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Friday, 20 December 13
DRY BULK MARKET SLUMPS AHEAD OF HOLIDAY SEASON - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS
As has been the case in recent years, the dry bulk market has been on a downward trend ahead of the Holiday Season for a large part of the world. The industry's benchmark, the Baltic Dry Index (BDI) has been falling over the past few days, but has still managed to remain above the 2,000-point mark, ending yesterday's session down by 22 points to 2,134 points. All major dry markets were down, with Capesizes losing 42 points at the Baltic Capesize Index to 3,596, while the Panamax market has been losing the most. The Baltic Panamax Index was down by 63 points to 1,883 points.
In its latest weekly report, shipbroker Fearnleys noted on the Capesize market that "a number of vessels loading or in ballast toward W.Austr enjoying daily returns at close to $45k. However, after two weeks of relentless demand for prompt tonnage, the Aussie miners appear covered for Dec, and Pac rates have plummeted toward their present value of around $25k/day. The heavy Dec ore re-stocking appears to have contributed to some delays in N.Chinese ports, which may further depress Pac rates once these ships open end of month. Fronthaul rates for Jan remain firm and tonnage supply in the Atl appears balanced against cargo volume. As such, paper hangs in the balance. With Jan and Q1 contracts currently trading at 19.5k and 13.5k respectively, the front end appears backwardated against a spot 4TC rate of 33k. Just how far the 4TC rate comes off will be dependent upon seasonal variables, but with increased Austr i.ore supply set to come online for Q1 and Q2, the effect of these variables on rates could well be mitigated compared to years previous", the shipbroker said.
On the Panamax market, it added that "after last week´s rally in the market, we experienced some standoff between owners and chrts this week. Some chrts will have to pay up to cover their end Dec/beg Jan cargos, however, there is not much free tonnage in the North Atlantic. Tarv´s are now being fixed in the low 20´s region and shorter rounds like Murmansk/Baltic rounds have been done in excess of USD 30k on voyage basis. As the holidays are approaching limited activity is expected for the next two weeks followed by a strong start of the New Year. In the eastern hemisphere rates are coming off. The impact on Indonesian ban on coal export causing less activity on the Indo/China rounds. Pac rounds are now being fixed in the low teens. The period market has been somewhat active although with gradually less support from FFA´s short period in the 14k range and one-year around 13k, but takers for period seems to be taking a breather over the holidays for now", Fearnleys said.
Meanwhile, in its recent analysis of the latest trends of the dry bulk market, BIMCO predicted that "the elevated level of Capesize Time Charter average rates will remain volatile and stay around USD 15,000-30,000 per day. Panamax TC average rates will stay in the region of USD 9,000-16,000 per day. For the Supramax segment, BIMCO forecasts freight rates in the USD 11,000-17,000 per day interval, whereas Handysize rates is expected to stay strong in the region of USD 9,000-12,000 per day.
For 2014, BIMCO expects that demand growth will range between 4½ and 6%, indicating that such strong growth will outstrip supply and bring about an improvement to the fundamental balance. According to BIMCO's head of shipping analysis, Peter Sand, "coal exports from the US have been growing since 2007. However, after a record-setting year in 2012, the numbers appear to be dwindling. Even though March this year set a record with 12.3 million tons, 7% higher than the record set in June 2012, it is not representative of the whole year. The exported total in the first nine months of 2013 is 7.5%, lower than that of the same time last year. Seen on a broader scale, however, the 2013 numbers are still around 100% higher than they were only 4 years ago. In combination with the long sailing distances that most US coal export routes hold, the trade has established itself as a key element in the market, also in the future" he said.
As such, "in the light of lower domestic demand for coal in the US due to the excess production of cheap gas, BIMCO expects US coal producers to become a mainstay in the Atlantic market. Down the road, we may also see coal exports from US West Coast ports.
Going forward, EIA expect US coal exports to remain elevated in 2014 too. Driven by the increased consumption of gas within the US at the expense of coal, producers opt for exporting to Europe and Asia. However, productions costs in the US require relatively high sales prices, and with coal being abundant, particularly in the Asian region, the potential seems to be capped for the near-term future. Despite slower Chinese GDP growth in 2014, commodity imports could very well stay strong. This is due to the factors of diversity in suppliers, lower commodity prices, and the lower quality of domestically produced iron ore and thermal coal", the report concluded.
Source: Nikos Roussanoglou, Hellenic Shipping News
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Monday, 30 December 13
INDONESIAN COAL TO BE PART OF INDEX DETERMINING POWER TARIFFS - BUSINESS STANDARD
In a significant move, power sector regulator CERC has decided to provide 50 per cent weightage for Indonesian coal in the benchmark index that is u ...
Friday, 27 December 13
THE EXPORT OF UNPROCESSED MINERALS WOULD NOT BE ALLOWED AFTER 12 JAN 2014 - INDONESIAN ENERGY MINISTER
COALspot.com: The government of Indonesia will implement Law No. 4 of 2009 on Mineral and Coal in full and consistently by January 12, 2014, said, m ...
Friday, 27 December 13
INDONESIA SHIPPED 15.75 PERCENT MORE COAL IN NOVEMBER
COALspot.com: Indonesia, the world's 4th largest coal producer and the largest multi grade coal exporter shipped over $2* billion worth of co ...
Thursday, 26 December 13
COAL & OIL GROUP SECURES US$ 250 MILLION FUNDING FOR ITS 1200MW THERMAL POWER PLANT IN INDIA
COALspot.com: Dubai-based Coal & Oil (C&O) Group has announced that it has secured additional funding of approximately Dhs. 1 billion (appro ...
Wednesday, 25 December 13
DRY BULK INDEX LOST SOME GROUND THIS PAST WEEK - INTERMODAL
Chartering (Wet: Firm+ / Dry: Softer - )
The Dry Bulk Index lost some ground this past week, on the back of activity slowing down befor ...
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- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- The University of Queensland
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- White Energy Company Limited
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Australian Coal Association
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
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