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Friday, 23 November 12
CHOOSING THE RIGHT TIME TO INVEST IN NEW VESSELS - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS
Shipping is all about timing, a process often rising to the height of artform, as ship owners are having to pick the exact moment of selling most of their fleet and investing a new one, i.e. selling high and buying low. As the current market conditions favor the buying part of the market, with asset values on a downward path during the past few years, it's not easy to pick the right time, since next week a vessel with similar specifications to the one purchased, may have lost an additonal few thousand dollars off its value and in shipping even those matter.
As a result, it is very difficult to predict with full accuracy the proper timing, not to mention estimate where vessel values will have moved during the next couple of months. According to the latest weekly report from Piraeus-based Intermodal, despite the fact that most market pundits continually voice that second-hand and newbuilding prices have the potential to fall by as much as 20-30% in the next few months, there are always "Black Swan" events which catch everyone by surprise.
In his analysis, Intermodal's Panos Makrinos notes that "taking the case however that asset prices may drop further, it makes fair reason for any prospective buyer who currently has serious interest in buying new vessels, to wait for some time before taking any decisive action. All that being said, such a decision may well be within minimal risk of an upward swing in asset prices but always entailing some".
He added that "according to current market anticipation, the right time to buy a second-hand vessel or a newbuilding will be some point in the first half of 2013. The expectation is that prices will more accurately reflect the current low freight levels experienced as well as the lack of serious buying interest. The question that arises here is whether this common thinking is indeed reasonable and able in itself to persuade all these prospective Buyers to wait despite the discounted prices offered. In essence, their choice to wait means that they would forgo any potential gains that could be succeeded from acquiring modern second hand or newbuilding vessels at current levels. The question is to what extent should owners be chasing the market bottom, especially in the case were they are planning to make more than one vessel acquisition" he noted.
Makrinos also mentions that "in the case of new orders we can see a further case for owners to take on this decisive action, since we all appreciate that what both the dry and wet sectors need right now is ever stronger demolition activity in order to counterbalance all the new deliveries that we have seen in 2012 so far. As mentioned in our weekly report at the end of last month, in the dry sector alone we have seen more than 1,000 dry bulk carriers delivered since the start of the year with over 85 million tons of deadweight capacity and there is still time to go before the end of the year. This may well have been offset by the record number of demolitions seen, however we it has not been all smooth sailing in the scrap market. Demo prices have recently been under pressure and with a lack of clear market direction it looks as though they could possible soften further by the end of the year if we continue to see the current strong supply of demo tonnage in combination with weak steel demand.
What one might voice, is whether all this should truly influence one’s decision for further ordering. A new vessel is always treated better amongst charterers than an old one, while at the same time you would not expect to miss out on any “Party” while waiting for delivery. The argument as to whether one should order a new building or buy a secondhand unit will continue on for some time, however what is imperative and would be seen as an encouraging sign, is a more active stance towards demolition, especially while the current scrap steel prices still hold their ground. After all no-one knows what the New Year may have in stall for the shipping industry and it may well be better to be with cash at hand" the analyst concluded.
Source: Nikos Roussanoglou, Hellenic Shipping News
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Thursday, 01 November 12
KOMIPO LOOKING FOR 440,000 MT OF 4600 KCAL/KG NAR COAL FOR BORYEONG POWER PLANT
COALspot.com - Korea Midland Power Co. Ltd.(KOMIPO) is inviting bids from coal producers, marketing companies or traders to supply of 440,000 Metric ...
Thursday, 01 November 12
CAPESIZE RATES FALL, DRY BULK MARKET RETREATS - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS
It was another lackluster session yesterday in the dry bulk markets, with the industry's benchmark, the BDI (Baltic Dry Index) retreating by 1.63 p ...
Thursday, 01 November 12
HANDY : WCI-CHINA RATES ARE AT AROUND USD 5,000 AND ECI-CHINA AROUND USD 4000 - FEARNLEYS AS
Handy
The Atlantic market remains quiet due to a lack of cargoes and an increased supply of ships. Rates from the Continent to east Med were around ...
Tuesday, 30 October 12
COAL PRODUCTION TO RISE BY FIVE PERCENT IN 2013 - TEMPO INTERACTIVE
TEMPO Interactive reported that, Indonesian Coal Mining Association (APBI) chairman Bob Kamandanu has estimated that Indonesian coal production will ...
Tuesday, 30 October 12
NEW BUILDING ORDERING ACTIVITY KEEPS ON RETREATING - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS
Ship owners have refrained from placing any new orders of vessels during the course of the past few days, according to shipbroker reports. According ...
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Showing 4521 to 4525 news of total 6871 |
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- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- White Energy Company Limited
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Australian Coal Association
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- The University of Queensland
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
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