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Wednesday, 25 December 13
SHIPPING : AS FAR AS THIS CYCLE IS CONCERNED, 'WE HAVE SEEN THE WORST....!' - JOHN N. COTZIAS
In a week’s time the year comes to an end. Having been a speaker in two seminars over the past 5 days I was able to see the year ending trends and some very interesting points and findings that stood out which I would like to share with you. In the first half of 2013 the Dry Cargo freight markets, found Capes earning much less than all other dry bulk size segments. This was rectified after June and today the rates are currently more or less back in line with the respective carrying capacity and we hope that the momentum will feed through to 2014.
On the SnP front, activity was superb. We had more than 1,500 deals concluded so far in the year. The total USD outlay, from sales of which details are disclosed, is slightly more than $ 21bn. The respective figures for 2012 are 1,200 deals and $14bn outlay. Compared to 2012, S&P activity on average was up by 26-27% on just about every month. Dry Bulk vessels prices have increased significantly over the past 12 months. The most notable increase was noted in a 5 yr old Panamax that has shot up by more than 50%. Last year, you could buy a 5 yr old Panamax with $ 17-18m. Today with the same money you are just about purchasing a 10 yr old Panamax!!! Rising price didn’t deter investors from acquiring vessels. To the contrary we can say. The fact that conventional financing was practically scarce meant that a very important chunk of SnP deals was mostly financed by “own pockets” and/or alternative sources of finance.
Additionally, trust in the banking system was shaken this year. The fearful and sad scenario of thousands realizing that their bank deposits could suffer a tremendous haircut over-a-weekend, as it happened in Cyprus, made many shipowners and others turn into a what appeared as a much safer investment ; Shipping.
On the Newbuilding sector, we had many new orders, with more than 870 bulkers, 527 Tankers, 161 Gas Carriers and 243 Containers being contracted during this year so far. The majority of these contracts have gone to Chinese builders, whose share of orders this year amounts to more than Korea’s and Japan’s shares added up together. Non-availability of slots has taken off a lot of pressure from major shipbuilders to further reduce their prices and from a point onwards they actually started to charge a premium for earlier slots. However, if we still look back, current newbuilding prices are still on the low side.
Demolition stats show that more than 50m tons of DWT carrying capacity was taken from the world active fleet, compared to more than 60m tons in 2012. Nevertheless, last year was a record year and therefore difficult to match, therefore the fact that this year’s figure stands at these levels is still very significant. India appears to have been the leading demo country in both number of ships and dwt scrapped there, while China comes second in number of ships and 3rd in dwt. Demo prices hold firm, with the average since 2009 standing above $400 per ldt, always supported by the strong demand for steel. It goes without saying that the increased demolition activity we have seen over the past 4 years, tremendously helps alleviate the pressure of new tonnage entering the active fleet.
In general, we consider 2013 to be a year of momentum, with a lot of investment opportunities being “grabbed” by a number of players in the market. We are of the strong belief and share the opinion of many shipping professionals that, as far as this cycle is concerned, “we have seen the worst… !”
Happy New Year to All, full of health, joy, happiness and successful shipping deals!
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations | research@intermodal.gr
Analysts:
Mr. George Lazaridis | g.lazaridis@intermodal.gr
Ms. Eva Tzima | e.tzima@intermodal.gr
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no re-producing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
Information contained within the website of COALspot.com is intended for informational purposes only and is not intended as professional counsel and should not be used as such.
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Monday, 13 January 14
INDONESIAN ORE BAN TO HAVE LIMITED IMPACT ON CHINESE ALUMINIUM PRODUCERS, FITCH RATINGS SAYS
COALspot.com: Fitch Ratings says today that Indonesia's ban on exports of unprocessed mineral ore will have limited impact on Chinese aluminium pro ...
Sunday, 12 January 14
THE FREIGHT MARKET CONTINUE TO REMAIN WEAK NEXT WEEK - SOLYM CARRIERS
Wish You A very Happy New Year
COALspot.com: The market has dropped quite a lot as expected due to holidays and probably also the effect of ban o ...
Friday, 10 January 14
DECISION ON ORE EXPORT BAN WILL BE MADE TOMORROW: INDUSTRY MINISTER, JG SAYS
Industry Minister M.S. Hidayat dismissed reports on Thursday that the government had made a decision on the matter. “We will only make a decis ...
Friday, 10 January 14
US COAL PRODUCTION UP 5.8% ON WEEK IN WEEK ENDED SATURDAY 4 JANUARY
COALspot.com – United States the world’s second largest coal producer, produced approximately 18.8 million short tons (mmst) of coal in ...
Thursday, 09 January 14
THE INDONESIAN GOVERNMENT EASES ORE EXPORT BAN
COALspot.com: The Indonesian government has finally agreed to ease the ore-export ban just a few days before the Sunday deadline amid protests from ...
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- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- The University of Queensland
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Australian Coal Association
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
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