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Tuesday, 20 August 13
CAPESIZE RATES MORE SENSITIVE TO DEMAND - COMMODORE RESEARCH & CONSULTANCY
COALspot.com : Approximately 71.50 million tons of iron ore is now stockpiled at Chinese ports, 900,000 tons (-1%) less than a week ago, Commodore Research & Consultancy said in its latest report.
Chinese iron ore port stockpiles have now fallen to their lowest level since May and are 26.6 million tons (-27%) lower than where they stood a year ago. The historically low level of iron ore stockpiled at Chinese ports is very encouraging, and has been a contributing factor behind the strength in demand for imported iron ore cargoes and recent surge in cape size freight rates, said Commodore Research & Consultancy.
Commodore Research & Consultancy further said in its research report, 23 cape size vessels were chartered to haul iron ore in the spot market last week (all of the vessels were chartered to deliver iron ore to Chinese buyers). The last seven weeks have seen an average of 22.5 cape size vessels chartered to haul iron ore, with each week seeing at least 20 cape size vessels chartered to haul iron ore. Prior to the last seven weeks, this year had seen an average of only 15.5 cape size vessels chartered to haul iron ore.
The consistently large amount of cape size vessels being chartered to haul iron ore cargoes (predominantly to Chinese buyers), combined with cape size fleet growth remaining relatively low, has caused spot cape size availability to become much tighter as we have predicted. This tightness helped cape size rates find significant support on Wednesday and Thursday. Going forward, we continue to believe that there will be brief periods where spot availability of cape size vessels will be very tight and will lead to short-term spikes in Cape rates that will exceed $1,000 per day. Much lower cape size fleet growth this year has now allowed the market to re-enter a phase where cape size rates are much more sensitive to changes in cargo volume and spot demand for available cape size vessels, Commodore Research & Consultancy said.
Commodore Research & Consultancy forecasts, rates, of course, will continue to decrease at times, but overall prospects for cape size rates are encouraging.
About Commodore Research & Consultancy
Commodore Research & Consultancy is an independent New York City-based consultancy that focuses on the global demand, supply, and seaborne trade of industrial and agricultural commodities, with a particular focus on China. Commodore Research & Consultancy's analysts handle a wide variety of consulting requests and custom reports. Commodore Research & Consultancy also offers two standard report subscriptions (Dry Bulk Report Subscription and China Report Subscription).
Views expressed herein are personal views of the author and not that of COALspot.com. We welcome article submissions from experts in the areas of coal, mining, shipping, etc. To submit your articles please click here
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Monday, 29 December 14
SGX'S FOB NEWCASTLE COAL SWAPS IMPROVED W-O-W, LOST M-O-M
COALspot.com: API 5 FOB Newcastle Coal swap for Q1’ 2015 delivery lost US$ 1.44 per MT (-2.73%) month over month and gained US$ 0.36 (+0.71%) ...
Friday, 26 December 14
SHIPS FACE LOWER SULPHUR FUEL REQUIREMENTS IN EMISSION CONTROL AREAS FROM 1 JANUARY 2015 - IMO
Ships trading in designated emission control areas will have to use on board fuel oil with a sulphur content of no more than 0.10% from 1 January 2 ...
Wednesday, 24 December 14
CAPE DEMAND WAS STILL EXTREMELY SOFT THIS PAST WEEK ACROSS BOTH BASINS - INTERMODAL
COALspot.com: The performance of the Dry Bulk market, which found itself in desperate search of support for yet another week, has left very little ...
Wednesday, 24 December 14
MARKET INSIGHT - JOHN N. COTZIAS, INTERMODAL SNP BROKER
The year is coming to an end, and we should be able to assess if this was a good year, a bad year, or even a lousy one? The answer clearly de ...
Tuesday, 23 December 14
Q1'15 FOB INDONESIA COAL SWAP GAINED 48 CENTS IN ONE WEEK
COALspot.com: Indonesian coal swaps for delivery Q1' 2015 lost month on month and gained week over week and day on day.
The Q1 swap has lo ...
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- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- The University of Queensland
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- White Energy Company Limited
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Planning Commission, India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
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