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Wednesday, 11 December 13
BDI REACHED A PEAK OF YEAR RECORD OF 2,237 POINTS WHICH IS A SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN MARKET CONDITIONS
Getting closer to the end of 2013, it is important that we have a review of the course the market has taken these past 12 months by looking at the BDI today and where it was this time last year. Last December, after having witnessed a small rally in the final quarter of 2012, the BDI had just managed to climb above 1,000 points. This level also proved to be the main psychological barrier for much of 2013, with the index remaining below this level up until late June.
It was not until September that we really started to see a change in market conditions and the BDI breaking free to reach a peak of 2,146 points in early October and then a more recent year record of 2,237 points reached today. This was therefore a significant change in market conditions and although the Index doesn’t reflect the physical market 100%, it provides a general upbeat approach, while at the same time it is certain that we no longer find ourselves in a market were rates are close to breakeven levels.
On the other hand, the sudden upward boom has created a lot of skepticism amongst players in the SnP market. This past month in particular, we have seen asset prices increasing considerably and Sellers’ price ideas shifting week by week. A good example of this is that of a 1999 Japanese blt Panamax which would have been sold at close to USD 9.5mill in January, while only a few days ago similar vessels where changing hands at around USD 14.5mill.
These large shifts in prices have created significant problems amongst certain potential Buyer. We are starting to distinguish two distinct types of buyers emerging in this market; the ones that believe that they missed the perfect timing and are in a hurry sometimes to even pay a premium for a vessel and those who are worried that periodically the market will dip back down to the levels we witnessed in the 1Q2013 weighing down on prices again.
2013 was very intense for the SnP market. Greek ship owners invested a considerable amount of money in both second-hand and new building purchases and they are continuing on the same path, despite the fact that prices have increased so drastically since the start of the year. It is also important to note that this was the year that Greek ship owners, even medium sized ones, put a lot of emphasis in new orders of “eco type” vessels, , wanting to position themselves in the market so that they can hold a significant competitive advantage in the future.
What is most worth noting is that 2013 was also the year that a number of foreign funds turned their interest towards Greek ship owners. These funds were driven by the belief that it was the right time to invest, while at the same time they were attracted by the Greeks’ long maritime tradition, which provided a sense of trust and security. This is yet another factor which strengthened the SnP market and boosted activity despite the fact that freight rates could not always excuse the prices being achieved nor could Greek banks, traditionally a large supplier of Greek shipping finance, which lacked the ability to support most of these purchases as it once did.
In conclusion, we can say that the big winners this year were owners that took the risk and invested when the market reached low levels. Let’s all now hope that the positive trend will continue into 2014 so that these bets can turn into profitable investments, the return of which can be reinvested back into the market and feed through to even better times for owners.
By George Iliopoulos, SnP Broker - Intermodal
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations | research@intermodal.gr
Analysts:
Mr. George Lazaridis | g.lazaridis@intermodal.gr
Ms. Eva Tzima | e.tzima@intermodal.gr
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no re-producing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
Information contained within the website of COALspot.com is intended for informational purposes only and is not intended as professional counsel and should not be used as such.
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Monday, 09 December 13
SUB-BIT INDONESIA COAL SWAP FOR Q3' 14 DELIVERY CLOSED $ 0.57 LESSER THAN Q1 CLOSING
COALspot.com – Sub-Bit Indonesia coal swap (FOB ) for average Q1’ 14 delivery gained $ 1.49 pmt month on month on Friday 6 Decembe ...
Sunday, 08 December 13
SOUTH CHINA COAL SWAPS SHOW A DECLINE TREND IN Q2 & Q3' 14
COALspot.com : API 8 CFR South China Coal swaps for average Q1’ 14 delivery gained 6.76 percept month on month as on Friday 6 December 2013. T ...
Sunday, 08 December 13
RBCT SHIPPED 63.446 MMT OF COALS YTD
COALspot.com - Richards Bay Coal Terminal (RBCT), the world's single largest coal terminal has shipped 63,446,232 mt of coals YTD, according to por ...
Saturday, 07 December 13
SUPRAMAX SHIPS FOR EC INDIA TO CHINA ROUTE BEING FIXED AT AROUND US$ 13K - SOLYM
COALspot.com: The freight market continued to be firm due to high Iron ore demand. The cape index was up by almost 25 pct this week. The grain seaso ...
Saturday, 07 December 13
A RARE TIME IN RECENT SHIPPING MARKET HISTORY: BOTH DRY BULK AND VLCC TANKER EARNINGS ARE ON THE RISE - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS
Around this time of year, back in 2008, i.e. five years ago, the shipping markets were plagued with the aftermath of the global financial crisis tha ...
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- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- PTC India Limited - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- The University of Queensland
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
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