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Saturday, 03 November 12
DEMOLITION IS THE KEY FOR DRY BULK SHIPPING'S RECOVERY SAYS SHIPBROKER - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS
With the number of new building deliveries so far in 2012 already having surpassed the total of 2011, it's more than clear that the dry bulk sector needs more than record demolition activity in order to compensate for the additional tonnage. In other words, older vessels will have to exit the world's fleet in a faster rate, otherwise they will end up competing with their newer counterparts for the same cargoes. According to a recent report from shipbroker Intermodal, more than 1,000 dry bulk carriers have already been delivered since the start of 2012, with over 85 million tons of deadweight capacity and there's two more months until the end of 2012.
According to Intermodal's Theodore Ntalakos, "demolition remains the only alternative for vintage tonnage especially for the bigger vessels. More than 25m tons dwt of dry tonnage have seen the way to the scrapyards, making 2012 another record year in demolition. If we look at demolition versus new deliveries, almost 400 dry bulk carriers have been scrapped representing around 40% of new deliveries. In terms of deadweight, since the new ships are always bigger, demolition is about 30% of the new building deliveries. Although the numbers are more favorable compared to 2011, in 2012 we have seen economies slowing down or even contracting which no doubt has affected global seaborne trade" he said.
We added that "looking at the ratio (demolition/new deliveries) x100 in terms of dwt and in each sub-sector of the dry fleet we can explain and highlight some findings:
Vessels up to 20,000dwt – Demolition is almost 74% of the tonnage or 93% in terms of dwt indicating that this is a sector where the fleet has remained stable.
+ Handysize – the ratio is 55% hinting both the small orderbook as well as the overaged fleet.
+ Handymax/Supramax – the ratio is 22%, showing the limited scraping compared to the very large Supramax orderbook. This number is up from 11% in 2011, which shows that despite the high utilization of this segment, the fleet needs to grow at a slower pace.
+ Panamax – the ratio is 33%, up from 24% in 2011. The lousy rates sent more ships for demo this year, 6.3m tons went for demolition and 19m tons dwt were delivered.
+ Capesize – another poor year for Capesizes explains the fact that scrapings represent almost 40% of new deliveries" he mentioned.
Concluding his argument, Mr. Ntalakos noted that "it feels like demolition activity this year was more of a necessity, not only because the market has remained depressed, but mainly because the future of the older vessels does not look that bright. No doubt the pressure of the orderbook remains enormous and will continue to strangle the market and when world demand subsides, the demolition alone cannot bring the rates back up. As we reach towards the end of 2012, more vessels are coming and surely more demo activity is expected".
Meanwhile, in terms of dry bulk supply, BIMCO noted in a mid-October report that "while our projections for the fleet growth in percentage have remained somewhat steady most of the year, the flows in and out have been much stronger than foreseen at the start of the year. The hectic delivery pace has surpassed the astonishing level of 10 million DWT a month several times, whilst demolition activity has breached the 3 million DWT a month level numerous times too".
The report also examined what can be deduced from this? "Probably that many shipyards are suffering under an intense lack of cash-flow. Whereas the payment structure of the contracts previously were mostly equally distributed or front-heavy from signing to delivery, the contracts that have been made more recently are likely to be back-end loaded, releasing the biggest chunk of the money to the yards closer to the completion and delivery of the ship. This could be one of many explanations that may eventually cause widespread bankruptcies amongst smaller and privately-held yards in the main shipbuilding nations. The active fleet has grown by 8.8% since the turn of the year, as 964 new ships have now been delivered into a fleet that already stood at 8,901 dry bulk carriers at the start of the year. Fortunately, the pressure of 80 million DWT of brand new capacity being poured into the market has been eased to some extent by 375 over aged vessels being demolished.
Ship owners continuously apply the demolition tool generously in order to improve the bad market conditions by cutting down on the supply side. Demolition activity in India, Bangladesh and Pakistan in particular is strong, with lots of dry bulk tonnage sold for breaking. Following the drop in demolition prices from the top in April prices have now moved sideways at a new lower level that has stuck around for some months now. 25 million DWT has now been demolished during 2012 with more to come, assuming that ship owners continue to be tempted by the recycling price level" it concluded.
Source: Nikos Roussanoglou, Hellenic Shipping News
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Thursday, 01 November 12
KOMIPO LOOKING FOR 440,000 MT OF 4600 KCAL/KG NAR COAL FOR BORYEONG POWER PLANT
COALspot.com - Korea Midland Power Co. Ltd.(KOMIPO) is inviting bids from coal producers, marketing companies or traders to supply of 440,000 Metric ...
Thursday, 01 November 12
CAPESIZE RATES FALL, DRY BULK MARKET RETREATS - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS
It was another lackluster session yesterday in the dry bulk markets, with the industry's benchmark, the BDI (Baltic Dry Index) retreating by 1.63 p ...
Thursday, 01 November 12
HANDY : WCI-CHINA RATES ARE AT AROUND USD 5,000 AND ECI-CHINA AROUND USD 4000 - FEARNLEYS AS
Handy
The Atlantic market remains quiet due to a lack of cargoes and an increased supply of ships. Rates from the Continent to east Med were around ...
Tuesday, 30 October 12
COAL PRODUCTION TO RISE BY FIVE PERCENT IN 2013 - TEMPO INTERACTIVE
TEMPO Interactive reported that, Indonesian Coal Mining Association (APBI) chairman Bob Kamandanu has estimated that Indonesian coal production will ...
Tuesday, 30 October 12
NEW BUILDING ORDERING ACTIVITY KEEPS ON RETREATING - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS
Ship owners have refrained from placing any new orders of vessels during the course of the past few days, according to shipbroker reports. According ...
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- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- The University of Queensland
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Planning Commission, India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Australian Coal Association
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
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