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Tuesday, 06 September 11
INDONESIAS PROPOSED COAL EXPORT BAN MAY HAVE IMPACT ON THE INDIAN POWER SECTOR - DIPESH DIPU
.jpg) COALspot.com - This is a special interview about Indonesian proposed coal export ban by 2014, with Mr. Dipesh Dipu, Director of Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu, India.
The Indonesian government is currently in the process of drafting a new regulation that could ban the export of low-grade coal by January 12, 2014. This is likely to apply to coal below 5700 kcal/kg on air dried basis in value.
As of now Indonesia is producing around 150 million tons of coal with calorific value below 5700 GAD (according to chairman of Indonesian coal mining association). However by 2014, there are possibilities the total production of below 5700 GAD coal may reach more than 200 million per annum.
Will Indonesian coal export ban impact on the Indian fuel requirements?
The earlier grade of coal that was being considered for proposed ban has GCV of 5100 kcal/kg of less (adb), which can be comparable to 3800-4200 kcal/kg (arb) domestic coal available in India. This grade of coal has found favor in India primarily due to likely price advantage but economics of power generation based on such grade of imported coal may be a suspect. This considering that such grades of coal from Indonesia typically have high moisture content, which makes transportation cost per unit of energy generated higher. The quantum of the low grade of coal (<5100 kcal/kg adb) procured from Indonesia is likely to remain relatively low.
However, if the new definition of low grade coal is applied (<5700 kcal/kg adb), it may be reasonable to believe that such a ban may have impact on the Indian power sector as volumes in this grade of coal are expected to rise in the proportion of coal exports to India. Several of the acquisitions made by Indian power generation companies in Indonesia have been in coal blocks that will produce coal of this grade, and a blanket ban on the exports can jeopardize power plant development in India.
On the other hand, the domestic Indonesian market may not be prepared to consume all the coal mined of this grade in view of the power generation capacity addition plans in Indonesia. In such a case, the coal mine development is likely to be deferred. The Indonesian law makers may need to reconsider domestic market demand, investment climate in coal sector and impact of the legislation on the export revenues.
What is the alternative source for Indian power industry if the proposed coal export ban come into effect by 2014?
Indian power generation companies have been forced to look out for coal assets abroad due to the investment and regulatory environment within the country. India boasts of more than 110 billion tonnes of coal reserves, which largely fall within a 300 meters of depth. If the regulatory and investment environment is amended to allow greater participation of private sector Indian dependence on imports will be reduced.
However, for imports, India will continue to look at Indonesia, South Africa, Australia and newer destinations like Mozambique and Columbia. But these sources also have constraints, domestic demands in South Africa is likely to restrict quantum jump in exports out of South Africa. Indonesia has also proposed domestic market obligations. Mozambique may have infrastructure constraints for large volumes of coal being transported from Tete province to ports of Maputo, Ncala or Beira. Australian coal is of high quality but may have higher costs of mining and transport.
What would be the additional cost if Indian consumers switch their sourcing origin from Indonesia?
Indonesia has competitive advantage due to its geographical closeness. However, on a per tonne basis, assuming comparable quality, costs of transport may make marginal difference when compared with South Africa and Mozambique.
When compared to Australian coal, due to the high quality, cost of energy may well be comparable even though shipping costs are higher. Between Indonesian coal (5500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 90 per tonne) and Australian coal (6500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 120 per tonne), indicative variable cost difference of power generation may be about Indian Rupees 0.20 to 0.30 per kWh (electricity unit) in favor of Indonesian coal.
Will it affect Indian economy growth or this coal export ban is ignorable as India can easily identify alternative sources of fuel?
The magnitude of growth in power generation in India will necessarily mean that coal will remain the mainstay. Natural gas has had issues of availability. Nuclear plant development is facing socio-political challenge in view of the risks of technology failure. Development of hydel power has also faced issues of land acquisition, rehabilitation & resettlement apart from the technical issues of hydro-geological features. Renewable sources such as solar and wind generation are still projected to constitute a small portion of India power generation mix. Identifying an alternative source that can match coal in its accessibility, availability and affordability in the context of scale of capacity addition required in India is a challenge.
What is the Indian government's role on this issue, whether government has to come out with the solution such as easing Indian mining and environment law, open up mining for foreigners, G2G arrangement, etc…?
There is a need to look at domestic sources with pro-active and constructive approach and make all necessary legal and statutory amendments that make the resources available and mineable. Easing the regulations may not be one of such measures but making those regulations work in sync with each other in a time bound and predictable manner must certainly be.
There is certainly a case for opening the domestic coal sector for private participation, including independent miners, and for foreign participation so that newer technology and enhanced scale of operations are implemented in India. The regulation also needs to permit risk capital to come in for prospecting and exploration.
For imports the G2G relations can be leveraged to secure coal assets. India has good relationship with Indonesia and has also signed a tax treaty with Mozambique in 2010 which will facilitate investments. Government may also engage with these countries to ease exports to India and extend fiscal support to coal mining companies investing in mining and associated infrastructure development.
About Dipesh Dipu
Dipesh Dipu works as Director with Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu India Pvt. Ltd in the Energy and Resources consulting practice of the firm and anchors the Firm’s initiative in the mining and metals sectors.
He is a mining engineering graduate from Indian School of Mines and is a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA). He has also done executive program in business management from Indian Institute of Management Calcutta. Dipesh has recently been awarded the Abheraj Baldota Gold Medal for the Young Mining Engineer of the Year 2007 by the Mining Engineers’ Association of India in recognition of his contributions in the improvement of mining industry in India.
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Thursday, 15 December 11
DRY BULK RATES TO REMAIN AT CURRENT LEVELS FOR THE MOST PART IN THE COMING MONTHS SAYS BIMCO - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING
In its latest research note, BIMCO said that the Capesize Time Charter Average will remain at USD 20,000-30,000 per day but the tonnage oversupply w ...
Wednesday, 14 December 11
MINER TOBA BARA SEJAHTRA PLANS IPO IN 1ST HALF OF 2012 - THE JAKARTA GLOBE
The Jakarta Globe reported that, Coal miner Toba Bara Sejahtra is aiming high next year, hoping to capitalize on renewed bullish sentiment in the lo ...
Wednesday, 14 December 11
TIMAH PLANS TO BOOST ITS COAL PRODUCTION TO TWO MILLION TONS PER ANNUM - SOURCES
COALspot.com - Timah plans to boost its coal production to two million tons per annum. The company also expects to acquire coal concession with mini ...
Wednesday, 14 December 11
BORNEO RESOURCE INVESTMENTS LTD. FINALIZES ACQUISITION OF INTEGRA PRIMA
COALspot.com - Borneo Resource Investments Ltd., announced that it has finalized the acquisition of an additional 1,300 hectare coal mining concessi ...
Tuesday, 13 December 11
BERAU COAL SCOUTS US$1.61 BIO SALES - INSIDER STORIES
Insider Stories reported that, coal mining company PT Berau Coal Energy Tbk (BRAU), that is 85% owned by London-listed company Bumi Plc, estimates a ...
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- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- PTC India Limited - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Australian Coal Association
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- White Energy Company Limited
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Planning Commission, India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- The University of Queensland
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
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