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Wednesday, 17 July 13
TORN BETWEEN A CREDIT CRUNCH AND SUSTAINABLE GROWTH - GEORGE DERMATIS
COALspot.com: In 2012 China expanded at a rate of 7.8%, its worst annual performance in 13 years, raising criticism over the newly appointed government's stance towards growth. As the first half of 2013 progressed, market pundits and analysts alike realized that the much trailed big and painful shift in China's GDP model is truly underway...
Any skeptics of the above claim, feel free to ask the Chinese banks who felt the wrath of government regulators last month as the cash crunch in China's interbank lending market has only further exposed the fundamental problem of its economic distortions. For policymakers who are still pondering whether to pursue restructuring or growth, the answer seems more obvious than ever: there can be no growth without restructuring.
Over the past 10 years China has relied on a development model that uses high debt towards large –predominantly state owned - companies to finance growth, with much of the capital invested in unproductive sectors such as property and financial products. Regulators seem to understand that sustainability cannot occur without targeting the problems of excess capacity and high debt through the encouragement/development of private enterprises. Support should only follow companies that can survive in a competitive arena and what better
industry to challenge the boundaries of international competition than shipping.
It is easy for shipping analysts and all other parties involved within the maritime industry to relate themselves with inefficiencies of Chinese finance; whilst “too big to fail” companies keep receiving finance and loans for over leveraged projects based on exuberant asset values, there are serious, conservative and cash rich private entities that are below the radar of most Chinese banks.
Clearly the fewer distortions in an economy, the faster the market can recover and adjust. As China is following the same route of most western economies in deleveraging to bring risks down, one must not forget that China is in a much better position now that the USA was 5 years ago; "Insurance companies, social security funds, foreign exchange savings and private savings are all sources that could be tapped to meet the demand for capital".
Eventually, some measures, including the intensified property tightening campaign, new rules to curb misuse of public funds and the exit from some previous stimulus policies, have taken their toll on growth and whilst analysts argue this is only for the short term, it remains to be seen what the nett effect will be for the long run. Whilst many “western” reports have once again taken their typical stance of overly dramatizing the position of the Chinese economy, we must not forget that policymakers in China were the ones who shed light on these issues and look determined in carving the path for future sustainable growth.
My intention to spend more space and analyze my ideas about the need for growth-even at slower pace-in China was abruptly hushed by news this morning that the government of Enrique Pepa Nieto, the President of Mexico has announced its new six-year plan to invest $316bn in new roads, railways, telecoms, infrastructure and significant port overhauling... rings any bells???
Chartering (Wet: Stable+ / Dry: Firm+ )
The Dry Bulk index was back on the rise this week as both Capes and Panamaxes gained from firmer activity in the Atlantic basin. This may well be the last surge before the summer lull so owners are hoping that they can keep the momentum for as long as they can in the hope that they will keep rates fairly buoyant in August.
The BDI closed today (16/07/2013) at 1152 points, up by 1 point compared to Monday’s levels (15/07/2013) and an increase of 32 points compared to previous Tuesday’s levels (09/07/2013).
Things were not so positive this week in the crude oil carriers, were we saw a drop all around caused by the coinciding of decreased demand and firmer bunker prices. The BDTI Monday (15/07/2013), was at 611 points, up by 5 points and the BCTI at 574, an increase of 15 points compared to the previous Monday’s levels (08/07/2013).
Broker's insight
by George Dermatis,
SnP Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations | research@intermodal.gr
Analysts:
Mr. George Lazaridis | g.lazaridis@intermodal.gr
Ms. Eva Tzima | e.tzima@intermodal.gr
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no re-producing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
Views expressed herein are personal views of the author and not that of COALspot.com and subject to COALspot.com's disclaimer clause. We welcome article submissions from experts in the areas of coal, mining, shipping, etc. To submit your articles please click here.
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Thursday, 09 May 13
THE WORLD LARGEST POWER PLANT COAL EXPORTER SHIPPED 36 MILLION TONS OF COAL IN MARCH
COALspot.com: Indonesia, the world largest multi grade coal exporter has shipped 36.165* million tons of coal in March 2013.
Ac ...
Thursday, 09 May 13
DRY BULK SHIP OWNERS KEEP BUILDING NEW VESSELS ON THE BACK OF LOWER PRICES AND IMPROVED MARKET PROSPECTS - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING
Despite the doom and gloom that the dry bulk market has experienced during the past couple of years and especially during 2012, ship owners have inc ...
Thursday, 09 May 13
HANDY : RBCT ROUNDS FIXED AT USD 8000 DOP ECI - FEARNRESEARCH
Handy
The atlantic market started to pick up with new orders. The USG-Feast was at USD 20k and Black sea-feast was at USD 12k. The pacific mkt rema ...
Wednesday, 08 May 13
PANAMAX VESSELS PROVE TO BE "STARS OF THE MONTH" FOR THE DRY BULK MARKET DURING APRIL - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS
They have taken a beating on various occasions during the past few years of the dry bulk market's crisis, but the fact remains, that despite the he ...
Tuesday, 07 May 13
NEWCASTLE PORT'S COAL EXPORTS HOLD STEADY WEEK ON WEEK
COALspot.com - Newcastle port in Australia has loaded 2,975,160 tons of thermal and coking coal for week ended 0700 hours 6 May 2013, Newcastl ...
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- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Planning Commission, India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- The University of Queensland
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Australian Coal Association
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
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