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Friday, 25 November 11
DRY BULK MARKET LOSING STEAM, FAST - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING
It’s been a week of falls for the dry bulk market this one, leaving ship owners with a sour taste in their mouths, as evidence of a recovery is not visible in the horizon. This latest negative trend is actually proving those analysts, that had predicted a slowdown in the market before the year’s end, right. They were arguing that the current balance between demand and supply is in favor of demand, with the flurry of new building vessels being such, that it couldn’t be absorbed by the market. At the same time, shipyards around the world are speeding their deliveries, a sort of «tradiiton» during these past few years.
As a result, yesterday the Baltic Dry Index, the industry’s benchmark was down by another 0.87% to 1,814 points. As was the trend mid-week, all major dry bulk ship segments were on the red, with the Capesizes setting the trend. The larger Capesize ships lost 1.33% yesterday, with the relative Baltic Capesize Index (BCI) now standing at 3.042 points. Similarly, Panamaxes were down by 1.03% to 1,822 points, while Supramaxes lost an additional 0.14%. "With demand still weak as being indicated by negative developments in steel price futures and expected to moderate further in seasonally low 1Q, we believe the capesize rally in 2H11 primarily on back of robust steel production and Chinese inventory build-up could reverse as trend reversal occurs," RS Platou Markets said, quoted by Reuters.
In a recent analysis, Tasos Papadopoulos from shipbroker Intermodal said that “shipping’s obvious dependence upon China and her extraordinary growth highlights the importance of understanding China's resource-based foreign policy and its priorities. China has only begun to build out its renewable energy program, its urbanization efforts are perhaps only 30 or 40 per cent complete-bringing its masses of rural workers into the modern urban world- and even greater stockpiles will have to be accumulated for the coming years. Chinese are relentlessly long-term thinkers and have proven themselves remarkably good at achieving goals set in past five and ten-year plans.
Nowadays, almost everyone accepts that fossil fuels (oil, coal, natural gas) are in short supply and not long-term solution to power the world's economy. It was a mistake to take fossil fuels for granted and today it is a mistake to take virtually any material for granted. Therefore, CCP (Chinese Communist Party) has a stated goal to generate 15 to 20 per cent of its primary energy consumption from alternative energies (wind, solar, hydro and nuclear) by 2020. China, having early realized this fact, is rapidly accumulating a lion's share of metals that are critical for a switch to renewable energies such as silver, copper, zinc and the so-called rare earth elements (neodymium, indium, europium, cerium, lanthanum etc). It is clear that China is moving forward as quickly as it can to obtain these essential materials before the developed world mobilizes with the same goal. In this sense, Chinese mine copper in the world's most dangerous places (China Metallurgical Group Corp, a state-owned conglomerate, paid $3.4 billion for the rights of Aynak copper field, one of the biggest foreign investment in the history of Afghanistan), have made infrastructure-deals in order to secure long-term supplies of resources with at least 35 African countries, and signed notable aggressive agreements with Brazil, Bolivia, Venezuela, Ecuador and Argentina in order to gain access to Latin America's mineral wealth” said Mr. Papadopoulos.
He went on to state that “China's over spending on infrastructure is a significant down payment on their long-term plan described above which incorporates a major goal: A better life for its populace. A large percentage of the population still living in the countryside and farming in a traditional communal-style manner, but it’s estimated that "China's rural population will shrink from the current 900 million to 400 million in 30 years". There are already newly built cities that have roads, buildings, mass transit systems and indeed everything but residents! The benefits on the world trade, when these cities will be inhabited, are obvious. Just to mention that China currently only has around fifty cars per thousand people. In the Western world, not only does there seem to be no such strategic plan to secure resources but also China is in far better financial shape and flexibility, with its huge trade surplus, in comparison with the indebted anaemic economies of USA, Japan and Europe. China has identified the truth that if you solve "energy" you solve most other problems. If oil goes up, so does the cost of delivering iron ore, so too does the cost of mining coal and so do the price of finding more oil” concluded Intermodal’s Tasos Papadopoulos.
Source: Nikos Roussanoglou, Hellenic Shipping
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Sunday, 01 July 12
DSP OF SGX ASIACLEAR OTC COAL SWAP'S THIS WEEKS MOVEMENTS SLIGHTLY POSITIVE
COALspot.com - SGX AsiaClear OTC Coal Swaps have recovered slightly this week and Q4 deliveries are also showing positive direction.
SGX’s ...
Saturday, 30 June 12
THE FREIGHT RATES ARE EXPECTED TO BE STEADY TO FIRM NEXT WEEK - VISTAAR SINGAPORE
COALspot.com – The BDI was up by 2.66 pct (up by 26 points) closing at 1,004 points crossing the 1000 point barrier this week.
The c ...
Friday, 29 June 12
INDONESIAN PRODUCERS ARE PLANNING TO CUT PRODUCTION IF COAL PRICES FALL FURTHER
COALspot.com: Indonesia, the world largest multi grade coal exporter, shipped 31.54* million tons of coal in May 2012, compared to 31.86* mill ...
Friday, 29 June 12
DRY BULK SHIP OWNERS DOING THEIR MATHS BEFORE PLACING NEWBUILDING ORDERS - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING
With oversupply having plagued the dry bulk shipping fleet since the end of 2011, it’s become ever so evident that placing a newbuilding order ...
Thursday, 28 June 12
DRY BULK MARKET HIGHER ON CAPESIZE OPTIMISM - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING
The dry bulk market inched a bit higher yesterday, as the BDI (Baltic Dry Index) ended up by 0.71% to 988 points. Most ship types were up, with the ...
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- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Planning Commission, India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- The University of Queensland
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- White Energy Company Limited
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
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