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Tuesday, 19 March 13
SHIP PRICES COULD BE CLOSING IN TO REACH THEIR BOTTOM - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS
One of the latest developments in shipping asset prices has been the reluctance from shipyards to further reduce their price expectations to higher loss areas, due to the fact that they are faced with greater construction costs, as a result of the closing of the price gap between China and Japan. In its latest analysis, Intermodal, looks at the issue of inflation and its effect of ship prices around the world.
According to Mr. George Dermatis, "inflation is fast becoming our new friend... Up almost 9% for the year so far, the more than century-old blue-chip index, Dow Jones, posted last week its first finish above the record closing high of 14,164.53 set on Oct. 9th 2007, which is just ahead of the global financial meltdown.It is an undeniable fact that this new peak is reached primarily due to the extensive monetary stimuli that the Fed has provided over the past 4 years".
He added that "in Japan, the sun seems to be rising once again after decades of standing as a warning sign of what can go wrong when government debt reaches to extremely high levels. Yet enough though Japan's Nikkei 225 index stands at less than a third of its record high since 1989, the stock market has made big strides forward, climbing 35% since mid-November".
Meanwhile, in Europe, stocks rallied to their highest level in 4½ years, as investors cheered stronger-than-expected euro-zone retail sales and keyed off gains in U.S. equities. Dermatis noted that "Europe is standing at the opposite side of inflation argument, with austerity measures governing the southern countries and an almost deflationary outlook for the year ahead. Amidst heavy reforms on governance, fiscal policy and taxation amongst the country-members, the EU has managed to increase its competiveness; however pressures for monetary easing are expected to intensify as the voiced concerns in the Eurozone amplify. Let's not forget that it is the only major economy that has not resorted to this solution post-2008...Could this change soon?" he asks.
Finally, "China’s minimum wage has tripled since 2000, creating extra pressure via fast rising labour costs within China. This fact should however be looked at with greater scrunity, as the ageing population of China means a dropping supply of youth labour in the country. Environmental awareness pressures and restrictions on pollution from factories create another bottleneck in production and raise production costs across the board for Chinese manufacturing. Furthermore, the RMB is going from strength to strength and while nominal appreciation has been slower than critics in Brussels and Washington might like, real appreciation (adjusting for the country's relatively faster inflation rate) has been rapid. The Chinese currency has appreciated considerably in nominal terms as well, recording a median of about 22% against 13 Asian currencies over the past five years, as such negatively impacting the attractiveness of the country's exports. In order to combat this and drive the country's competitiveness, the only solution is through automation and higher sophistication in production, which in turn requires substantial support from the government in the form of financial aid, subsidies and access to finance (especially for the latter this column has been a regular and strong advocate of financial easing in all forms of production as an added incentive for local and/or foreign investors). These measures would mean increasing the money supply and in turn having to battle inflation once more, hopefully in a more effective way than last year's attempt to keep real estate prices and infrastructure spending under control", Intermodal's analyst noted.
So, as the factor of inflation seems to be fast-becoming ''a lesser of two devils'' for most major economies, what are the potential effects on shipping? "Secondhand prices and NB cost have seriously dropped over the past 4½ years. Current fleet profile, outstanding deliveries, market demand/supply factors all maintain their importance of course and have generated a dim outlook for the market ahead, but we cannot ignore the fact that all asset prices are subject to inflationery pressures as well. As the price gap between Japan and China is narrowing down, shipyards suffer greatly from rising construction costs and seem heavily reluctant to drop their price expectations to higher loss areas. Could this provide the necessary pillar for a reaction in prices? Could we finally be close to an artificial bottom?" the report concluded.
Source: Nikos Roussanoglou, Hellenic Shipping News
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Saturday, 05 January 13
THE SHIPPING MARKET IN 2012 AND LOOKING FORWARD - BIMCO
Global Economy: Things will go up from here
The global economy continues to grow, albeit at a slower pace than previous years. The slower economic ...
Friday, 04 January 13
DRY BULK MARKET LOOKING FOR DIRECTION IN FIRST TRADING DAYS OF THE NEW YEAR - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS
The dry bulk market is actively looking for its footing at the start of the New Year, as charters have been scarce, as is usually the case during th ...
Thursday, 03 January 13
INDONESIAN SUB-BITUMINOUS COAL SWAPS CLOSED US$ 6.86 HIGHER FOR 2014 DELIVERY
COALspot.com - Swaps prices were changed positively for thermal coal for loading in the first quarter from Indonesia, according to SGX AsiaClear OTC ...
Thursday, 03 January 13
SUPRMAX FREIGHT RATE FROM RED SEA / INDIA IS AROUND MID TEENS - FEARNLEYS
Fearnleys in its weekly report said that, Indian market was very quiet in respect of export of iron ore. For Indo-India trip Supra rate was hovering ...
Thursday, 03 January 13
DRY BULK DEMAND TO KEEP RISING IN 2013, DRY BULK SHIP PRICES TO KEEP FALLING SAYS ANALYST - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS
In a recent report on the future of the shipping markets, DVB bank said that dry bulk demand is expected to keep on growing in the coming years, mai ...
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- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Australian Coal Association
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- The University of Queensland
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- MS Steel International - UAE
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- White Energy Company Limited
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
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