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Monday, 13 February 12
WEEKLY DRY MARKET OVERVIEW - MARIA BERTZELETOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING
The current sentiment in the dry market resembles memories from the end of 2008, when the Baltic Dry Index closed at the level of 663 points on December 5th, 2008 .The first day of February commenced with the BDI closing at 662 points, the lowest level that the market has seen in the last 26 years and ongoing fears for the operational profitability of dry bulk players for the year ahead. During the last week, the BDI showed an upward trend by gaining for four consecutive days more than 10 points, but it is still trading below the psychological barrier of 1,000 points mark. Overall, the BDI closed on Friday of February 10th at 715 points, up by 10.5% from last week’s closing, with the panamax size outperforming over other vessel categories. All vessel sizes apart from handysizes showed upward movements from the trading bottom lows that hit shipping operators during the last days of January. The BPI showed a remarkable 39.5% week-on-week increase in contrast with a 4.1% week-on-week fall in the BHSI.
For large size vessels, capesizes, conditions remain very weak with the market needing more cargo input to absorb the oversupply headache. The Baltic Capesize Index remained almost stable, up by 1% week-on-week, by gaining 21 points from previous week, by closing at 1457 points with activity in the Atlantic market being slow from very limited cargo demand, while interest from Brazil to China is scarce. The heavy weather in the ports of Australia and Brazil, the main iron ore producers, along with the Chinese ban on the entrance of Vale’s mega very large ore capes into Chinese ports have created more downward pressure in the already fragile market given the slow Chinese steel activity during Chinese New Year.
The panamax market seems to be the first one that has shown strong signs of recovery from the end of Chinese holidays with the sentiment being improved for Atlantic traders and a flurry of period activity from firm South American demand. The BPI closed at 967 points, up 274 points, recording a remarkable increase from previous week and showing healthier average time charter earnings. For supramax vessels, condition in the Atlantic market is still in the doldrums with some improvement reported in the Pacific market. The BSI showed a better performance than capesizes by moving 6% higher than previous week and hopes for a firmer rebound in the following days. The BHSI lost 16 points by recording a 4% week-on-week decline as it seems that the large percentage of overaged vessels in this category has started to stress the market significantly and more intense scrapping activity is needed.
Will the BDI continue its upward movement? Will capesizes find a firmer support? The iron ore demand and China’s economic activity are the two key factors for the revival of dry operators.
BHP Billiton, the world's no. 3 iron ore miner, said in Reuters that fundamentals for iron ore demand remain strong, with Chinese steel making expected to pick up following the lunar New Year and with Indian iron ore supplies lagging expectations. Furthermore, Anglo American’s Kumba Iron Ore CEO Chris Griffith said that global iron ore demand is likely to improve over the medium-to-long term. Global demand for iron-ore would remain dependent on steel manufacturing in China, which accounted for more than two-thirds of demand, but which had had a relatively subdued second half during 2011. The JSE-listed miner held a positive view on the market from the second half of 2012. But over the first six months of 2012, the iron-ore market was expected to maintain its current market conditions. Zhu Hongreng, Chief Engineer of Ministry of industry and Information Technology of PRC, pointed out that China steel industry is to encounter tougher challenging in 2012 due to heightened unbalance between supply and demand arising from dwindling demand and further squeezed profit margin of domestic steel mills on rising iron ore prices.
However, the economic activity of China gives weak signs and brings some uncertainty regarding the Chinese import and export market sentiment. According to Custom’s Administration, China’s exports is estimated that dipped by 0.5% from a year earlier, the first decline in more than two years, raising fresh concerns about the impact of a global slowdown on its economy. Imports fell by 15.3%, resulting in a trade surplus of $27.3bn (£17bn) which was a six-month high. Analysts said while the closure of establishments during the Chinese New Year affected the numbers, the decline could not be attributed to the festival alone.They said that the bigger-than-expected drop, especially in imports, was worrying as it gave an indication of slowing growth. A fall of over 15% in January cannot be entirely explained by the lunar calendar, and adds weight to the view that economic output is slower than headline indicators might suggest
The China Federation of Logistics and Purchasing reported that the import index for January fell to 46.9 from 49.3 in the previous month, showing slowing demand at home. Despite these numbers, analysts said the dip was likely to be short-lived and imports may start to rise in the coming months.
Even the latest statistics data reveal a strong impact of the debt crisis on China’s trading activity; we will wait to see what the first quarter of the year will bring since January data usually give a distorted picture.
Source: Maria Bertzeletou, Hellenic Shipping
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Saturday, 12 November 11
DRY BULK MARKET REGAINS SOME OF THE LOST GROUND - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING
The dry bulk market managed to edge forward yesterday, putting an end and halting the losses accumulated over the course of the past weeks, which ha ...
Friday, 11 November 11
PETROCOM ENERGY PLANS $40M TO BUILD COAL PLANT IN CILEGON - JP
The Jakarta Post reported that, Hong Kong-based Petrocom Energy Ltd has unveiled plans to invest up to US$40 million on a proposed coal-blending fac ...
Friday, 11 November 11
GOVT WAITS LEGAL DECISION ON BUKIT ASAM, ADARO DISPUTE - JP
The Jakarta Post reported that, The government says that it will not interfere in the settlement process of the dispute between state coal miner PT ...
Thursday, 10 November 11
INDONESIAN REFERENCE COAL PRICE FELL AGAIN
COALspot.com - Ministry of Energy and Mineral Resources of Indonesia has set the November 2011 Indonesian Coal Reference Price for thermal coal at U ...
Tuesday, 08 November 11
COAL MINER ABM INVESTAMA PLANS $290M PUBLIC OFFERING - JG
The Jakarta Globe reported that, ABM Investama, an Indonesian coal miner controlled by the Hamami family, plans to raise as much as Rp 2.6 trillion ...
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- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- The University of Queensland
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- VISA Power Limited - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- White Energy Company Limited
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Australian Coal Association
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- PTC India Limited - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
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