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Friday, 20 December 13
DRY BULK MARKET SLUMPS AHEAD OF HOLIDAY SEASON - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS
As has been the case in recent years, the dry bulk market has been on a downward trend ahead of the Holiday Season for a large part of the world. The industry's benchmark, the Baltic Dry Index (BDI) has been falling over the past few days, but has still managed to remain above the 2,000-point mark, ending yesterday's session down by 22 points to 2,134 points. All major dry markets were down, with Capesizes losing 42 points at the Baltic Capesize Index to 3,596, while the Panamax market has been losing the most. The Baltic Panamax Index was down by 63 points to 1,883 points.
In its latest weekly report, shipbroker Fearnleys noted on the Capesize market that "a number of vessels loading or in ballast toward W.Austr enjoying daily returns at close to $45k. However, after two weeks of relentless demand for prompt tonnage, the Aussie miners appear covered for Dec, and Pac rates have plummeted toward their present value of around $25k/day. The heavy Dec ore re-stocking appears to have contributed to some delays in N.Chinese ports, which may further depress Pac rates once these ships open end of month. Fronthaul rates for Jan remain firm and tonnage supply in the Atl appears balanced against cargo volume. As such, paper hangs in the balance. With Jan and Q1 contracts currently trading at 19.5k and 13.5k respectively, the front end appears backwardated against a spot 4TC rate of 33k. Just how far the 4TC rate comes off will be dependent upon seasonal variables, but with increased Austr i.ore supply set to come online for Q1 and Q2, the effect of these variables on rates could well be mitigated compared to years previous", the shipbroker said.
On the Panamax market, it added that "after last week´s rally in the market, we experienced some standoff between owners and chrts this week. Some chrts will have to pay up to cover their end Dec/beg Jan cargos, however, there is not much free tonnage in the North Atlantic. Tarv´s are now being fixed in the low 20´s region and shorter rounds like Murmansk/Baltic rounds have been done in excess of USD 30k on voyage basis. As the holidays are approaching limited activity is expected for the next two weeks followed by a strong start of the New Year. In the eastern hemisphere rates are coming off. The impact on Indonesian ban on coal export causing less activity on the Indo/China rounds. Pac rounds are now being fixed in the low teens. The period market has been somewhat active although with gradually less support from FFA´s short period in the 14k range and one-year around 13k, but takers for period seems to be taking a breather over the holidays for now", Fearnleys said.
Meanwhile, in its recent analysis of the latest trends of the dry bulk market, BIMCO predicted that "the elevated level of Capesize Time Charter average rates will remain volatile and stay around USD 15,000-30,000 per day. Panamax TC average rates will stay in the region of USD 9,000-16,000 per day. For the Supramax segment, BIMCO forecasts freight rates in the USD 11,000-17,000 per day interval, whereas Handysize rates is expected to stay strong in the region of USD 9,000-12,000 per day.
For 2014, BIMCO expects that demand growth will range between 4½ and 6%, indicating that such strong growth will outstrip supply and bring about an improvement to the fundamental balance. According to BIMCO's head of shipping analysis, Peter Sand, "coal exports from the US have been growing since 2007. However, after a record-setting year in 2012, the numbers appear to be dwindling. Even though March this year set a record with 12.3 million tons, 7% higher than the record set in June 2012, it is not representative of the whole year. The exported total in the first nine months of 2013 is 7.5%, lower than that of the same time last year. Seen on a broader scale, however, the 2013 numbers are still around 100% higher than they were only 4 years ago. In combination with the long sailing distances that most US coal export routes hold, the trade has established itself as a key element in the market, also in the future" he said.
As such, "in the light of lower domestic demand for coal in the US due to the excess production of cheap gas, BIMCO expects US coal producers to become a mainstay in the Atlantic market. Down the road, we may also see coal exports from US West Coast ports.
Going forward, EIA expect US coal exports to remain elevated in 2014 too. Driven by the increased consumption of gas within the US at the expense of coal, producers opt for exporting to Europe and Asia. However, productions costs in the US require relatively high sales prices, and with coal being abundant, particularly in the Asian region, the potential seems to be capped for the near-term future. Despite slower Chinese GDP growth in 2014, commodity imports could very well stay strong. This is due to the factors of diversity in suppliers, lower commodity prices, and the lower quality of domestically produced iron ore and thermal coal", the report concluded.
Source: Nikos Roussanoglou, Hellenic Shipping News
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Sunday, 22 December 13
QUIET FREIGHT MARKET DUE TO LONG HOLIDAYS
COALspot.com: The market was soft this week with all indices down. However towards second half of the week the futures on segments was firming up.
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Friday, 20 December 13
US PRODUCED 2.71% MORE COAL WEEK ON WEEK
COALspot.com – United States the world’s second largest coal producer, produced approximately 18.9 million short tons (mmst) of coal in ...
Thursday, 19 December 13
SHIPPING CONFIDENCE HITS THREE-YEAR HIGH - MOORE STEPHENS
Overall confidence levels in the shipping industry rose to their highest level for more than three years over the three-month period to November 201 ...
Wednesday, 18 December 13
SNP ACTIVITY IN CHINA SEEMS TO BE SLOWING DOWN - CHRISTOS TRAGEAS
Approaching the end of the year, SnP activity in China seems to be slowing down in comparison to the first half of this quarter, as most Chinese Shi ...
Wednesday, 18 December 13
DEMOLITION ACTIVITY SCALED BACK AS FREIGHT RATES RISE - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS
It's always been the case that each time we witness a spike in freight rates, demolition activity is decreasing, as owners are looking for more car ...
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- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- The University of Queensland
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Parliament of New Zealand
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Australian Coal Association
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