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Wednesday, 05 October 11
WITH CHINA ON HOLIDAY, DRY BULK MARKET REMAINS STAGNANT - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING
The dry bulk market has remained to healthy levels after last month’s rally, but with China going on holiday this week, things are looking stagnant and could get worse in the coming days. Yesterday, the industry’s benchmark, the Baltic Dry Index (BDI) was marginally down by 0.05% to 1,885 points, shedding just one point. Still, activity in the Capesize market was low, leading the Baltic Capesize Index down by 1.37% to 3,021 points. Capesizes are typically used to haul coal and iron ore into China. Surprisingly, all other shipping segments were higher yesterday, with the Panamax market leading the foray as the BPI rose by 1.66% to 1,771 points.
According to the latest weekly report from Paris-based shipbroker Barry Rogliano Salles (BRS), “a slump for both the Capes and Panamaxes sent the BDI down 1% this week, falling to 1,899 points. The Capes saw the greatest movement, sliding -6%, while the BPI fell 5%. The BSI was steady with a rise of 1.4%. However good cargo flow in the Atlantic pushed the Handysize index up 7.7% to reach 740 points. At $10,850, the Handy time charter average finished the week at its highest level since mid-June. In Russia, the government announced ambitious plans to spend nearly $600m on its grain ports, in order to increase capacity by as much as 67% over the next four years. The new investment is forecast to lift grain loading capacity to almost 42 million metric tons from 25 million tons this year. Spending would be focused on developing and adding terminals on the Baltic, Asov and Black Seas. One rail carrier estimated the improvements could increase the discount at which Russia can sell grain at international tender by $7 to $8 per ton” said BRS.
Commenting on the Capesize market it mentioned that “declines that had perhaps been expected the previous week finally appeared this week, and the BCI lost 6% to finish at 3,136 points. The 4TC fell back to $26,601. In both runs this month, rates have risen to just under $29,000 before quickly retreating. A reduction in cargo movements was notable this week however, particularly towards end week as China began its holidays. With this in mind, we are unlikely to see any major improvements in the coming week. It was a volatile week in the FFA market, but the overall trend was also down with October and Q4 contracts both losing around $1400 w-o-w. Period rates have not softened much however, and short-period was fixing at around $19,000 per day, while two 206,000 tonners (ex yard February 2012) were reported fixed for between 44-50 months at $18,000 per day less 5% commission. As expected, the BCI fell again at the start of this current week” said the shipbroker in its report.
As far as the Panamax market is concerned, “both the Atlantic and Pacific basins became tighter last week. The Indian Ocean market become stronger too with fresh cargoes released after monsoon. In the Atlantic, available open tonnage dropped significantly over the last week and the TA round voyage reached almost $15,000. On a voyage basis, USEC to Continent was in the $15.50 pmt range while USG to Continent was in the low $20s pmt with a bullish outlook. Some charterers struggled to find the right candidates for trip from US Gulf/US east Coast to Continent. Ballasters expected from the east have not yet reached the area so open vessels in the zone have dropped by 60% in 15 days. Fronthaul rates remained relatively flat in the $22,500/$22,700 range. In the Pacific, open tonnage became tighter as well and dropped by 35% in 15 days. Rates seemed to have found a floor and hold relatively well, helped by the ballasters mentioned before. The Nopac round was around $10,500. Oversupply was absorbed by fresh cargoes put into the market by Chinese players before they went on holiday, which is a good reason to say that this week should be quiet” mentioned BRS.
In a separate notice issued yesterday, Commodore Research & Consultancy commented on the fact that Chinese steel output has come under pressure as it anticipated. “The China Iron and Steel Association (CISA) recently reported that daily crude steel output averaged 1.919 million tons from September 11 to September 21. This is a moderate decrease from the 1.964mt daily output average that occurred during September 1 to September 10. On a 30-day basis, the 1.919mt daily output average would yield 57.57mt of steel while the 1.964mt daily output average would yield 58.92mt. We have been predicting that Chinese steel output would come under pressure due to a recent stagnation in steel prices and increase in steel stockpiles. Chinese steel prices have come under a moderate amount of pressure since the end of August. The average price of 3.0mm hot rolled coil is now 4,760 yuan/ton, 190 yuan (-4%) less than a month ago. Chinese steel stockpiles have increased for five straight weeks and currently stand at 14.4mt. At the end of August, stockpiles stood at 13.6mt. The stagnation in steel prices and increase in steel stockpiles has been an indication that the recent level of Chinese steel output had been exceeding demand.
Going forward, Chinese steel output is likely to come under a bit more pressure during the next few weeks. Although output has declined, it is important to recognize that Chinese steel output is still relatively high and in no way is the Chinese steel industry undergoing a major correction. Instead, steel output is only coming under a small amount of pressure, which has been necessary in order to draw down stockpiles and allow prices to find support. If Chinese crude steel output ends up totaling 57mt in October, this would still be 6.7mt (13%) more than was produced in October 2010” concluded Commodore.
Source: Nikos Roussanoglou, Hellenic Shipping
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Tuesday, 24 January 12
BUKIT ASAM FY11 NET PROFIT SURGES 50% - INSIDER STORIES
Insider Stories reported that, the state-controlled PT Bukit Asam Tbk (PTBA) estimated to book Rp3 trillion (approximately US$ 335,570,469) net prof ...
Sunday, 22 January 12
FREIGHT MARKET DROPPED TO THE LOWEST LEVEL SINCE 2008
COALspot.com - "The markets continued to soften almost reaching 2008 levels breaking the 1,000 point mark", said Capt. Reddy of Vistaar Sh ...
Saturday, 21 January 12
ASIAS PREMIER COMPREHENSIVE OPEN CUT MINING CONFERENCE SCHEDULED FOR FEBRUARY 2012
As the only such conference in the region for miners and service providers, IBC Asia’s Open Cut Mine Planning & Operational Excellence con ...
Saturday, 21 January 12
COAL MARKETS CELEBRATES A DECADE OF BRINGING BUYERS & SELLERS TOGETHER
In 2012, IBC Asia’s premier Coal Markets conference series – Asia’s only globally focused coal import, export and supply chain eve ...
Saturday, 21 January 12
SAMIN TAN COMPLETES BUMI PLC TAKEOVER - INSIDER STORIES
Insider Stories reported that, Indonesian coking coal miner PT Borneo Lumbung Energi & Metal Tbk (BORN), that is controlled by stellar businessm ...
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- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- The University of Queensland
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Planning Commission, India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Minerals Council of Australia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Australian Coal Association
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
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