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Wednesday, 23 April 14
EUROPE WOULD BE HARD PRESSED TO REPLACE RUSSIAN GAS, FITCH RATINGS SAYS
A ban on Russian gas imports to the EU would cause substantial disruption to Europe's economy and industry, Fitch Ratings says. In the immediate aftermath, the region would suffer from gas shortages and high prices due to its limited ability to reduce demand, source alternative supplies and transport gas to the most affected countries. A surge in gas prices after a ban would probably also have knock-on effects on electricity, coal and oil prices. Industry would bear the brunt of supply shortages as household demand would be given priority.
A lengthy ban on Russian gas is a low-probability, but high-impact scenario. Russia supplies around 27% of Europe's gas and, given the high cost a ban would impose on all sides, we believe it would take a severe deterioration in the Ukraine crisis for it to happen. A temporary disruption just affecting gas supplies via Ukraine is a more likely scenario, for which Europe is better prepared due to high reserves and the recent opening of a new pipeline from Russia to Germany.
In the event of a lengthy ban imposed by either Europe or Russia, gas-intensive sectors such as steel and chemicals would be most affected. This would accelerate the closure or mothballing of capacity that is suffering from low profitability due to competition from low-cost energy jurisdictions such as the US or Middle East. In particular, issuers without geographic and product diversification would be most at risk of adverse rating action.
In 2013 Russia supplied 145bcm of gas to Europe, which would have great difficulty in sourcing alternative supplies. Increased European gas production and North African piped gas could offset a small proportion of this. Tapping into the global LNG market would yield limited volumes as Europe's Russian gas demand equates to nearly half of the world's LNG production, which is already mostly tied to long-term supply contracts. Hence, gas and other energy prices could surge.
In theory, Europe has plenty of unused LNG regasification capacity, which could help replace some Russian supplies. But the majority of plants are located in Southern Europe and the UK, far away from the Central and Eastern European countries that are most reliant on Russian gas. The European gas networks suffer from bottlenecks, which limit the ability to transport gas across borders.
Demand reduction initiatives would only be of limited benefit. Japan was able to reduce power demand by 4.7% following the Fukushima disaster, but this was partly weather-related and achieving that level of reduction across 28 countries with their own agendas and exposures would be far harder.
For more details on the impact that a ban on Russian gas would have on Europe, please see the report "Living Without Russian Gas - Replacing Russian Gas in the Short-term" published today and available from www.fitchratings.com. The report is the first in a series that will examine the potential impact on European utilities and how Europe could reduce its energy reliance on Russia in the longer term.
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Tuesday, 29 April 14
Q4 SUB-BIT INDONESIA COAL SWAP CLOSED US$ 1.07 HIGHER COMPARED TO Q2 DELIVERY PRICE
COALspot.com: Indonesian coal swaps for average Q2’ 2014 gain on month and on week according to AsiaClear OTC coal swap's reports rele ...
Tuesday, 29 April 14
NEWCASTLE SHIPPED 3.03 MILLION TONS WEEK ON WEEK
COALspot.com: In the week ended 07:00 hours 28 April 2014, power plant and semi-soft coking coal shipments from the port of Newcastle in Queensl ...
Tuesday, 29 April 14
Q2 API 8 CFR SOUTH CHINA COAL SWAP LOST 0.29% MONTH ON MONTH
COALspot.com: API 8 CFR South China Coal swaps for average Q2 14 deliveries lost 0.29 percent month on month and closed at US$ 75.43 per mt as o ...
Monday, 28 April 14
CHINA LIKELY TO FALL SHORT OF NUCLEAR POWER TARGETS AT 175GW OF CAPACITY BY 2030 - WOOD MACKENZIE
Coal will remain dominant supply at 64% of power mix
Wood Mackenzie forecasts that China will not meet its environmentally-driven, government ...
Sunday, 27 April 14
INDONESIA TO INDIA FREIGHT RATES ARE EXPECTED TO BE STEADY NEXT WEEK
COALspot.com: The freight market seems to have bottomed out and saw some marginal gains in all segments, said Capt. Reddy of Vistaar Shipping In ...
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- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- White Energy Company Limited
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Planning Commission, India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- The University of Queensland
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Economic Council, Georgia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Australian Coal Association
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
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