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Tuesday, 19 March 13
SHIP PRICES COULD BE CLOSING IN TO REACH THEIR BOTTOM - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS
One of the latest developments in shipping asset prices has been the reluctance from shipyards to further reduce their price expectations to higher loss areas, due to the fact that they are faced with greater construction costs, as a result of the closing of the price gap between China and Japan. In its latest analysis, Intermodal, looks at the issue of inflation and its effect of ship prices around the world.
According to Mr. George Dermatis, "inflation is fast becoming our new friend... Up almost 9% for the year so far, the more than century-old blue-chip index, Dow Jones, posted last week its first finish above the record closing high of 14,164.53 set on Oct. 9th 2007, which is just ahead of the global financial meltdown.It is an undeniable fact that this new peak is reached primarily due to the extensive monetary stimuli that the Fed has provided over the past 4 years".
He added that "in Japan, the sun seems to be rising once again after decades of standing as a warning sign of what can go wrong when government debt reaches to extremely high levels. Yet enough though Japan's Nikkei 225 index stands at less than a third of its record high since 1989, the stock market has made big strides forward, climbing 35% since mid-November".
Meanwhile, in Europe, stocks rallied to their highest level in 4½ years, as investors cheered stronger-than-expected euro-zone retail sales and keyed off gains in U.S. equities. Dermatis noted that "Europe is standing at the opposite side of inflation argument, with austerity measures governing the southern countries and an almost deflationary outlook for the year ahead. Amidst heavy reforms on governance, fiscal policy and taxation amongst the country-members, the EU has managed to increase its competiveness; however pressures for monetary easing are expected to intensify as the voiced concerns in the Eurozone amplify. Let's not forget that it is the only major economy that has not resorted to this solution post-2008...Could this change soon?" he asks.
Finally, "China’s minimum wage has tripled since 2000, creating extra pressure via fast rising labour costs within China. This fact should however be looked at with greater scrunity, as the ageing population of China means a dropping supply of youth labour in the country. Environmental awareness pressures and restrictions on pollution from factories create another bottleneck in production and raise production costs across the board for Chinese manufacturing. Furthermore, the RMB is going from strength to strength and while nominal appreciation has been slower than critics in Brussels and Washington might like, real appreciation (adjusting for the country's relatively faster inflation rate) has been rapid. The Chinese currency has appreciated considerably in nominal terms as well, recording a median of about 22% against 13 Asian currencies over the past five years, as such negatively impacting the attractiveness of the country's exports. In order to combat this and drive the country's competitiveness, the only solution is through automation and higher sophistication in production, which in turn requires substantial support from the government in the form of financial aid, subsidies and access to finance (especially for the latter this column has been a regular and strong advocate of financial easing in all forms of production as an added incentive for local and/or foreign investors). These measures would mean increasing the money supply and in turn having to battle inflation once more, hopefully in a more effective way than last year's attempt to keep real estate prices and infrastructure spending under control", Intermodal's analyst noted.
So, as the factor of inflation seems to be fast-becoming ''a lesser of two devils'' for most major economies, what are the potential effects on shipping? "Secondhand prices and NB cost have seriously dropped over the past 4½ years. Current fleet profile, outstanding deliveries, market demand/supply factors all maintain their importance of course and have generated a dim outlook for the market ahead, but we cannot ignore the fact that all asset prices are subject to inflationery pressures as well. As the price gap between Japan and China is narrowing down, shipyards suffer greatly from rising construction costs and seem heavily reluctant to drop their price expectations to higher loss areas. Could this provide the necessary pillar for a reaction in prices? Could we finally be close to an artificial bottom?" the report concluded.
Source: Nikos Roussanoglou, Hellenic Shipping News
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Saturday, 29 December 12
SHIPBREAKING YARDS IN INDIA DEMOLISH A TOTAL OF 527 VESSELS IN 2012, BREAKING ALL PREVIOUS RECORDS - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS
India's ship demolition experts of Star Matrix contemplated this week on the issue of why ships in the range of 1,000 and up to 6,500 liquid tons ( ...
Thursday, 27 December 12
A LOOK AT WORLD TRADE PATTERNS DURING 2013 - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING
While China's leaders are likely to stick with the 2012 economic growth rate of 7.5% when they chart a course for 2013 - its weakest pace since 199 ...
Thursday, 27 December 12
INDONESIA SHIPPED 33.578* MMT COAL IN NOVEMBER
COALspot.com: Indonesia, the world largest multi grade coal exporter has shipped 33.578* million tons of coal in November 2012. thi ...
Wednesday, 26 December 12
UPDATE ON EXPORT BAN ON RAW MINERALS AND ORE - RITA SUSANTO
COALspot.com - In May 2012, the Minister of Energy and Mineral Resources (“MoEMR”) in Regulation No.7 (“Reg-7”, amended by R ...
Wednesday, 26 December 12
SHIP OWNERS WRAP UP NEWBUILDING DEALS PRIOR TO YEAR END - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS
As the year inches closer and closer to its end, many ship owners are looking to close deals for newbuilding vessels they have been negotiating duri ...
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- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Planning Commission, India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- The University of Queensland
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Australian Coal Association
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- White Energy Company Limited
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
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