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Thursday, 27 December 12
A LOOK AT WORLD TRADE PATTERNS DURING 2013 - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING
 While China's leaders are likely to stick with the 2012 economic growth rate of 7.5% when they chart a course for 2013 - its weakest pace since 1999 - with Europe still in recession and U.S' demand sluggish, world trade faces considerable headwinds for 2013. According to Intermodal's Tasos Papadopoulos, "Southeast Asia has lately become an engine of global economic growth; since the Asian crisis of the mid 90’s the region "has been in the gym and working hard" and is showing much more resilience now".
The shipbroker's analyst noted that 'countries such as Thailand, Indonesia, Malaysia, Vietnam, the Philippines, and Myanmar have come out of a prolonged economic slump and are now forecast for a sustained economic growth amid increasing number of middle-income earners. The Philippines, for example, which once earned the nickname the "sick man of Asia", announced earlier this month that its GDP rose by 7.1% in the July-September period which is pretty close to China's growth levels! In other words, the Chinese economy is slowing down, while SE Asian growth is still picking up.
Investors are shifting their money towards Southeast Asian markets where strong consumer spending is expected to boost domestic demand while the region’s deca-millionairs (those earning $10 million or more) already outnumber those in Europe and are expected to exceed those in the United States within the next decade. Over the past three months, stocks in the Philippines rose 8% and in Indonesia climbed 6%. According to Dai-chi Life Research Institute Inc., $1.5-2bn was invested in the stock exchanges of Indonesia, Thailand and the Philippines between late 2011 and October this year. Indonesia, which has a population of 240m - 4th most populated country in the world - offers the biggest domestic market in SE Asia and an increasing predictions that she will be ranked as the 4th largest economy by 2050" he said.
Papadopoulos added that "at this point, it is worth noting that Indonesians’ have been very active in the SnP market in 2012 acquiring modern tonnage, with notable mention going towards the ex “Nanos” (50,296dwt-blt 02) at low $ 14m, ex “Energy Angel” (77,697dwt-blt 98) at $ 12,6m or more recently the reported sale of “Pegasus Island” (77,830dwt-blt 02) at low $ 12m" he said.
According to the report, "China and Japan are also eyeing S. Eastern markets as a destination for their products and expect the region to develop further in the future. Chinese steelmakers, Baosteel Group Corp and Wuhan Iron and Steel (Group) Corp have separately invested into building steel plants in South China, while planning to export a total of 10m tons per year of steel products to the SE Asian region. JFE Steel Corp of Japan, together with Taiwanese company E-United Group, is also examining a plan to build a 3.5m ton integrated steel works in Vietnam. Formosa Plastics Group, Taiwan's top petrochemical company, is investing about $10bn to construct its first steel plant for domestic and overseas supply. The project includes the development of a deep water port able to accommodate a 300k dwt dry bulker".
Intermodal's report concluded by nothing that "we have to consider that the business environment in all these countries is of high risk. Political stability is not guaranteed and past experience should become a lesson; in Thailand, after the royal succession takes place, there is a high risk that social stability may not to be ensured, in Myanmar, the transition towards democracy - after almost 50 years of military rule - is not an easy task at all while in Indonesia a bureaucrat who spearheaded the export restrictions on natural resources might be the winner of the 2014 presidential elections...With all this in mind one might wonder what the future may have in stall".
Source: Nikos Roussanoglou, Hellenic Shipping
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Sunday, 13 January 13
THE FREIGHT MARKET: FAIRLY STEADY - VISTAAR
COALspot.com - The freight market was fairly steady with all the indices up with maximum gain in the Panamax segment. The BDI was up by 7.65 pct clo ...
Saturday, 12 January 13
SUB-BIT FOB INDONESIA COAL SWAPS: WEAK
COALspot.com - Sub-Bit Indonesia coal swaps (FOB ) for average Q1’ 2013 delivery has lost 0.32 percent WoW but CFR South China coal ship ...
Saturday, 12 January 13
HIGHER COAL PRICES: SEASONAL EFFECT
COALspot.com : Bahana Securities, one of the leading securities in Indonesia, said in its latest coal outlook that, on US and China&rsquo ...
Friday, 11 January 13
HBA HAS JUMPED BY US$ 5.80 PMT IN JANUARY 2013
COALspot.com - The Indonesian government has declared bench mark price for coal higher than December price. The monthly coal reference price f ...
Thursday, 10 January 13
PANAMAX : SOME GLIMMERS OF HOPE MID WEEK - FEARNLEYS
According to Fearnley’s weekly report, the Atlantic handy market is stable with rates around USD 11k for Cont-Feast and USD 17k bss USG/Feast. ...
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- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Australian Coal Association
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- The University of Queensland
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- White Energy Company Limited
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- PTC India Limited - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
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