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Wednesday, 25 December 13
SHIPPING : AS FAR AS THIS CYCLE IS CONCERNED, 'WE HAVE SEEN THE WORST....!' - JOHN N. COTZIAS
In a week’s time the year comes to an end. Having been a speaker in two seminars over the past 5 days I was able to see the year ending trends and some very interesting points and findings that stood out which I would like to share with you. In the first half of 2013 the Dry Cargo freight markets, found Capes earning much less than all other dry bulk size segments. This was rectified after June and today the rates are currently more or less back in line with the respective carrying capacity and we hope that the momentum will feed through to 2014.
On the SnP front, activity was superb. We had more than 1,500 deals concluded so far in the year. The total USD outlay, from sales of which details are disclosed, is slightly more than $ 21bn. The respective figures for 2012 are 1,200 deals and $14bn outlay. Compared to 2012, S&P activity on average was up by 26-27% on just about every month. Dry Bulk vessels prices have increased significantly over the past 12 months. The most notable increase was noted in a 5 yr old Panamax that has shot up by more than 50%. Last year, you could buy a 5 yr old Panamax with $ 17-18m. Today with the same money you are just about purchasing a 10 yr old Panamax!!! Rising price didn’t deter investors from acquiring vessels. To the contrary we can say. The fact that conventional financing was practically scarce meant that a very important chunk of SnP deals was mostly financed by “own pockets” and/or alternative sources of finance.
Additionally, trust in the banking system was shaken this year. The fearful and sad scenario of thousands realizing that their bank deposits could suffer a tremendous haircut over-a-weekend, as it happened in Cyprus, made many shipowners and others turn into a what appeared as a much safer investment ; Shipping.
On the Newbuilding sector, we had many new orders, with more than 870 bulkers, 527 Tankers, 161 Gas Carriers and 243 Containers being contracted during this year so far. The majority of these contracts have gone to Chinese builders, whose share of orders this year amounts to more than Korea’s and Japan’s shares added up together. Non-availability of slots has taken off a lot of pressure from major shipbuilders to further reduce their prices and from a point onwards they actually started to charge a premium for earlier slots. However, if we still look back, current newbuilding prices are still on the low side.
Demolition stats show that more than 50m tons of DWT carrying capacity was taken from the world active fleet, compared to more than 60m tons in 2012. Nevertheless, last year was a record year and therefore difficult to match, therefore the fact that this year’s figure stands at these levels is still very significant. India appears to have been the leading demo country in both number of ships and dwt scrapped there, while China comes second in number of ships and 3rd in dwt. Demo prices hold firm, with the average since 2009 standing above $400 per ldt, always supported by the strong demand for steel. It goes without saying that the increased demolition activity we have seen over the past 4 years, tremendously helps alleviate the pressure of new tonnage entering the active fleet.
In general, we consider 2013 to be a year of momentum, with a lot of investment opportunities being “grabbed” by a number of players in the market. We are of the strong belief and share the opinion of many shipping professionals that, as far as this cycle is concerned, “we have seen the worst… !”
Happy New Year to All, full of health, joy, happiness and successful shipping deals!
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations | research@intermodal.gr
Analysts:
Mr. George Lazaridis | g.lazaridis@intermodal.gr
Ms. Eva Tzima | e.tzima@intermodal.gr
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no re-producing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
Information contained within the website of COALspot.com is intended for informational purposes only and is not intended as professional counsel and should not be used as such.
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Friday, 17 January 14
DRY BULK MARKET ENDS DECLINE, BOUNCES BACK - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS
It's been a rough start to the New Year for the dry bulk market, which was supposed to be on the verge of rallying to new heights this year, on the ...
Friday, 17 January 14
SPOT COAL PRICE TRENDS IN US VARY ACROSS KEY BASINS DURING 2013, SAYS EIA
COALspot.com: Spot steam coal price trends in US varied across key basins in 2013, a latest EIA report says. Compared with 2012, while total coal de ...
Thursday, 16 January 14
PANAMAX : THE GAP BETWEEN SPOT AND PERIOD HAS INCREASED IN BOTH HEMISPHERES - FEARNRESEARCH
Handy
In the Atlantic we have seen rates slowly sliding on lack of enough fresh business. USG/Continent still paying excess 28k and seems on an upw ...
Thursday, 16 January 14
SHIP OWNERS SCRAP 1,119 SHIPS DURING 2013 ON THE BACK OF OVERSUPPLY ISSUES - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS
Scrapping of older vessels is still the best bet that ship owners can make, in order to improve their newer vessels' fortunes, amid an oversupply o ...
Wednesday, 15 January 14
KOREA MIDLAND POWER CO INVITES BIDS FOR 360K MT OF SUB-BITUMINOUS COAL FOR ITS BORYEONG PLANT
COALspot.com : Korea Midland Power Co., Ltd. has invited bids through International open bidding for 360,000 Metric Tons (MT) of sub-bituminous ...
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- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- The University of Queensland
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Australian Coal Association
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
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