and the UK, far away from the Central and Eastern European countries that are most reliant on Russian gas. The European gas networks suffer from bottlenecks, which limit the ability to transport gas across borders.
Demand reduction initiatives would only be of limited benefit. Japan was able to reduce power demand by 4.7% following the Fukushima disaster, but this was partly weather-related and achieving that level of reduction across 28 countries with their own agendas and exposures would be far harder.
For more details on the impact that a ban on Russian gas would have on Europe, please see the report "Living Without Russian Gas - Replacing Russian Gas in the Short-term" published today and available from www.fitchratings.com. The report is the first in a series that will examine the potential impact on European utilities and how Europe could reduce its energy reliance on Russia in the longer term.
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Tuesday, 22 April 14
INDONESIAN MARCH COAL EXPORT VOLUME SURGE 9.12% TO 35.54 MMT
COALspot.com: Indonesia, one of the world's largest coal producer and the global largest multi grade coal exporter shipped around $1.9 ...
Tuesday, 22 April 14
NEWCASTLE WEEKLY COAL EXPORTS FELL 13.33% THIS PAST WEEK
COALspot.com: In the week ended 07:00 hours 21 April 2014, power plant and semi-soft coking coal shipments from the port of Newcastle in Queensl ...
Monday, 21 April 14
Q1'15 SUB-BIT FOB INDONESIA COAL SWAP SHOWING A POSITIVE TREND
COALspot.com: Indonesian coal swaps for average Q2’ 2014 gain on month and on week according to AsiaClear OTC coal swap's reports rele ...
Monday, 21 April 14
Q4 2014 AND Q1 2015 COAL SWAPS CLOSED MARGINALLY HIGHER COMPARED TO Q2 PRICES
COALspot.com: API 8 CFR South China Coal swaps for average Q2 14 deliveries gained 0.87 percent month on month and closed at US$ 76.15 per mt as ...
Monday, 21 April 14
DRY BULK MARKET UPS AND - MOST RECENTLY - DOWNS OFFERS NO ROOM FOR RELAXING AMONG DRY BULK SHIP OWNERS - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS
The dry bulk market's latest demise, with the market retrating once again, since the end of March, has come at a time, when most ship owners ...
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- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Planning Commission, India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- The University of Queensland
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- PTC India Limited - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Australian Coal Association
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
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