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Wednesday, 02 January 13
DRY BULK MARKET TO STAY ELEVATED IN START OF 2013 BUT THE NEW YEAR WILL NOT BE WITHOUT TURBULENCE - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS
In its regular update on the dry bulk market, BIMCO forecasted, that Capesize time-charter rates are expected to stay elevated in the following six weeks at around $9,000 – 16,000. "Panamax is expected to be found in the USD 6,000-10,000 per day interval. For the Supramax segment, BIMCO forecasts freight rates to remain in the USD 7,000-9,500 per day interval, whereas Handysize rates are forecast to stay at the interval of USD 6,000-9,000 per day" the shipping organization said.
In its outlook, BIMCO's report noted that "the effect on asset prices stemming from the large inflow of new tonnage is felt across the board by all owners. Lately, the pressure on second-hand values has been so severe that the correlation with newbuilding prices is off. What once was a rather strong early indicator (correlation above 90%) of where newbuilding prices were heading, is now derailed, as Clarkson’s Bulkcarrier Secondhand Prices Index is exposing a price change of -29% as compared to the end of November last year. During the same period, the Bulkcarrier Newbuilding Price index is down by no more than 8%. Clearly, the erosion of vessel values is causing problems for ship owners and for the providers of finance. Balance sheet assets and liabilities are stretched at length, which puts even more strength in a positive and fairly predictable strong cash-flow to back the business. Q4 has brought about some optimism, with the BDI now at 1,022 driven primarily by strong Capesize demand. Leaving a disastrous 2012 behind, a stronger 2013 is most likely in the making, but don’t expect a lightning strike" the report said.
Meanwhile, in the supply side of things, BIMCO's Chief Shipping Analyst, Peter Sand said that "following an immensely hectic delivery pace during the first two quarters of the year at 30 and 33.5 million DWT respectively, things were back at “normal” in the 3rd quarter at 20.34 million DWT. Now, as we know the year-to-date numbers at the end of November coming in at 92.3 million DWT, the slowdown is considerable and happening across the board and not exclusively in China. Out of 1,118 dry bulk carriers launched so far in 2012, 579 have been delivered from Chinese shipyards (51%). Despite the recent slowdown, deliveries are forecast to go higher towards the end of the year, bringing the deliveries tally beyond the 100 million DWT mark for the second year in a row. Going forward, 2013 deliveries are “front end loaded”, with 52% in the first six months and 32% in the final six months, leaving 16% without a fixed delivery month.
The demolition of commercially obsolete tonnage has reached 517 vessels of 31 million DWT. This has positively reduced the active fleet, which nonetheless has grown by 9.8% since the turn of the year. In respect of demolition, 2012 has been just as good as the freight market has been bad. Despite disruptions at major demolition sites, the total demolition yard capacity has proved sufficiently large. India, followed by Bangladesh, took the lion’s share in that market" Sand noted.
In a separate analysis, shipbroker Intermodal, said that with shipping finance "on the ropes" as traditional lenders appear to be cutting their losses and tonnage oversupply still the most important issue plaguing freight markets, the shipping industry is looking at yet another challenging year ahead, as 2013 is edging closer and closer. According to most market analysts, a potential recovery has to be postponed until at least 2014, but things could get even worse in the meantime, as a result of potentially further troubles in Europe.
According to Intermodal's report, "the hit this time will be taken by the already crippled ship finance sector, with the upcoming banking reform possibly further limiting available credit lines to owners. Yet, the above will prove to be only a mere drop in the vast ocean of the future obstacles the shipping industry has to overcome. The worst possible effects of this banking reform will be with regards to trade rather than shipping investment itself. With shipping being a derived demand, this is something beyond the control of the industry’s players" said the report.
Intermodal's George Lazaridis said in the note that "what is in the industry players' control, is the performance of supply and how well it is organised to meet global requirements and that’s where the main focus should remain. As we stand now, it will be supply that will dictate the duration and extent of the damage caused to the industry. Owners have already taken steps to limit the fleet growth rate as much as they can. The noticeable delays and cancellations of newbuildings that have taken place this year have helped put a cap on the fleet growth rate. At the same time, thanks to a significant slowdown in new orders being placed, the orderbook has decreased dramatically. The final piece to the puzzle, though by no means of smaller importance, has been the record scrapping volumes witnessed this year" he said.
Lazaridis added that "with demand playing the most important role in giving a decisive direction to the market, it looks as though it may be heading for a drop, despite all these above measures taken. What’s important is to know by how much; If the stormy weather that is approaching is of “hurricane force”, we may find ourselves forming bridges of laid-up vessels. If on the other hand, we take the most optimistic case, it may well be that we will still have a number of troubled owners, witnessing their cash flows “run aground”. In any case this will leave distressed assets ripe for the picking for all those shipping funds that have amassed over the past years" he noted".
From all of us in the Hellenic Shipping News Worldwide team, we'd like to wish you and your families a Happy New Year!
Source: Nikos Roussanoglou, Hellenic Shipping News
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Monday, 12 November 12
DRILLING COMPLETED AT THE MOORLANDS DEPOSIT, WEST BOWEN PROJECT
Press Release - Cuesta Coal Limited (ASX: CQC) (“Cuesta”) is pleased to announce it has completed its exploration activities at the Moor ...
Monday, 12 November 12
BARGE-LOAD OF 5K TONNES OF COAL FROM THE ADK JOINT VENTURE SHIPPED LAST WEEK
COALspot.com - Orpheus Energy (ASX:OEG) has announced that, it has successfully shipped a 5,000 tonne of ADK thermal coal to an Indonesian trading g ...
Sunday, 11 November 12
AN OPTIMISTIC WEEK FOR INDONESIAN SUB-BIT COAL
COALspot.com - Sub-Bit Indonesia coal swaps (FOB ) for January 2013 delivery gains 2.08 percent WoW and 1.28 percent DoD on Friday, 9 November ...
Sunday, 11 November 12
THE IRON ORE AND COAL PRICES MOVEMENTS REMAINS LOW - VISTAAR
COALspot.com The market remained soft with all the sectors soft.
The BDI and was down by 4.67 pct closing at 940 points, on Friday 9 Novemb ...
Friday, 09 November 12
SHIP OWNERS TURN TO SECOND HAND VESSELS, WHICH COME AT ATTRACTIVE PRICES - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS
The attractiveness of modern second hand vessels, which are often priced aggressively can't be ignored by cash-rich ship owners, who are taking adv ...
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- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Planning Commission, India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- The University of Queensland
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
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