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Monday, 13 February 12
WEEKLY DRY MARKET OVERVIEW - MARIA BERTZELETOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING
The current sentiment in the dry market resembles memories from the end of 2008, when the Baltic Dry Index closed at the level of 663 points on December 5th, 2008 .The first day of February commenced with the BDI closing at 662 points, the lowest level that the market has seen in the last 26 years and ongoing fears for the operational profitability of dry bulk players for the year ahead. During the last week, the BDI showed an upward trend by gaining for four consecutive days more than 10 points, but it is still trading below the psychological barrier of 1,000 points mark. Overall, the BDI closed on Friday of February 10th at 715 points, up by 10.5% from last week’s closing, with the panamax size outperforming over other vessel categories. All vessel sizes apart from handysizes showed upward movements from the trading bottom lows that hit shipping operators during the last days of January. The BPI showed a remarkable 39.5% week-on-week increase in contrast with a 4.1% week-on-week fall in the BHSI.
For large size vessels, capesizes, conditions remain very weak with the market needing more cargo input to absorb the oversupply headache. The Baltic Capesize Index remained almost stable, up by 1% week-on-week, by gaining 21 points from previous week, by closing at 1457 points with activity in the Atlantic market being slow from very limited cargo demand, while interest from Brazil to China is scarce. The heavy weather in the ports of Australia and Brazil, the main iron ore producers, along with the Chinese ban on the entrance of Vale’s mega very large ore capes into Chinese ports have created more downward pressure in the already fragile market given the slow Chinese steel activity during Chinese New Year.
The panamax market seems to be the first one that has shown strong signs of recovery from the end of Chinese holidays with the sentiment being improved for Atlantic traders and a flurry of period activity from firm South American demand. The BPI closed at 967 points, up 274 points, recording a remarkable increase from previous week and showing healthier average time charter earnings. For supramax vessels, condition in the Atlantic market is still in the doldrums with some improvement reported in the Pacific market. The BSI showed a better performance than capesizes by moving 6% higher than previous week and hopes for a firmer rebound in the following days. The BHSI lost 16 points by recording a 4% week-on-week decline as it seems that the large percentage of overaged vessels in this category has started to stress the market significantly and more intense scrapping activity is needed.
Will the BDI continue its upward movement? Will capesizes find a firmer support? The iron ore demand and China’s economic activity are the two key factors for the revival of dry operators.
BHP Billiton, the world's no. 3 iron ore miner, said in Reuters that fundamentals for iron ore demand remain strong, with Chinese steel making expected to pick up following the lunar New Year and with Indian iron ore supplies lagging expectations. Furthermore, Anglo American’s Kumba Iron Ore CEO Chris Griffith said that global iron ore demand is likely to improve over the medium-to-long term. Global demand for iron-ore would remain dependent on steel manufacturing in China, which accounted for more than two-thirds of demand, but which had had a relatively subdued second half during 2011. The JSE-listed miner held a positive view on the market from the second half of 2012. But over the first six months of 2012, the iron-ore market was expected to maintain its current market conditions. Zhu Hongreng, Chief Engineer of Ministry of industry and Information Technology of PRC, pointed out that China steel industry is to encounter tougher challenging in 2012 due to heightened unbalance between supply and demand arising from dwindling demand and further squeezed profit margin of domestic steel mills on rising iron ore prices.
However, the economic activity of China gives weak signs and brings some uncertainty regarding the Chinese import and export market sentiment. According to Custom’s Administration, China’s exports is estimated that dipped by 0.5% from a year earlier, the first decline in more than two years, raising fresh concerns about the impact of a global slowdown on its economy. Imports fell by 15.3%, resulting in a trade surplus of $27.3bn (£17bn) which was a six-month high. Analysts said while the closure of establishments during the Chinese New Year affected the numbers, the decline could not be attributed to the festival alone.They said that the bigger-than-expected drop, especially in imports, was worrying as it gave an indication of slowing growth. A fall of over 15% in January cannot be entirely explained by the lunar calendar, and adds weight to the view that economic output is slower than headline indicators might suggest
The China Federation of Logistics and Purchasing reported that the import index for January fell to 46.9 from 49.3 in the previous month, showing slowing demand at home. Despite these numbers, analysts said the dip was likely to be short-lived and imports may start to rise in the coming months.
Even the latest statistics data reveal a strong impact of the debt crisis on China’s trading activity; we will wait to see what the first quarter of the year will bring since January data usually give a distorted picture.
Source: Maria Bertzeletou, Hellenic Shipping
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Monday, 07 November 11
CHINA'S COAL IMPORTS STEAM AHEAD
Chinese seaborne coal imports have grown greatly in recent years, up from 39.2mt in 2008 to 167.7mt in 2010, with the result that China became a net ...
Saturday, 05 November 11
DEMAND SLUMP THREATENS MORE PAIN FOR BULK VESSELS - VISTAAR
COALspot.com - The market continued to fall with BDI dropping below 2,000 points by around 10 pct and closing at 1817 points. The cape index also co ...
Saturday, 05 November 11
BERAU STARTS TO EXPLORE BINUNGAN SITE - INSIDER STORIES
Insider Stories reported that, coal miner PT Berau Coal, a 90% owned subsidiary of PT Berau Coal Energy Tbk (BRAU), is busy to hold exploration in B ...
Friday, 04 November 11
INDIAN IRON ORE MARKET REMAINS DEAD - FEARNLEYS
Handy
The Atlantic market kept its strong position from last week. Even with fewer fixtures reported. Fronthauls still around 25k, wit ...
Thursday, 03 November 11
DRY BULK MARKET OFFICIALLY IN THE RED ON LOWER CARGO DEMAND - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING
The dry bulk market kept falling yesterday, on lower iron ore demand, which has caused the industry’s benchmark, the BDI (Baltic Dry Index) to ...
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- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- The University of Queensland
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Planning Commission, India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
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