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Sunday, 24 March 13
DRY BULK MARKET PROSPECTS OFFER ROOM FOR RESTRAINED OPTIMISM SAYS SHIP OWNER - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS
In its announcement regarding its annual performance, ship owner Frontline offered some useful insight on the future prospects of both the dry bulk and tanker market segments. In the dry bulk market, there's room for optimism as a result of an expected sharp decline of newbuilding deliveries over the next two years. "With the same delivery ratio we have experienced over the last three years approximately 60 million dwt should be delivered this year, while the order book for 2014 is 25 million dwt for the entire dry bulk sector" Frontline said.
According to the company's announcement, dry bulk transportation increased by around seven percent in 2012, however, due to the high number of new vessels entering the market, fleet utilization decreased. Given a net fleet growth of approximately 11 percent, the estimated utilization of the dry bulk fleet was on average 83 percent in 2012. Consequently spot earnings were low. The capesize and panamax segments both earned on average approximately $7,650 per day according to The Baltic Exchange. Around 220 capesizes and 375 panamaxes were delivered in 2012, still this was 30 percent lower than the official order book at the beginning of the year. At the same time approximately 90 capesizes and 135 panamaxes were sold for scrap. For the dry bulk fleet as a whole 35 million dwt were scrapped against 95 million dwt of deliveries.
Moving on to the more positive prospects, Frontline noted that "the low spot market presently experienced and relatively high scrap prices should encourage more scrapping. Most forecasters are expecting scrapping to remain at similar levels as last year and consequently net fleet growth could be as low as five percent during 2013. The steel industry and energy coal for utilities are accounting for almost 70 percent of dry bulk transportation. For several years the importance of increased steel production and energy consumption in China and the increased dependence of this country for the dry bulk market have been well known. Also in 2012 iron ore and coal imports showed a remarkable growth. Iron ore increased by around eight percent while coal imports increased by almost 30 percent year on year. This was in spite of a much slower growth in steel and energy consumption (2 percent and 3.4 percent respectively)" said Frontline.
It added that "there are a few factors which make most analysts fairly optimistic for dry bulk demand growth going forward. Quality of Chinese domestic iron ore production is on a steady declining trend. Since 2007 China has invested roughly $85 billion in iron ore mining. Over the same period investments per effective ton iron ore produced has increased from $15 per ton in 2007 to $60 per ton in 2012. Adjusting for falling Fe content, effective iron ore production in 2012 is broadly at the same level as in 2007. Even in a modest steel growth scenario for China most forecasters believe in a continued strong growth in iron ore imports. According to Fearnleys the Capesize fleet (150-200' dwt) totaled 1022 vessels at the end of the fourth quarter of 2012, an increase of 3 vessels from the previous quarter. The order book counted 94 vessels at the end of the fourth quarter compared to 106 vessels the previous quarter, representing 9.2 percent of the Capesize fleet" the ship owner concluded.
In the crude tanker market, Frontline noted that "current market forward rates are approximately $12,000 per day in the first quarter of 2013. Bunkers at Fujairah averaged $615/mt in the fourth quarter of 2012 compared to $650/mt in the third quarter of 2012. Bunker prices varied between a low of $593/mt on November 5th and a high of $655/mt on October 1st. The International Energy Agency's ("IEA") February 2013 report stated an OPEC oil production, including Iraq, of 30.9 million barrels per day (mb/d) in Q4. This was a decrease of 0.5 mb/d compared to the third quarter of 2012, due to lower Saudi Arabian production in November and December. The IEA estimates that world oil demand averaged 91.0 mb/d in the fourth quarter of 2012, which is an increase of 0.8 mb/d compared to previous quarter and the IEA estimates that world oil demand averaged approximately 89.8 mb/d in 2012, representing an increase of 1.1 percent or 1.0 mb/d from 2011. 2013 demand is expected to be 90.7 mb/d.
The VLCC fleet totalled 622 vessels at the end of the fourth quarter of 2012, up from 617 vessels at the end of the previous quarter. 11 VLCCs were delivered during the quarter, six were removed. The order book counted 81 vessels at the end of the fourth quarter, down from 91 orders from the previous quarter. The current order book represents approximately 13 percent of the VLCC fleet. According to Fearnleys, the single hull fleet is 17 vessels, five less than last quarter.
The Suezmax fleet counts 468 vessels at the end of the fourth quarter, up from 462 vessels at the end of the previous quarter. 14 vessels were delivered during the quarter whilst eight were removed. The order book counted 72 vessels at the end of the fourth quarter, which represents 15 percent of the total fleet. According to Fearnley's, the single hull fleet has been reduced from nine to five vessels" it concluded.
Source: Nikos Roussanoglou, Hellenic Shipping News
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Wednesday, 20 February 13
BAKRIE GROUP LOOKS TO HAVE A CLEAR UPPER HAND - LUCKY ARIESANDI, CFA
The Bakrie-Rothschild saga is entering its final stage, with Bumi Plc (BUMI LN)’s holders to convene on 21 Feb at 11am GMT to vote on Nat Roth ...
Tuesday, 19 February 13
NEWCASTLE PORT SHIPPED 38.65 PERCENT LESS COAL W-O-W
COALspot.com - Newcastle port in Australia has loaded 1,820,559 MT of thermal and coking coal for week ended 0700 hours 18 February 2013, Newc ...
Monday, 18 February 13
78.75 MILLION TONS OF COAL RESERVES ARE NEWLY PROVEN IN WUGANG HUNAN PROVINCE
COALspot.com - Recently, Wugang City, known as the CHINA hundred key coal producing cities, achieved new breakthroughs in coal exploration: deep coa ...
Sunday, 17 February 13
STEEL DEMAND WILL HELP TO PUSH UP FREIGHT RATES - VISTAAR
COALspot.com - This freight market has been fairly steady week ended 15 February 2013.
The BDI was slightly up by 0.67 pct closing at 753 points ...
Friday, 15 February 13
2ND ANNUAL INDONESIA MINING 2013 CONFERENCE
Bringing Indonesia's Mining Stakeholders Together Towards Improving Mining Investment Climate & Operations
Following the success of th ...
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- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- PTC India Limited - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Planning Commission, India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- The University of Queensland
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Minerals Council of Australia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
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