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Friday, 25 November 11
DRY BULK MARKET LOSING STEAM, FAST - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING
It’s been a week of falls for the dry bulk market this one, leaving ship owners with a sour taste in their mouths, as evidence of a recovery is not visible in the horizon. This latest negative trend is actually proving those analysts, that had predicted a slowdown in the market before the year’s end, right. They were arguing that the current balance between demand and supply is in favor of demand, with the flurry of new building vessels being such, that it couldn’t be absorbed by the market. At the same time, shipyards around the world are speeding their deliveries, a sort of «tradiiton» during these past few years.
As a result, yesterday the Baltic Dry Index, the industry’s benchmark was down by another 0.87% to 1,814 points. As was the trend mid-week, all major dry bulk ship segments were on the red, with the Capesizes setting the trend. The larger Capesize ships lost 1.33% yesterday, with the relative Baltic Capesize Index (BCI) now standing at 3.042 points. Similarly, Panamaxes were down by 1.03% to 1,822 points, while Supramaxes lost an additional 0.14%. "With demand still weak as being indicated by negative developments in steel price futures and expected to moderate further in seasonally low 1Q, we believe the capesize rally in 2H11 primarily on back of robust steel production and Chinese inventory build-up could reverse as trend reversal occurs," RS Platou Markets said, quoted by Reuters.
In a recent analysis, Tasos Papadopoulos from shipbroker Intermodal said that “shipping’s obvious dependence upon China and her extraordinary growth highlights the importance of understanding China's resource-based foreign policy and its priorities. China has only begun to build out its renewable energy program, its urbanization efforts are perhaps only 30 or 40 per cent complete-bringing its masses of rural workers into the modern urban world- and even greater stockpiles will have to be accumulated for the coming years. Chinese are relentlessly long-term thinkers and have proven themselves remarkably good at achieving goals set in past five and ten-year plans.
Nowadays, almost everyone accepts that fossil fuels (oil, coal, natural gas) are in short supply and not long-term solution to power the world's economy. It was a mistake to take fossil fuels for granted and today it is a mistake to take virtually any material for granted. Therefore, CCP (Chinese Communist Party) has a stated goal to generate 15 to 20 per cent of its primary energy consumption from alternative energies (wind, solar, hydro and nuclear) by 2020. China, having early realized this fact, is rapidly accumulating a lion's share of metals that are critical for a switch to renewable energies such as silver, copper, zinc and the so-called rare earth elements (neodymium, indium, europium, cerium, lanthanum etc). It is clear that China is moving forward as quickly as it can to obtain these essential materials before the developed world mobilizes with the same goal. In this sense, Chinese mine copper in the world's most dangerous places (China Metallurgical Group Corp, a state-owned conglomerate, paid $3.4 billion for the rights of Aynak copper field, one of the biggest foreign investment in the history of Afghanistan), have made infrastructure-deals in order to secure long-term supplies of resources with at least 35 African countries, and signed notable aggressive agreements with Brazil, Bolivia, Venezuela, Ecuador and Argentina in order to gain access to Latin America's mineral wealth” said Mr. Papadopoulos.
He went on to state that “China's over spending on infrastructure is a significant down payment on their long-term plan described above which incorporates a major goal: A better life for its populace. A large percentage of the population still living in the countryside and farming in a traditional communal-style manner, but it’s estimated that "China's rural population will shrink from the current 900 million to 400 million in 30 years". There are already newly built cities that have roads, buildings, mass transit systems and indeed everything but residents! The benefits on the world trade, when these cities will be inhabited, are obvious. Just to mention that China currently only has around fifty cars per thousand people. In the Western world, not only does there seem to be no such strategic plan to secure resources but also China is in far better financial shape and flexibility, with its huge trade surplus, in comparison with the indebted anaemic economies of USA, Japan and Europe. China has identified the truth that if you solve "energy" you solve most other problems. If oil goes up, so does the cost of delivering iron ore, so too does the cost of mining coal and so do the price of finding more oil” concluded Intermodal’s Tasos Papadopoulos.
Source: Nikos Roussanoglou, Hellenic Shipping
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Sunday, 03 July 11
INDONESIAN GOVERNMENT HAS CLEARED 1509 COAL IUP'S AS CLEAR AND CLEAN
COALspot.com - The Directorate general of mineral & coal of Indonesia has cleared around 1,509 IUP holders (coal mining companies) as "clea ...
Sunday, 03 July 11
MONSOON IN INDIA PUSHED FREIGHTS UP FROM INDONESIA TO WC INDIA - VISTAAR
COALspot.com - The BDI continued to hold closing just 2 points below last week at 1,422 points which was supported by Cape index which was up by 71 ...
Friday, 01 July 11
BEN LINE OPENS A NEW OFFICE IN BERAU
COALspot.com - Ben Line Agencies has announced that it has opened a new office in the busy coal loading port of Berau in East Kalimantan increasing ...
Friday, 01 July 11
CAPESIZE RATES TO REMAIN DEPRESSED IN COMING MONTHS SAYS SHIPPING ORGANIZATION - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING
In a recent report, BIMCO reassessed that Capesize freight rates will remain in depressed territory in the coming months. Capesize Time Charter Aver ...
Thursday, 30 June 11
DRY BULK MARKET SHOWS SIGNS OF FURTHER WEAKENING - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING
The dry bulk market seems to be unable to shake off the additional supply of vessels, an oversupply issue of grave concern that would have occured e ...
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- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Australian Coal Association
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- The University of Queensland
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- PTC India Limited - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
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