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Tuesday, 06 September 11
INDONESIAS PROPOSED COAL EXPORT BAN MAY HAVE IMPACT ON THE INDIAN POWER SECTOR - DIPESH DIPU
COALspot.com - This is a special interview about Indonesian proposed coal export ban by 2014, with Mr. Dipesh Dipu, Director of Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu, India.
The Indonesian government is currently in the process of drafting a new regulation that could ban the export of low-grade coal by January 12, 2014. This is likely to apply to coal below 5700 kcal/kg on air dried basis in value.
As of now Indonesia is producing around 150 million tons of coal with calorific value below 5700 GAD (according to chairman of Indonesian coal mining association). However by 2014, there are possibilities the total production of below 5700 GAD coal may reach more than 200 million per annum.
Will Indonesian coal export ban impact on the Indian fuel requirements?
The earlier grade of coal that was being considered for proposed ban has GCV of 5100 kcal/kg of less (adb), which can be comparable to 3800-4200 kcal/kg (arb) domestic coal available in India. This grade of coal has found favor in India primarily due to likely price advantage but economics of power generation based on such grade of imported coal may be a suspect. This considering that such grades of coal from Indonesia typically have high moisture content, which makes transportation cost per unit of energy generated higher. The quantum of the low grade of coal (<5100 kcal/kg adb) procured from Indonesia is likely to remain relatively low.
However, if the new definition of low grade coal is applied (<5700 kcal/kg adb), it may be reasonable to believe that such a ban may have impact on the Indian power sector as volumes in this grade of coal are expected to rise in the proportion of coal exports to India. Several of the acquisitions made by Indian power generation companies in Indonesia have been in coal blocks that will produce coal of this grade, and a blanket ban on the exports can jeopardize power plant development in India.
On the other hand, the domestic Indonesian market may not be prepared to consume all the coal mined of this grade in view of the power generation capacity addition plans in Indonesia. In such a case, the coal mine development is likely to be deferred. The Indonesian law makers may need to reconsider domestic market demand, investment climate in coal sector and impact of the legislation on the export revenues.
What is the alternative source for Indian power industry if the proposed coal export ban come into effect by 2014?
Indian power generation companies have been forced to look out for coal assets abroad due to the investment and regulatory environment within the country. India boasts of more than 110 billion tonnes of coal reserves, which largely fall within a 300 meters of depth. If the regulatory and investment environment is amended to allow greater participation of private sector Indian dependence on imports will be reduced.
However, for imports, India will continue to look at Indonesia, South Africa, Australia and newer destinations like Mozambique and Columbia. But these sources also have constraints, domestic demands in South Africa is likely to restrict quantum jump in exports out of South Africa. Indonesia has also proposed domestic market obligations. Mozambique may have infrastructure constraints for large volumes of coal being transported from Tete province to ports of Maputo, Ncala or Beira. Australian coal is of high quality but may have higher costs of mining and transport.
What would be the additional cost if Indian consumers switch their sourcing origin from Indonesia?
Indonesia has competitive advantage due to its geographical closeness. However, on a per tonne basis, assuming comparable quality, costs of transport may make marginal difference when compared with South Africa and Mozambique.
When compared to Australian coal, due to the high quality, cost of energy may well be comparable even though shipping costs are higher. Between Indonesian coal (5500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 90 per tonne) and Australian coal (6500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 120 per tonne), indicative variable cost difference of power generation may be about Indian Rupees 0.20 to 0.30 per kWh (electricity unit) in favor of Indonesian coal.
Will it affect Indian economy growth or this coal export ban is ignorable as India can easily identify alternative sources of fuel?
The magnitude of growth in power generation in India will necessarily mean that coal will remain the mainstay. Natural gas has had issues of availability. Nuclear plant development is facing socio-political challenge in view of the risks of technology failure. Development of hydel power has also faced issues of land acquisition, rehabilitation & resettlement apart from the technical issues of hydro-geological features. Renewable sources such as solar and wind generation are still projected to constitute a small portion of India power generation mix. Identifying an alternative source that can match coal in its accessibility, availability and affordability in the context of scale of capacity addition required in India is a challenge.
What is the Indian government's role on this issue, whether government has to come out with the solution such as easing Indian mining and environment law, open up mining for foreigners, G2G arrangement, etc…?
There is a need to look at domestic sources with pro-active and constructive approach and make all necessary legal and statutory amendments that make the resources available and mineable. Easing the regulations may not be one of such measures but making those regulations work in sync with each other in a time bound and predictable manner must certainly be.
There is certainly a case for opening the domestic coal sector for private participation, including independent miners, and for foreign participation so that newer technology and enhanced scale of operations are implemented in India. The regulation also needs to permit risk capital to come in for prospecting and exploration.
For imports the G2G relations can be leveraged to secure coal assets. India has good relationship with Indonesia and has also signed a tax treaty with Mozambique in 2010 which will facilitate investments. Government may also engage with these countries to ease exports to India and extend fiscal support to coal mining companies investing in mining and associated infrastructure development.
About Dipesh Dipu
Dipesh Dipu works as Director with Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu India Pvt. Ltd in the Energy and Resources consulting practice of the firm and anchors the Firm’s initiative in the mining and metals sectors.
He is a mining engineering graduate from Indian School of Mines and is a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA). He has also done executive program in business management from Indian Institute of Management Calcutta. Dipesh has recently been awarded the Abheraj Baldota Gold Medal for the Young Mining Engineer of the Year 2007 by the Mining Engineers’ Association of India in recognition of his contributions in the improvement of mining industry in India.
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Thursday, 22 December 11
RI WILL NOT PLAY CATCH-UP WITH GLOBAL COAL DEMAND - THE JAKARTA POST
The Jakarta Post reported that, the International Energy Agency (IEA) has predicted in its Coal Market Report 2011 that over the next five years, gl ...
Thursday, 22 December 11
DRY BULK MARKET KEEPS LOSING TRACTION AHEAD OF HOLIDAY SEASON - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING
The dry bulk market kept retreating in the middle of the week, as charterers seem to be looking towards the holiday season and the start of the new ye ...
Tuesday, 20 December 11
THE COAL IMPORT INTO CHINA WAS QUIETER AS COAL STOCKS WERE AT HIGH LEVELS - BRS
The BDI ended the week at 1888 points (-1.8%), the BCI corrected to 3572 (-3.4%), the BPI was up at 1,775 (+3.6%), the BSI dropped to 1193 (-3.0%) a ...
Tuesday, 20 December 11
INDIA IMPORTS 66.41 PERCENT MORE COAL FROM INDONESIA LAST MONTH - SOURCES
COALspot.com: Indonesia, the world largest coal exporter, shipped 33.476* mln mt of coal in November, which is slightly higher than its Octobe ...
Monday, 19 December 11
KOPEX COMMITS ADDITIONAL ONE MILLION DOLLAR FOR PT TRANSCOAL MINERGY
COALspot.com - Mining contractor Kopex has agreed to extend a further US$1 million to finance the remainder of the expanded drill program at PT Tran ...
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- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- White Energy Company Limited
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Planning Commission, India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- The University of Queensland
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