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Friday, 25 November 11
DRY BULK MARKET LOSING STEAM, FAST - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING
It’s been a week of falls for the dry bulk market this one, leaving ship owners with a sour taste in their mouths, as evidence of a recovery is not visible in the horizon. This latest negative trend is actually proving those analysts, that had predicted a slowdown in the market before the year’s end, right. They were arguing that the current balance between demand and supply is in favor of demand, with the flurry of new building vessels being such, that it couldn’t be absorbed by the market. At the same time, shipyards around the world are speeding their deliveries, a sort of «tradiiton» during these past few years.
As a result, yesterday the Baltic Dry Index, the industry’s benchmark was down by another 0.87% to 1,814 points. As was the trend mid-week, all major dry bulk ship segments were on the red, with the Capesizes setting the trend. The larger Capesize ships lost 1.33% yesterday, with the relative Baltic Capesize Index (BCI) now standing at 3.042 points. Similarly, Panamaxes were down by 1.03% to 1,822 points, while Supramaxes lost an additional 0.14%. "With demand still weak as being indicated by negative developments in steel price futures and expected to moderate further in seasonally low 1Q, we believe the capesize rally in 2H11 primarily on back of robust steel production and Chinese inventory build-up could reverse as trend reversal occurs," RS Platou Markets said, quoted by Reuters.
In a recent analysis, Tasos Papadopoulos from shipbroker Intermodal said that “shipping’s obvious dependence upon China and her extraordinary growth highlights the importance of understanding China's resource-based foreign policy and its priorities. China has only begun to build out its renewable energy program, its urbanization efforts are perhaps only 30 or 40 per cent complete-bringing its masses of rural workers into the modern urban world- and even greater stockpiles will have to be accumulated for the coming years. Chinese are relentlessly long-term thinkers and have proven themselves remarkably good at achieving goals set in past five and ten-year plans.
Nowadays, almost everyone accepts that fossil fuels (oil, coal, natural gas) are in short supply and not long-term solution to power the world's economy. It was a mistake to take fossil fuels for granted and today it is a mistake to take virtually any material for granted. Therefore, CCP (Chinese Communist Party) has a stated goal to generate 15 to 20 per cent of its primary energy consumption from alternative energies (wind, solar, hydro and nuclear) by 2020. China, having early realized this fact, is rapidly accumulating a lion's share of metals that are critical for a switch to renewable energies such as silver, copper, zinc and the so-called rare earth elements (neodymium, indium, europium, cerium, lanthanum etc). It is clear that China is moving forward as quickly as it can to obtain these essential materials before the developed world mobilizes with the same goal. In this sense, Chinese mine copper in the world's most dangerous places (China Metallurgical Group Corp, a state-owned conglomerate, paid $3.4 billion for the rights of Aynak copper field, one of the biggest foreign investment in the history of Afghanistan), have made infrastructure-deals in order to secure long-term supplies of resources with at least 35 African countries, and signed notable aggressive agreements with Brazil, Bolivia, Venezuela, Ecuador and Argentina in order to gain access to Latin America's mineral wealth” said Mr. Papadopoulos.
He went on to state that “China's over spending on infrastructure is a significant down payment on their long-term plan described above which incorporates a major goal: A better life for its populace. A large percentage of the population still living in the countryside and farming in a traditional communal-style manner, but it’s estimated that "China's rural population will shrink from the current 900 million to 400 million in 30 years". There are already newly built cities that have roads, buildings, mass transit systems and indeed everything but residents! The benefits on the world trade, when these cities will be inhabited, are obvious. Just to mention that China currently only has around fifty cars per thousand people. In the Western world, not only does there seem to be no such strategic plan to secure resources but also China is in far better financial shape and flexibility, with its huge trade surplus, in comparison with the indebted anaemic economies of USA, Japan and Europe. China has identified the truth that if you solve "energy" you solve most other problems. If oil goes up, so does the cost of delivering iron ore, so too does the cost of mining coal and so do the price of finding more oil” concluded Intermodal’s Tasos Papadopoulos.
Source: Nikos Roussanoglou, Hellenic Shipping
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Tuesday, 12 July 11
DRY BULK MARKET BEGINS WEEK ON RETREAT MODE - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING
As was evident by the end of the previous week, the dry bulk market’s growth momentum was about to lose steam, something proven yesterday, whe ...
Monday, 11 July 11
REFLECTIONS ON THE FLEET REACHING ONE BILLION TONNES - CLARKSONS / HELLENIC SHIPPING
“A billion gross tonnes of shipping” has a nice ring to it. It presents the industry as a business of substance, with its 85,000 ships w ...
Sunday, 10 July 11
UNTR PROVIDES US$100 MIO TO TTA - INSIDER STORIES
PT United Tractors Tbk (UNTR) agreed to allocate US$100 million to its coal subsidiary dubbed PT Tuah Turangga Agung (TTA).The US$100 million was pa ...
Sunday, 10 July 11
HARDLY ANY CARGO FROM WC INDIA UNTIL END OF MONSOONS - VISTAAR
COALspot.com - The BDI continued to hold last week and firmed up by 27 points with cape and panama index supporting the BDI.
The BDI closed at 1, ...
Sunday, 10 July 11
PTBA INCREASES SHARES IN COAL TRAIN PROJECT - TEMPO INTERACTIVE
TEMPO Interactive reported that, PT Tambang Batubara Bukit Asam (PTBA) is still studying the plan to buy 20 percent of shares in the PT Bukit Asam T ...
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- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- The University of Queensland
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Planning Commission, India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
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