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Friday, 25 November 11
DRY BULK MARKET LOSING STEAM, FAST - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING
It’s been a week of falls for the dry bulk market this one, leaving ship owners with a sour taste in their mouths, as evidence of a recovery is not visible in the horizon. This latest negative trend is actually proving those analysts, that had predicted a slowdown in the market before the year’s end, right. They were arguing that the current balance between demand and supply is in favor of demand, with the flurry of new building vessels being such, that it couldn’t be absorbed by the market. At the same time, shipyards around the world are speeding their deliveries, a sort of «tradiiton» during these past few years.
As a result, yesterday the Baltic Dry Index, the industry’s benchmark was down by another 0.87% to 1,814 points. As was the trend mid-week, all major dry bulk ship segments were on the red, with the Capesizes setting the trend. The larger Capesize ships lost 1.33% yesterday, with the relative Baltic Capesize Index (BCI) now standing at 3.042 points. Similarly, Panamaxes were down by 1.03% to 1,822 points, while Supramaxes lost an additional 0.14%. "With demand still weak as being indicated by negative developments in steel price futures and expected to moderate further in seasonally low 1Q, we believe the capesize rally in 2H11 primarily on back of robust steel production and Chinese inventory build-up could reverse as trend reversal occurs," RS Platou Markets said, quoted by Reuters.
In a recent analysis, Tasos Papadopoulos from shipbroker Intermodal said that “shipping’s obvious dependence upon China and her extraordinary growth highlights the importance of understanding China's resource-based foreign policy and its priorities. China has only begun to build out its renewable energy program, its urbanization efforts are perhaps only 30 or 40 per cent complete-bringing its masses of rural workers into the modern urban world- and even greater stockpiles will have to be accumulated for the coming years. Chinese are relentlessly long-term thinkers and have proven themselves remarkably good at achieving goals set in past five and ten-year plans.
Nowadays, almost everyone accepts that fossil fuels (oil, coal, natural gas) are in short supply and not long-term solution to power the world's economy. It was a mistake to take fossil fuels for granted and today it is a mistake to take virtually any material for granted. Therefore, CCP (Chinese Communist Party) has a stated goal to generate 15 to 20 per cent of its primary energy consumption from alternative energies (wind, solar, hydro and nuclear) by 2020. China, having early realized this fact, is rapidly accumulating a lion's share of metals that are critical for a switch to renewable energies such as silver, copper, zinc and the so-called rare earth elements (neodymium, indium, europium, cerium, lanthanum etc). It is clear that China is moving forward as quickly as it can to obtain these essential materials before the developed world mobilizes with the same goal. In this sense, Chinese mine copper in the world's most dangerous places (China Metallurgical Group Corp, a state-owned conglomerate, paid $3.4 billion for the rights of Aynak copper field, one of the biggest foreign investment in the history of Afghanistan), have made infrastructure-deals in order to secure long-term supplies of resources with at least 35 African countries, and signed notable aggressive agreements with Brazil, Bolivia, Venezuela, Ecuador and Argentina in order to gain access to Latin America's mineral wealth” said Mr. Papadopoulos.
He went on to state that “China's over spending on infrastructure is a significant down payment on their long-term plan described above which incorporates a major goal: A better life for its populace. A large percentage of the population still living in the countryside and farming in a traditional communal-style manner, but it’s estimated that "China's rural population will shrink from the current 900 million to 400 million in 30 years". There are already newly built cities that have roads, buildings, mass transit systems and indeed everything but residents! The benefits on the world trade, when these cities will be inhabited, are obvious. Just to mention that China currently only has around fifty cars per thousand people. In the Western world, not only does there seem to be no such strategic plan to secure resources but also China is in far better financial shape and flexibility, with its huge trade surplus, in comparison with the indebted anaemic economies of USA, Japan and Europe. China has identified the truth that if you solve "energy" you solve most other problems. If oil goes up, so does the cost of delivering iron ore, so too does the cost of mining coal and so do the price of finding more oil” concluded Intermodal’s Tasos Papadopoulos.
Source: Nikos Roussanoglou, Hellenic Shipping
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Saturday, 07 July 12
EXCESS SUPPLY & WEAK DEMAND KEEP COAL PRICES LOW
COALspot.com - SGX AsiaClear OTC Coal Swaps for August and Q4 deliveries slipped slightly this week. SGX’s Indonesian sub-bituminous coal swap ...
Saturday, 07 July 12
BALTIC INDEX UP ON STRONG CAPE, PANAMAX RATES - VISTAAR
COALspot.com - This week all the segments were firmed up with BDI up by 15.23 pct (up by 153 points) closing at 1,157 points.
The cape index also ...
Saturday, 07 July 12
DRY BULK MARKET NOT ABLE TO FIND SOLID GROUND SAY EXPERTS - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING
With the second half of each, traditionally looking the most active one, especially in terms of newbuildings being delivered, it's highly unlikely ...
Thursday, 05 July 12
GOVT GETS READY FOR $1.8B SUIT - THE JAKARTA POST
The Jakarta Post, one of the leading Indonesian English new papers reported that, several ministries and the Attorney General’s Office held a ...
Thursday, 05 July 12
DRY BULK MARKET MOVES FURTHER UP THE HILL - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING
The dry bulk market has kept its growth momentum by the middle of the week, as the BDI (Baltic Dry Index) rose by an additional 40 points to 1,103 p ...
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- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Australian Coal Association
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- The University of Queensland
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Parliament of New Zealand
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Planning Commission, India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
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