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Wednesday, 05 October 11
WITH CHINA ON HOLIDAY, DRY BULK MARKET REMAINS STAGNANT - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING
The dry bulk market has remained to healthy levels after last month’s rally, but with China going on holiday this week, things are looking stagnant and could get worse in the coming days. Yesterday, the industry’s benchmark, the Baltic Dry Index (BDI) was marginally down by 0.05% to 1,885 points, shedding just one point. Still, activity in the Capesize market was low, leading the Baltic Capesize Index down by 1.37% to 3,021 points. Capesizes are typically used to haul coal and iron ore into China. Surprisingly, all other shipping segments were higher yesterday, with the Panamax market leading the foray as the BPI rose by 1.66% to 1,771 points.
According to the latest weekly report from Paris-based shipbroker Barry Rogliano Salles (BRS), “a slump for both the Capes and Panamaxes sent the BDI down 1% this week, falling to 1,899 points. The Capes saw the greatest movement, sliding -6%, while the BPI fell 5%. The BSI was steady with a rise of 1.4%. However good cargo flow in the Atlantic pushed the Handysize index up 7.7% to reach 740 points. At $10,850, the Handy time charter average finished the week at its highest level since mid-June. In Russia, the government announced ambitious plans to spend nearly $600m on its grain ports, in order to increase capacity by as much as 67% over the next four years. The new investment is forecast to lift grain loading capacity to almost 42 million metric tons from 25 million tons this year. Spending would be focused on developing and adding terminals on the Baltic, Asov and Black Seas. One rail carrier estimated the improvements could increase the discount at which Russia can sell grain at international tender by $7 to $8 per ton” said BRS.
Commenting on the Capesize market it mentioned that “declines that had perhaps been expected the previous week finally appeared this week, and the BCI lost 6% to finish at 3,136 points. The 4TC fell back to $26,601. In both runs this month, rates have risen to just under $29,000 before quickly retreating. A reduction in cargo movements was notable this week however, particularly towards end week as China began its holidays. With this in mind, we are unlikely to see any major improvements in the coming week. It was a volatile week in the FFA market, but the overall trend was also down with October and Q4 contracts both losing around $1400 w-o-w. Period rates have not softened much however, and short-period was fixing at around $19,000 per day, while two 206,000 tonners (ex yard February 2012) were reported fixed for between 44-50 months at $18,000 per day less 5% commission. As expected, the BCI fell again at the start of this current week” said the shipbroker in its report.
As far as the Panamax market is concerned, “both the Atlantic and Pacific basins became tighter last week. The Indian Ocean market become stronger too with fresh cargoes released after monsoon. In the Atlantic, available open tonnage dropped significantly over the last week and the TA round voyage reached almost $15,000. On a voyage basis, USEC to Continent was in the $15.50 pmt range while USG to Continent was in the low $20s pmt with a bullish outlook. Some charterers struggled to find the right candidates for trip from US Gulf/US east Coast to Continent. Ballasters expected from the east have not yet reached the area so open vessels in the zone have dropped by 60% in 15 days. Fronthaul rates remained relatively flat in the $22,500/$22,700 range. In the Pacific, open tonnage became tighter as well and dropped by 35% in 15 days. Rates seemed to have found a floor and hold relatively well, helped by the ballasters mentioned before. The Nopac round was around $10,500. Oversupply was absorbed by fresh cargoes put into the market by Chinese players before they went on holiday, which is a good reason to say that this week should be quiet” mentioned BRS.
In a separate notice issued yesterday, Commodore Research & Consultancy commented on the fact that Chinese steel output has come under pressure as it anticipated. “The China Iron and Steel Association (CISA) recently reported that daily crude steel output averaged 1.919 million tons from September 11 to September 21. This is a moderate decrease from the 1.964mt daily output average that occurred during September 1 to September 10. On a 30-day basis, the 1.919mt daily output average would yield 57.57mt of steel while the 1.964mt daily output average would yield 58.92mt. We have been predicting that Chinese steel output would come under pressure due to a recent stagnation in steel prices and increase in steel stockpiles. Chinese steel prices have come under a moderate amount of pressure since the end of August. The average price of 3.0mm hot rolled coil is now 4,760 yuan/ton, 190 yuan (-4%) less than a month ago. Chinese steel stockpiles have increased for five straight weeks and currently stand at 14.4mt. At the end of August, stockpiles stood at 13.6mt. The stagnation in steel prices and increase in steel stockpiles has been an indication that the recent level of Chinese steel output had been exceeding demand.
Going forward, Chinese steel output is likely to come under a bit more pressure during the next few weeks. Although output has declined, it is important to recognize that Chinese steel output is still relatively high and in no way is the Chinese steel industry undergoing a major correction. Instead, steel output is only coming under a small amount of pressure, which has been necessary in order to draw down stockpiles and allow prices to find support. If Chinese crude steel output ends up totaling 57mt in October, this would still be 6.7mt (13%) more than was produced in October 2010” concluded Commodore.
Source: Nikos Roussanoglou, Hellenic Shipping
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Friday, 27 January 12
DEMOLITION ACTIVITY NEEDS TO INCREASE SIGNIFICANTLY THIS YEAR AS WELL - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING
The oversupply of vessels in most shipping sectors is so intense that it’s become clear to ship owners that unless they scrap as many of their ...
Thursday, 26 January 12
ABM INVESTAMA SEALS US$100 MIO CONTRACT - INSIDER STORIES
Insider Stories reported that, PT Reswara Minergi Hartama, a subsidary of PT ABM Investama Tbk (ABMM), has sealed a 2 million tons of coal export co ...
Thursday, 26 January 12
DRY BULK MARKETS DOWNFALL KNOWS NO LIMITS - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING
The dry bulk market’s demise seems to have no visible end, as China’s Lunar Year Holidays continue this week, thus leaving demand with n ...
Wednesday, 25 January 12
CLEAN AND CLEAR MINING PERMITS TO BE COMPLETED END OF 2012 - BISNIS.COM
Bisnis.com reported that, the government plans to announce 700 mining permits with "clean and clear" status without overlapping on other p ...
Tuesday, 24 January 12
ANOTHER SEVERE DROP IN THE CAPESIZE - BRS
The lunar year celebrations and the high number of new building deliveries (more than 35 Capes so far in January as owners push 2011 deliveries into ...
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- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Planning Commission, India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- The University of Queensland
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- White Energy Company Limited
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Australian Coal Association
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
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