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Tuesday, 20 August 13
CAPESIZE RATES MORE SENSITIVE TO DEMAND - COMMODORE RESEARCH & CONSULTANCY
 COALspot.com : Approximately 71.50 million tons of iron ore is now stockpiled at Chinese ports, 900,000 tons (-1%) less than a week ago, Commodore Research & Consultancy said in its latest report.
Chinese iron ore port stockpiles have now fallen to their lowest level since May and are 26.6 million tons (-27%) lower than where they stood a year ago. The historically low level of iron ore stockpiled at Chinese ports is very encouraging, and has been a contributing factor behind the strength in demand for imported iron ore cargoes and recent surge in cape size freight rates, said Commodore Research & Consultancy.
Commodore Research & Consultancy further said in its research report, 23 cape size vessels were chartered to haul iron ore in the spot market last week (all of the vessels were chartered to deliver iron ore to Chinese buyers). The last seven weeks have seen an average of 22.5 cape size vessels chartered to haul iron ore, with each week seeing at least 20 cape size vessels chartered to haul iron ore. Prior to the last seven weeks, this year had seen an average of only 15.5 cape size vessels chartered to haul iron ore.
The consistently large amount of cape size vessels being chartered to haul iron ore cargoes (predominantly to Chinese buyers), combined with cape size fleet growth remaining relatively low, has caused spot cape size availability to become much tighter as we have predicted. This tightness helped cape size rates find significant support on Wednesday and Thursday. Going forward, we continue to believe that there will be brief periods where spot availability of cape size vessels will be very tight and will lead to short-term spikes in Cape rates that will exceed $1,000 per day. Much lower cape size fleet growth this year has now allowed the market to re-enter a phase where cape size rates are much more sensitive to changes in cargo volume and spot demand for available cape size vessels, Commodore Research & Consultancy said.
Commodore Research & Consultancy forecasts, rates, of course, will continue to decrease at times, but overall prospects for cape size rates are encouraging.
About Commodore Research & Consultancy
Commodore Research & Consultancy is an independent New York City-based consultancy that focuses on the global demand, supply, and seaborne trade of industrial and agricultural commodities, with a particular focus on China. Commodore Research & Consultancy's analysts handle a wide variety of consulting requests and custom reports. Commodore Research & Consultancy also offers two standard report subscriptions (Dry Bulk Report Subscription and China Report Subscription).
Views expressed herein are personal views of the author and not that of COALspot.com. We welcome article submissions from experts in the areas of coal, mining, shipping, etc. To submit your articles please click here
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Friday, 19 December 14
HOW WILL LOWER BUNKER PRICES AFFECT THE SUBSTANTIAL OVERCAPACITY IN DRY BULK MARKET? - BIMCO
As bunker fuel costs have come down from USD 600 per tonnes to USD 330 per tonnes in the past 6 months, much talk about increased ship speed have s ...
Friday, 19 December 14
U.S WEEKLY COAL PRODUCTION REACHED APPROXIMATELY 19.8 MMST; UP 1.0% WOW
COALspot.com – United States the world's one of the largest coal producers, produced approximately 19.8 million short tons (mmst) of coal ...
Friday, 19 December 14
HANDY: SOFTER TONE; PANAMAX: QUIET WEEK; CAPESIZE; PAINFUL WEEK
Handy
A softer tone for rates and volumes for the Supras, perhaps less apparent in the Pacific the last week before the season holidays and good ...
Thursday, 18 December 14
INDONESIA TO REVISE UP COAL OUTPUT TARGET TO 460 MILLION TONS IN 2015
COALspot.com: Indonesian government has revised up its next year coal output forecast to 460 million tons from its previous forecast of 421 million ...
Wednesday, 17 December 14
CAPES RATES SLIPPED BELOW $5,600/DAY, FELL 84% YOY
COALspot.com: In the very rare occurrence when the BCI stands below the BDI, words to describe market sentiment are probably poor, said Intermodal ...
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- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
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- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
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- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
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- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
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- Eastern Coal Council - USA
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- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
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- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
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- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
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- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Economic Council, Georgia
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- Siam City Cement - Thailand
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- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
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- Posco Energy - South Korea
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
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- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
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- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- The University of Queensland
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
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- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Parliament of New Zealand
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- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
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- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
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