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Sunday, 24 March 13
DRY BULK MARKET PROSPECTS OFFER ROOM FOR RESTRAINED OPTIMISM SAYS SHIP OWNER - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS
In its announcement regarding its annual performance, ship owner Frontline offered some useful insight on the future prospects of both the dry bulk and tanker market segments. In the dry bulk market, there's room for optimism as a result of an expected sharp decline of newbuilding deliveries over the next two years. "With the same delivery ratio we have experienced over the last three years approximately 60 million dwt should be delivered this year, while the order book for 2014 is 25 million dwt for the entire dry bulk sector" Frontline said.
According to the company's announcement, dry bulk transportation increased by around seven percent in 2012, however, due to the high number of new vessels entering the market, fleet utilization decreased. Given a net fleet growth of approximately 11 percent, the estimated utilization of the dry bulk fleet was on average 83 percent in 2012. Consequently spot earnings were low. The capesize and panamax segments both earned on average approximately $7,650 per day according to The Baltic Exchange. Around 220 capesizes and 375 panamaxes were delivered in 2012, still this was 30 percent lower than the official order book at the beginning of the year. At the same time approximately 90 capesizes and 135 panamaxes were sold for scrap. For the dry bulk fleet as a whole 35 million dwt were scrapped against 95 million dwt of deliveries.
Moving on to the more positive prospects, Frontline noted that "the low spot market presently experienced and relatively high scrap prices should encourage more scrapping. Most forecasters are expecting scrapping to remain at similar levels as last year and consequently net fleet growth could be as low as five percent during 2013. The steel industry and energy coal for utilities are accounting for almost 70 percent of dry bulk transportation. For several years the importance of increased steel production and energy consumption in China and the increased dependence of this country for the dry bulk market have been well known. Also in 2012 iron ore and coal imports showed a remarkable growth. Iron ore increased by around eight percent while coal imports increased by almost 30 percent year on year. This was in spite of a much slower growth in steel and energy consumption (2 percent and 3.4 percent respectively)" said Frontline.
It added that "there are a few factors which make most analysts fairly optimistic for dry bulk demand growth going forward. Quality of Chinese domestic iron ore production is on a steady declining trend. Since 2007 China has invested roughly $85 billion in iron ore mining. Over the same period investments per effective ton iron ore produced has increased from $15 per ton in 2007 to $60 per ton in 2012. Adjusting for falling Fe content, effective iron ore production in 2012 is broadly at the same level as in 2007. Even in a modest steel growth scenario for China most forecasters believe in a continued strong growth in iron ore imports. According to Fearnleys the Capesize fleet (150-200' dwt) totaled 1022 vessels at the end of the fourth quarter of 2012, an increase of 3 vessels from the previous quarter. The order book counted 94 vessels at the end of the fourth quarter compared to 106 vessels the previous quarter, representing 9.2 percent of the Capesize fleet" the ship owner concluded.
In the crude tanker market, Frontline noted that "current market forward rates are approximately $12,000 per day in the first quarter of 2013. Bunkers at Fujairah averaged $615/mt in the fourth quarter of 2012 compared to $650/mt in the third quarter of 2012. Bunker prices varied between a low of $593/mt on November 5th and a high of $655/mt on October 1st. The International Energy Agency's ("IEA") February 2013 report stated an OPEC oil production, including Iraq, of 30.9 million barrels per day (mb/d) in Q4. This was a decrease of 0.5 mb/d compared to the third quarter of 2012, due to lower Saudi Arabian production in November and December. The IEA estimates that world oil demand averaged 91.0 mb/d in the fourth quarter of 2012, which is an increase of 0.8 mb/d compared to previous quarter and the IEA estimates that world oil demand averaged approximately 89.8 mb/d in 2012, representing an increase of 1.1 percent or 1.0 mb/d from 2011. 2013 demand is expected to be 90.7 mb/d.
The VLCC fleet totalled 622 vessels at the end of the fourth quarter of 2012, up from 617 vessels at the end of the previous quarter. 11 VLCCs were delivered during the quarter, six were removed. The order book counted 81 vessels at the end of the fourth quarter, down from 91 orders from the previous quarter. The current order book represents approximately 13 percent of the VLCC fleet. According to Fearnleys, the single hull fleet is 17 vessels, five less than last quarter.
The Suezmax fleet counts 468 vessels at the end of the fourth quarter, up from 462 vessels at the end of the previous quarter. 14 vessels were delivered during the quarter whilst eight were removed. The order book counted 72 vessels at the end of the fourth quarter, which represents 15 percent of the total fleet. According to Fearnley's, the single hull fleet has been reduced from nine to five vessels" it concluded.
Source: Nikos Roussanoglou, Hellenic Shipping News
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Thursday, 28 February 13
SHIP OWNERS EXPECTED TO FACE A CHALLENGING YEAR, DESPITE THE FALL OF NEWBUILDING ORDERS - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING
Tonnage oversupply and a lagging growth in world trade demand are expected to keep shipping in the "red", despite a series of measures ado ...
Thursday, 28 February 13
PANAMAX : MARKET HAS SEEN A GOOD UPTURN OVER THE LAST WEEK - FEARNLEYS
Handy
The Atlantic saw more cargoes than last week and rates ticking upwards. The USG-Feast was at USD 19k and Black Sea-Feast was at USD 11k. The ...
Wednesday, 27 February 13
NEWCASTLE PORT IN AUSTRALIA SHIPPED 0.358 MILLION MT MORE COAL W-O-W
COALspot.com - Newcastle port in Australia has loaded 2,178,869 MT of thermal and coking coal for week ended 0700 hours 25 February 2013, Newc ...
Wednesday, 27 February 13
NEWLEAD HOLDINGS LTD. ANNOUNCES COAL SUPPLY AND DELIVERY CONTRACT
NewLead Holdings Ltd. yesterday announced that the Company has signed an agreement to supply and deliver 1.48 million metric tons of steam coal to a ...
Tuesday, 26 February 13
10TH CLEAN COAL FORUM WILL BE HELD ON JUNE 2013
CDMC Events will be presenting the 10th Clean Coal Forum 2013 on June 13 - 14, 2013 in Beijing,China.
It will make you understand regulatory asp ...
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- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Planning Commission, India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- The University of Queensland
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
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